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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Bret, Cindy, and a Wave East of the Caribbean
      #90631 - Wed Jul 20 2011 07:04 AM

<b>2:30 PM 21 July 2011 Updateb><br />Cindy has strengthened today, but will likely stay under hurricane force before weakening.<br /><br />The area in the Central Atlantic (no invest yet) also now has a 10% chance for development in the next 48 hours. Current models suggest it moving through the Caribbean or along the northern islands. Those in the Eastern Caribbean will want to watch this area over the next few days.<br /><br />{{StormCarib}} <br /><br /><br /><b>4:45 PM Updateb><br />Tropical Storm Cindy has formed from invest 99L, this system is located east of Tropical Storm Bret, and is moving very quickly out to sea toward the northeast.<br /><br />More on Cindy in the Storm Forum. <br /><br />
90L Event Related Links


float4latest.gif stormplotthumb_4.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=4 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 90L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 90L


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 90L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 90L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 90L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 90L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 90L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
<br /><br />
Cindy Event Related Links


float3latest.gif stormplotthumb_3.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=3 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Cindy
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Cindy


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Cindy (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Cindy (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Cindy

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Cindy
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Cindy -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
<br /><br />
Bret Event Related Links


float2latest.gif stormplotthumb_2.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=2 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Bret
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Bret


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Bret (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Bret (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Bret

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Bret
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Bret -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View
<br /><br /><b>8:30 AM Updateb><br />The wave east of Bret, 99L, is now up to a 60% chance for development and may become a tropical depression or storm later today. It will remain out to sea as well.<br /><br /><b>Original Updateb><br /> Tropical Storm Bret continues to move northeast away from land, and continues to gradually weaken as it heads out to sea.<br /><br /> Another area, tracked as 99L, east of Bret, who also likely came from the same front that Bret did, has a 30% chance for development, it is already well out to sea and expected to remain this way.<br /><br /> The wave in the Central Atlantic (near 42W) continues to maintain itself, and has a slightly higher shot at becoming something that will need to be watched. It is likely to become an invest today for beginning model runs, and likely will be the one to watch over the next week or so if it continues to persist. <br /><br /> On this central Atlantic wave, There is nothing strongly suggesting it will move out to sea, which means it has the potential to enter the Caribbean and head generally westward through it (more likely) or move just north of it.slightly less likely, but still possible. Conditions ahead of it range from moderate to good, so there is nothing obvious to keep it from developing other than a small area of dry air ahead of it. If the wave develops it would likely be around the weekend. There is a forecast lounge for this wave already set up that gets into more speculation.<br />


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Rich B
British Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: Bret Moving Away and Central Atlantic Waves [Re: MikeC]
      #90638 - Wed Jul 20 2011 03:12 PM

99L is now listed on NRL and FNMOC as 03L Three...

--------------------
Rich B

SkyWarn UK


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Bret, Cindy, and a Wave East of the Caribbean [Re: MikeC]
      #90647 - Thu Jul 21 2011 04:20 PM

<blockquote>Quote:
<br /><b>2:30 PM 27 July 2011 Updateb><br /><br />
blockquote><br /><br />Are we in a time warp? <br /><br />The Central Atlantic wave isn't organized, but does show some cyclonic turning in the cloud pattern on the vis loop. Worth keeping an eye on this time of year as our focus turns away from the Western Caribbean and GOM to the Atlantic and Cape Verde regions.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
INVEST 90 is coming up [Re: MichaelA]
      #90652 - Fri Jul 22 2011 10:34 AM

Looks like they may declare the wave at 12.4N/ 48.3W as INVEST 90L, shortly. This wave is very low latitude. Nearly scraping the Coast off South America. <br /><br />It's not the same wave as Mike and the others have been referring to.

Edited by danielw (Fri Jul 22 2011 10:43 AM)


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