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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
October Ending with Multiple Systems
      #100775 - Fri Oct 25 2019 03:42 PM

Update 2PM AST Oct 30, 2019
Another late-season, formerly non-tropical, hurricane-force cyclone way out in the Atlantic a few hundred miles west of the Azores islands has continued transitioning into a more subtropical to tropical cyclone, and advisories could begin at any time later today on this system. Largely forecast to be short-lived as a subtropical or tropical cyclone, a few of the others this year have exceeded expectations, and interests in and around the Azores islands may want to pay closer attention. The next name up on the list in the Atlantic this year is Rebekah.

Update 11PM CDT Oct 25, 2019


Quote:

#Olga is now post-tropical. Olga is the 7th Atlantic named storm to last <= 24 hours as a named storm in 2019. 2019 now has the record for most named storms lasting one day or less, breaking the old record of 6 named storms lasting <=24 hours in the 2005 #hurricane season. - Philip Klotzbach



Update 4PM CDT Oct 25, 2019
Quote:


#Olga and #Pablo are the latest calendar year Atlantic named storms on record to be named simultaneously. The previous record was October 9 (set in 1878). - Philip Klotzbach




Update 2PM CDT Oct 25, 2019
Recon is presently in SEVENTEEN and finding winds well within tropical storm force. In addition, there are structural clues as well as conditions over the gulf with the front suggesting that it may remain predominantly a tropical cyclone for longer than originally expected. Louisianans and those in the north-central Gulf may want to begin paying this storm much more attention.

Invest 98L to the southwest of the Azores may become a Vince-like hurricane and is also likely to be named at any time.

Original Update
2019 continues to be active, with newly formed TD 17 in the northern Gulf - and quite possibly already a tropical storm pending better confirmation - plus, formerly non-tropical Invest 98L in the northern Atlantic a few hundred miles southwest of the western Azores, which could also get a name at any time. The next two names on the list this year in the Atlantic are Olga and Pablo.

This season has already tied 2005 for 'the most named storms lasting one day or less on record' (Philip Klotzbach), and depending on what happens with SEVENTEEN (or any others perhaps still yet to come), could become the new record holder of one-day-or-less-named storms.

Forecast Lounges: Olga Lounge, Pablo Lounge



OLGA Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2019/floatOlgalatest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2019/stormplotthumb_Olga.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2019&storm=Olga Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 17L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 17L


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 17L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 17L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 17L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 17L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 17L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View




PABLO Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2019/floatPablolatest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2019/stormplotthumb_Pablo.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2019&storm=Pablo Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 18L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 18L


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 18L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 18L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 18L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 18L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 18L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



North Gulf Links <html><a href="http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southmissvly_loop.php" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/Loop/southmissvly_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">North Gulf/Southern Mississippi Valley Composite Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southmissvly.php"

onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/southmissvly.gif'\>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a></html>) East to West:

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MOB<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MOB<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Mobile, AL Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MOB<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>MOB<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LIX<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LIX<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>New Orleans, LA Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LIX<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LIX<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LCH<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LCH<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Lake Charles, LA Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LCH<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>LCH<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>HGX<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>HGX<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Houston/Galveston, TX Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>HGX<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>HGX<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

Area Forecast Discussions: Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - New Orleans, LA - Lake Charles, LA - Houston/Galveston, TX




Sebastien Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2019/float20latest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2019/stormplotthumb_20.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2019&storm=20 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Sebastien
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Sebastien


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Sebastien (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Sebastien (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Sebastien

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Sebastien
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Sebastien -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View



Edited by MikeC (Tue Nov 19 2019 06:13 PM)

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