mbfly
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 117
Loc: Mobile, Alabama 30.64N 88.22W
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Has the looked at or said anything about the disturbance in the NW Caribb ?? Any thoughts about if it will develop, strengthen and hit Rick (and me !) in Mobile or is everyone too wrapped up in Fabian to notice or care
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Guest
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I Pick the secound Course
I live in pensacola ,been through Erin &Opal and have been through Andrew, Betsy and others in Baton Rouge. Its a pain when its 95 90% humidity and no AC for a week. Need a strong cold front LOL
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Guest
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Wrong board for cold fronts LOL
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 74
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the reason no one is freaking out about it is because this happens from time to time (clouds and rain pop up like its trying to form something) and it just disappears if its still their tomorrow then you will see alot of people panic because this would allow Fabian to posible get into the gulf where the temp is much high then the Atlantic ocean thus it will be a cat 5 and maybe the biggest storm in history.
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St.David where is the link to the sat. pic you posted above?Very nice sat pic
Thanks
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 74
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I hear you I live n Slidell so the first would whip out slidell and New Orleans. I won't be here to see it!
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA 30.00N 90.14W
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Here are some sat links:
http://jrscience.wcp.muohio.edu/coriolis/hurricaneimagery.html
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html
http://atwc.org/p3.php#sat
Steve
-------------------- MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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scottsvb
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1085
Loc: fl
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David, Fabian isnt going to the Gulf. Sorry, but hey watch the NW carribean and then the southern Gulf over the next few days. scottsvb
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Alex
Unregistered
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BillD
Weather Analyst
Reged: Wed
Posts: 396
Loc: Miami 25.70N 80.29W
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They mentioned it in the AT this morning (its in that news ticker going across the top of your screen). And they have a recon flight scheduled for tomorrow. So I would say they are paying attention. There just isn't anything there yet.
Bill
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Guest
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Thanks Steve, I like those links
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 74
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
im looking for loop one.
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 74
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
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St. David
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 74
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I hope your right!
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Pensacola Guest
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The clouds under Cuba look impressive, anyone expressing concerns yet?
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bob316
Unregistered
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I AM IN PENSACOLA THE STORM IN THE CARB LOOKS GOOD WILL IT COME NORTH YES WILL IT MAKE A TD OR TS
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Young Droop
Unregistered
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Thanks Steve, look's as though we should watch the was in the West Carib. What has Joe B. said about this aread today? Anything? Im not able to get his column anymore. Thanks again...oh and St. David, I dont think your lil scenario of Fabian getting into the gulf and being the biggest storm in history is goin to pan out.
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BOB316
Unregistered
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DREW WHAT DO YOU OR STEVE OR FRANK THINK ABOUT WHAT COULD BE OUR GULF STORM IF IT COMES TO BE A STORM THAT IS THANKS
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA 29.93N 89.93W
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NHC cracks me up. They change the heading to WNW, when if anything, over the last 6 hours, it's moved less north that it has been. That said, it is moving WNW now but their course headings confuse me to no end.
Here is what I mean.........
18.2N at 5PM yesterday
18.5N at 11PM last night, still moving west
18.6 at 5AM this morning, W10
18.9 at 11AM this morning, W12
19.1 at 5PM this evening, WNW12
Now, the twelve hour readings were......
11AM-11PM yesterday, 0.4N, 1.6W
5PM-5AM last night, 0.4N, 1.8W
11PM-11AM this morning, 0.4N, 2.0W
5AM-5PM today, 0.5N, 2.0W
Now there's basically the same northward movement, and it's considerably more west than north. It's basically moving WWWNW, hardly a reason to change the heading to WNW. I guess they consider 285 WNW when it's hardly. 295-300 is a true WNW. Don't get fooled yet. Faboan has not made any turn whatsoever IMO.
-------------------- I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA 29.93N 89.93W
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Bob, I see nothing right now that interests me about the Caribbean. It's nothing more than a blow up of convection, which undoubtedly needs to be watched. However, at this point, I see nothing that leads me to believe a TD is forming in the next 24 hours.
-------------------- I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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