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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum

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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

TD1 - Perhaps TS Arthur Soon

#1258 - Sun Jul 14 2002 11:37 PM

The pesky Gulf low that was at 26N 90W last Sunday morning finally drifted across the north Florida peninsula yesterday and became TD1 off the Carolinas this afternoon. With convection and wind field well east of the center, the cyclone seems more subtropical in nature. It will be about another 24 hours or so before it starts to lose its tropical characteristics so it has a good chance of becoming a tropical storm by morning. The Gulf Stream should help this system to develop a little more. Eventual transition to a gale center in a couple of days as it eventually heads toward Newfoundland. Recent position reports:

12Z 33.2N 79.9W 25G35kts 1010mb
15Z 33.8N 78.0W 25G35kts 1010mb
18Z 34.3N 76.8W 30G40kts 1009mb
21Z 34.7N 75.8W 30G40kts 1009mb
00Z 35.0N 75.1W 30G40kts 1008mb
03Z 35.3N 74.2W 30G40kts 1008mb

Cheers,
ED

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