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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Bonnie Hangs On - Charley Intensifies [Re: LadyStorm]
      #18859 - Wed Aug 11 2004 06:29 AM

URNT12 KNHC 111004
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/1004Z
B. 25 DEG 31 MIN N
90 DEG 32 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1434 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 218 DEG 52 KT
G. 140 DEG 22 NM
H. 1001 MB
I. 17 C/ 1479 M
J. 23 C/ 1486 M
K. 20 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C15
N. 12345/8
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF977 0702A BONNIE OB 13
MAX FL WIND 52 KT SE QUAD 0957Z.


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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Bonnie Hangs On - Charley Intensifies [Re: danielw]
      #18860 - Wed Aug 11 2004 06:29 AM

reading through posts here. this room is like a bunch of reporters at an execution reporting in any and every rumor to home base... every trend is mentioned

a watch is up for the keys
its a fast moving tropical storm, i imagine cuba will slow it down a little (someone comment on this please)

watch the whole pattern over a few hours not every new image on the NRL and Dvorak...thats my advice... movement is a blend

as for west wind... maybe by the time the planes got to where it was going it left..

reading everyone, talk later
news here is in pre-hype mode but more impt than anything else... "heavy winds and rain" are in fridays forecast for Miami area

so when does Cuba get warnings
somewhere here please explain how that works, ive had a lot of people ask me why Cuba didnt have specific warnings in place

good morning, going to get coffee
my son woke me before the alarm to tell me he's on the plane and then threw data at me about Charley and bonnie, sounded like this mornings discussion here... going to be a long long day

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Charley Recon Airborne [Re: danielw]
      #18861 - Wed Aug 11 2004 06:30 AM

URNT11 KNHC 111012
97779 10124 40172 68000 56300 11019 58602 /4588
RMK AF968 0203A Charley OB 01


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Matt33
Unregistered




Re: Charley Recon Airborne [Re: danielw]
      #18862 - Wed Aug 11 2004 06:38 AM

http://net-waves.com/weather/td02.php

Look at that blow up of convection(Cdo) right over the eye over tropical storm Bonnie(Yes a eye was reported) with that being said it is like throwing a match in a lake of gas! Can you say booooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooom!



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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Bonnie WV signature [Re: danielw]
      #18863 - Wed Aug 11 2004 06:57 AM

Noticed a beaver tail outflow to the SW. WV imagery has more of an exhaust plume toward the Bay of Campeche.
Interesting patterns.


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Carl
Unregistered




Re: Charley Recon Airborne [Re: Matt33]
      #18864 - Wed Aug 11 2004 06:57 AM

Bonnie has grown significantly in size and is still west of 90 degrees. If I were in Boothvillle-Venice this morning, I would start paying close attention.

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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
going shopping... [Re: Carl]
      #18867 - Wed Aug 11 2004 07:31 AM

see u later
doing a fast publix.. now not later
cause might not be much left by the time i get off work tonight

saw franklins eyes on tv..could not say miami is too out of it...a little right or left of track.. not in middle but still too high probs not to go to publix now..working all day

will be on later
hi guys
by guys
bobbi

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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Hardcore
Unregistered




Re: going shopping... [Re: LoisCane]
      #18868 - Wed Aug 11 2004 07:38 AM

All right who woke up Bonnie ?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html


http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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Steve hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: going shopping... [Re: Hardcore]
      #18869 - Wed Aug 11 2004 07:45 AM

Yikes!!

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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: going shopping... [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #18870 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:14 AM

bonnie is growing in over all size.winds up 50mph press still falling 1000mb she looks like a storm now and could be on her way to a hurricane.

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jth
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
WOW [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #18871 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:15 AM

This si shaping up to be a very interesting day. I look for an extension west of the tropical storm watch for Bonnie. She is showing no signs of a NE turn and is getting close to where, even with the turn, she would clip SE LA. Also could be going through thet very rapid intensification we have been expecting. Could still be a cane at landfall.

As for Charley, He will be a Cat 2 by the end of the day. Also, he appears to be moving more westerly early this morning. If he goes south of Jamaica (A long shot at this point), then all bets are off and the track will again shift back west.

If Jason K is awake, do you still question the models. Also, can someone let us know what Joe B's thoughts are.


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: going shopping... [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #18872 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:15 AM

If anyone wants a quick synopsis of where Charlie's going, read the Tampa Bay Area Discussion. It isn't very encouraging if you live here.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered




Quick Link to Kingston Jamacia [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #18873 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:15 AM

Wind from the SE (130 degrees) at 35 MPH (30 KT) gusting to 46 MPH (40 KT) Pressure 29.94

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MKJP.html

I'm actually excited about this one, our office has a convention in Hollywood Florida this Thursday through Sunday. It's a Westin right on the Ocean, I mean RIGHT on the Ocean. During high tide the waves break against the sea wall.
I figure a little jog to the East and we'll have something to watch


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: going shopping... [Re: Steve hirschb.]
      #18874 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:26 AM

Holy Hannah! is all I can say. I think the entire state of Florida---maybe even some of the eastern coast...will be engulfed in watches/warnings before this day is out.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: going shopping... [Re: Colleen A.]
      #18875 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:31 AM

Can anyone hazard a guess as to what impact Charley woud likily have on flights out of TIA. I'm suppose to leave early Saturday morning to take my younger son to college.

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
TIA [Re: Anonymous]
      #18876 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:34 AM

I would imagine that all flights would be cancelled out of TIA due to Charley and/or Bonnie. Local mets are hinting at more watches/warnings going up at 11am. Hope that helps.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered




Link to discussion [Re: Colleen A.]
      #18877 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:35 AM

Hi Colleen, could you post the link?

Thanks!!


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Re: going shopping... [Re: Anonymous]
      #18879 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:38 AM

Looks like our good buddy Jason was right on about Bonnie's potential to explode... sure looks rather impressive on the IR... just started picking up some outerbands of Bonnie on the long distance radar loops out of NO, and should be able to closely moniter her forward motion throughout the day.... be interesting to see some good vis loops this morning... also agree with the earlier post about Charley... looks to be going more west this am... stay tuned

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jth
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
Re: going shopping... [Re: Frank P]
      #18880 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:42 AM

Charley did move due west for the past few hours. Is this a trend or a jog??? I think the NHC is asking the same question. Bonnie track further west than expected as well.

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Link to discussion [Re: Cocoa Beach]
      #18881 - Wed Aug 11 2004 08:46 AM

It's right on the front page of CFHC, before the main stories. Just keep looking down until you see Tampa Bay Area Discussion.

let me know if you find it.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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