danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Me too, and they are late with the fix. Last report was an hour ago. Plenty time to do a Vortex and supplemental vortex.
Thanks, for the update. I wonder what the plane really found. Since they upped the winds to 145mph.
Edited by danielw (Thu Sep 02 2004 02:08 AM)
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Doombot!
Unregistered
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It's up on Weatherunderground. 145MPH @ 937 MB
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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2am out...
Intensity is up to 145mb, pressure 937mb (from recon). Nothing else of note that changed in this advisory, so I think it's safe to say that 5am will be the next stopping point along the road to landfall.
Some or all of the hurricane watch along the FL coast may be upgraded to a warning in the morning, so residents need to make every effort to rush their preparations to completion. This is a sign that the storm isn't slowing like they thought it might, as a warning typically means you are 24-36hrs away from a storm (or less).
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Do I get the prize ?
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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mikeG
Unregistered
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without recon? where 937 come from......
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mikeG
Unregistered
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URNT12 KNHC 020543
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/0543Z
B. 22 DEG 39 MIN N
72 DEG 29 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2538 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 092 DEG 138 KT
G. 005 DEG 15 NM
H. 937 MB
I. 13 C/ 3036 M
J. 23 C/ 3035 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C30
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/1 NM
P. AF985 1606A OB 06
MAX FL WIND 138 KT N QUAD 0538Z.
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
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The prize is a couple of hours sleep.
Tomorrow and into the night will be begin a really
interesting and for me, a scary time as this
strengthening storm comes over my head.
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Bev
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 132
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL and Abaco, ...
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I agree with you. The graphics are totally off the raw data coming in. What's up with that?
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Survived Charley at Cat 4 under a staircase. Won't do that again. I watch SW Florida and Abaco primarily.
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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Probably extrapolated it from one of the recon reports, but I don't know.....
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 937 MB...27.67 INCHES.
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mikeG
Unregistered
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/020244.shtml?
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wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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They get the recon report before we do...remember they are in voice and telemetry contact with the plane directly...
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Jason Kelley
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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For some reason they seemed to have taken a bit longer to do the fix tonite.
Line "J" Is the temperature inside the eye. It's risen 5 C since the last fix. 23C versus 18C earlier.
Must be over warmer water now. Not Good at all!
Satellites should be back up in the next 15-30 minutes.
Edited by danielw (Thu Sep 02 2004 02:19 AM)
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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I actually started to say that in my message and then realized I really didn't know if that was accurate, so I didn't say anything. Thanks for the info.
Bill
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fred08
Unregistered
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so in 5-6 hrs only 2mb drop?
winds up 5mph? to 158.7mph fl lev
something's going on.....hey sats bck up in few mins
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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recon was in there, they also said it had a spectacular stadium effect..inside the eye. this thing is a monster. afraid it could be a cat. 5 today,,,,,
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mikeG
Unregistered
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URNT11 KNHC 020615
97779 06154 50214 73818 30400 33040 10088 /3084
RMK AF985 1606A OB 10
i missed a few
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Noticed that "hurricane watches upgraded in morning to hurricane warnings". Two comments on that:
(1) it ain't slowing down as of right now. What I'm afraid of is that if it does slow down, it will do so over land.
(2) It will more than likely be upgraded at 5am (or maybe 8) because at the rate it's going, someone will be feeling hurricane conditions within 24 hours of 5am Friday morning.
I'm dreading the 5am update...won't be surprised with the winds, but the track is what's go me concerned. If it comes in further south, it may be able to go across Lake Okechobee, which would do absolutely nothing to bring down the winds, and that would not be a very good thing. For anyone. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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According to WKMG-Tv's web site.....Orlando mayor Buddy Dyer has called for a state of emergency for the city of Orlando.......
I'm fearing this storm more and more, and heck I'm 8 hours away in Atlanta 
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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winds will proib. be higher at 5 am
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SoonerShawn
Unregistered
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Has anyone noticed the new UKMET model output? Very interesting!
ShawnS
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