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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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kelcot
Weather Guru


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Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: It Shifts Left [Re: Unregistered User]
      #23209 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:14 PM

are people starting to prepare in the panhandle. We're thinking that if we go to bring some gas cans with us and fill them up before we leave.
Kelly


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Kruz
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 16
Re: It Shifts Left [Re: kelcot]
      #23210 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:21 PM

Hi all. Been following this board since Charley. I live in Dunnellon, just south west of Ocala. I live in a mobile that was built way back in 1973. I have plans to exacuate to a friend with a block home but I am wondering what, if anything I will return to?

--------------------
Dunnellon, FL


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crm9501
Registered User


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Posts: 3
Loc: Boca Raton
Re: It Shifts Left [Re: MikeC]
      #23211 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:22 PM

Well, after much though, we have decided to stay put. Leave the evac. routes for those who really need them. Our house is secure and I have to trust those who have been through this before. Thank you for all your help, your advice and information. God bless each of you.

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HCW
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: It Shifts Left [Re: crm9501]
      #23212 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:23 PM

Is anyone else shocked that there are not cane warnings further South ?

Also when should this storm slow down ?

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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LI Phil
User


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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Thanks, Mike [Re: HCW]
      #23213 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:25 PM

Just to let everyone know, Mike's been busting his hump to keep the site afloat and now it seems to be faster than ever. Mike, whatever you did, YOU DA MAN!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Shawn W.
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 23
Loc: Charleston, S.C.
Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: LI Phil]
      #23214 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:31 PM

Joe Bastardi is definitely right. This thing has been going solid NW for a few hours, and it's slowing.

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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: It Shifts Left [Re: HCW]
      #23215 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:32 PM

i was surprised the warnings didn't include the watch area (upper and middle keys)

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HCW
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23216 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:33 PM

Quote:

Joe Bastardi is definitely right. This thing has been going solid NW for a few hours, and it's slowing.




I don't agree. It's anouther cycle just like yesterday and already looks more west the last 4 frames

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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Shawn W.
Verified CFHC User


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Loc: Charleston, S.C.
Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: HCW]
      #23217 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:36 PM

I respect your opinion. Anyone else think something else?

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fred08
Unregistered




Re: traffic [Re: HCW]
      #23218 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:38 PM

anyone know the difference in the Historical Volume and current volume on fla traffic graphs?


http://www3.dot.state.fl.us/trafficinformation/?CountyID=10&StationID=0110

just click any counter on page


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alan
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 95
Loc: Apopka, FL
Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23219 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:41 PM

The effects have started.
Here's the bouy chart of wave heights over the past five days from 120 miles off of port canaveral.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=41010&meas=wvht&uom=E


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Bloodstar
Moderator


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Posts: 462
Loc: Tucson, AZ
Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: HCW]
      #23220 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:42 PM

Quote:

Quote:

Joe Bastardi is definitely right. This thing has been going solid NW for a few hours, and it's slowing.




I don't agree. It's anouther cycle just like yesterday and already looks more west the last 4 frames




While it looks like a definate WNW (maybe 300 degrees) trend I'd wait another few hours to see where it's heading... and if it's slowing down... I just don't see it.

I know I'm just restating the obvious, but it takes at least a few hours to determine the motion of the storm.

Mark


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Artsy Fartsy
Unregistered




Re: Floyd/Andrew/Frances overlay [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23221 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:44 PM

I created an overlay (although somewhat crude) that shows the paths of Frances, Andrew and Floyd but have no way of posting it. I dont have a site that allows me to store pics on for open viewing. If I could email it to someone for it to be posted that would be fine by me.

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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


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Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Palm Beach County [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23222 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:45 PM

My preparations are almost complete. House is air tight and everything in the yard has been put away. Weather is very nice, very breezy, NE to 23 mph so far. Today's low temperature was only 81 degrees. This shows the tropical air in place from the onshore flow. Not much of a temperature range today, high only near 90. I can't believe how many homes are still not boarded up in my neighborhood. Supplies and gas very scarce. Local radio and tv stations asking people to call in about where they can find these items.

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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*Teal61
Unregistered




Re: JB [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23223 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:45 PM

I read JB every day and have been for about 3 years but...

I think Capt Joe is going down with his ship this time. And as far as movement goes since 0855z this morning the recon fixes have shown a solid wnw movement with some wobbles to the north and some back to the west, but the overall movement has been wnw. In fact, the fixes at 1430z and 1630z show a solid movement back to the wnw after a northern wobble.

I am a JB fan, but I'm not seeing a solid NW movement at all. When you are in as deep as he is right now you can find all sorts of little signs to point it your way but I'm just not seeing it yet.


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


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Posts: 4544
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Floyd/Andrew/Frances overlay [Re: Artsy Fartsy]
      #23224 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:47 PM

email mike@flhurricane.com

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SoonerShawn
Unregistered




Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23225 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:47 PM

It looks like the Shawn's are together on this one. I don't see this movement changing now. It's been on this trend for a while. The only way that it would change now is if the ridge really became stronger and forced it back westerly, kind of what happened to Andrew. I don't think that will happen though.

ShawnS


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eligrace
Unregistered




Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: Shawn W.]
      #23226 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:48 PM

Still moving west northwest at 13-according to the 2:00 p.m advisory

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DJINFLA
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 28
Loc: Sebastian, FL
Re: Thanks, Mike [Re: LI Phil]
      #23227 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:49 PM

Yes, thank you to all of you. I've discovered this informative site with Charley. Even though I check out NHC, all the insight discussed here has been worthwhile.

Now, on to the latest with Frances. Is it just about a big "no way" that it could still turn East (real sharply)? I'm in Sebastian, which hasn't had anything this huge since...? I'm really hoping for a "miracle turn" extremely eastward.


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Robert
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
Stuart, fl [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #23228 - Thu Sep 02 2004 05:49 PM

Finishing up preperations right now still lots to do around my part, many homes not boarded up becuse there is no plywood left. I Have been secururing my boat and other people's boat all morning long still have several to go. Wondering what cound of surge i can excpect up here in the south fork river where i am located right now. I am typing this from a copmuter at the boat yard i stay at as i have been disconnected from shore power and telephone lines on my boat. will give some updates later when i am done securing the rest of the fleet. winds NE brezzy gusting to 25mph and sunny.

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