danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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They are holding it for some reason. If had it 10 minutes ago it should be out by now.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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As if dealing with the whens/where/ifs/buts/ands/ors of these last 3 storms wasn't enough to make me a little "tense", this just happened.
I was sitting here typing that last post and I kept hearing this "thump bump" noise coming from the garage. I have a golden retreiver who loves the garage, so I figured it was her thumping her tail. I went to open the door to the garage and as I opened it, I came face to face with the biggest doggone frog I've ever seen in my life!  It must have been a value-meal size bullfrog. I was so scared (I hate frogs) that I couldn't even move. Then he jumped towards me, I jumped back and smacked my head on the side of the door, nearly knocking myself unconscious in the process. I slammed the door shut and locked it (like the frog could open the door or something) and made a beeline to the lanai to get a broom that I had used to sweep the pool area. Well, guess what? There were MORE FROGS out THERE! Not nearly as big, though. I got so mad that I took the broom and knocked the living warts outta them.
This, of course, is not directly related to , but I do believe that these .... things...are seeking higher ground either because of or the flooding we've had or maybe they're evacuating because of . I've never seen a frog that big EVER! The other night it was a big black snake slithering out of the garage. Ugh.
Dr. Steve Lyons just did a great segment on . He showed how that even if the storm just stays off the coast, it will still have a huge impact. I also noticed that if does skirt close to the coastline, Tampa Bay juts out to the west more than any other area in Florida.
I just heard that thump again. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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john03
Unregistered
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2am adv.... has est.... prss....
recon must of just came in....anyone seen vortex?
there should be a another adv... now .....
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DroopGB31
Weather Guru
Reged: Sat
Posts: 122
Loc: Pensacola
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Dont trick us like that! lol you had me going for a second, I was about to freak out. Where has everyone gotten this vortex because it isnt on the site. Need proof. Im bout to have a heart attack!
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
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Colleen, you're too funny !!
Careful, one of those frogs may be a prince in disguise !!!
"wish I could sleep but is keeping me up"
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BabyCat
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
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I couldn't find it on the recon site...
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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So was it a hoax ?
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Good point Colleen. Things are far from normal where the critters normally live. So they are appearing in places you don't expect to find them. Watch out for snakes and other unusual animals.
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BabyCat
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
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dunno
can't find it anywhere
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bsnyder
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 18
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Colleen, what did Steve Lyons say about the impact, if it just skirts the coast? Did he mention any storm surge heights for Tampa Bay?
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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It just may not be publicly available yet. There is a lag time usually associated with the dissemination of these reports; oftentimes, can have it a bit before the general public. And, those advisories are often created a bit before they are actually released. With a longer flight time en route to the storm for this recon flight, they may not have been able to wait on the recon fix. We'll know more within the half-hour.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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jth
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
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not a hoax. did say that. 905mb and ridiculous flight level winds. in the 215 MPH range.
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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I just posted what Dave at the Weather Channel was reading-word for word. Well, except for his rambling. I'll post the Vortex as soon as I get it. The other report have been running about 8 minutes delay.
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mikeG
Unregistered
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if recon did.... notice last report i saw is over 50mins old..... they should of done vortex 20mins ago.....seems it could be true.... just that the 2am should of been held.... just seems funny winds went from 155 to 190?  less than 30mins...
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jth
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
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can someone post a link to the Sat picks when they come back.
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Londovir
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 112
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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I'll post this attachment again. It's a basic Vortex Recon Decoder I've whipped up (for , go figure I'd still need it). It tries to translate the basic Recon report into plain English for us regular peoples. Here's the basics for how to use it:
Save the attachment as a .HTML file. (Such as decode.html).
Open the file with your regular web browser.
Click the link above the box on the page to load the most recent Vortex Recon report.
Copy and paste the full recon report from that page into the box.
Click the Decode button.
I'm working on more improvements as we speak, but for now can help. Keep in mind my decoder ignores the overall max winds reported in the vortex report, and only decodes what the flight level inbound data line says. I'm working on it, and hopefully will get an easier one out the door soon. (Trying to streamline it to allow for supplemental decodes and all as well....)
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Londovir
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I don't think that was a trick...I just read the advisory, and they did say "estimated" pressure. Maybe that's why Dave S. had such a dumbfounded look on his face when I tuned in to . I missed his announcement. Or maybe he looks like that all the time. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goes.html
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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Chrissy in PA
Unregistered
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All I want to say is I am praying for everyone who is in the path of . I send my every prayer that everyone is safe. God bless you all!
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mikeG
Unregistered
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twc must of got an email from warren...... wonder if he is on the flight LoL
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