Sam33
Unregistered
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actually in PCB right now....panic is setting in....lines at home depot this morning were long! and gas stations are picking up.... bay county e.o.c...(pcb) will hold meeting at 4cdt to determine course of action...as for strip....lots of constrc. equip...and junk still out....there is about 10-15 condos still at or near halfway built
tower cam on right
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kelcot
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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It will take them a week just to secure the high rise buildings, let alone pick up the debris. I wonder what a screw feels like when it's flying at you at 130mph.....?
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Kelly
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Mparker
Unregistered
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I have a house on Cape San Blas (located between Mexico Beach and Apalachicola) My management company called today and said they are starting to board up houses and wanted to know if they should include mine. We went ahead and told them yes, afraid we couldn't get it done if we waited.
So here I am on the net looking for any signs that is changing his mind about his intended path.
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kelcot
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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Ok, ya'll I'll check in with you later. I've got to take my 5 yr old to a birthday party.
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Kelly
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Takingforever
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sun
Posts: 43
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
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A screw feels like when it's flying at you at 130mph would be like a bullet out of a machine gun I would think. 
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Redbird
Unregistered
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Mike C.............I am sending a small gift soon too for your site's use........a little extra cash.
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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If you slow down the loop, you can see in the last few frames the eyewall tightening up.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html
The concentric one, that is.
Edited by ShaggyDude (Sun Sep 12 2004 01:34 PM)
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DroopGB31
Weather Guru
Reged: Sat
Posts: 122
Loc: Pensacola
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Today its seems as quite a few people around this area, Pensacola/Gulf Breeze are preparing. Gas lines are getting longer and longer. Im gonna go out later and see how crowded it gets at the Lowes and Walmart then head out to the beach and see whats happening. is heading on a generally WNW track with wobbles due west, and wobbles north. Models are everywhere from Western LA to Panama City. So Im not gonna make a landfall guess as of now, but Im thinking between SE LA, to Panama City. If track stays the same and there arent anymore curve balls thrown, my family will probably make some plans to get out tomorrow. Not going far though, just inland away from the water. Have a good day ya'll.
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k___g
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 110
Loc: Leesburg, FL
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speaking of birthdays...one year ago today we were tracking another Cat 5 storm which began with the letter I...Isabel...
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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Scott's forecast on BIloxi is interesting to say the least... he's been pretty accurate in the past but this time I think he's wrong on where the eye will make landfall, however, it very well could be within 100 miles of BIloxi... as several models indicate.... as least he made a prediction.... come right or wrong...
I posted on Monday almost a week ago I thought Mobile and 25 miles to the east... I'm sticking with it.... that would still be within Scott's 100 mile projected range....
He nails BIloxi with this one and it will be quite a forecast, not to mention how pissed off I'll be having to deal with a major cane... as long as its to the east of me I'm fine....
Still don't think it will be more than a Cat 3 storm.... that's still a problem for whomever gets it....regardless my preps are complete except hanging plywood...
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged: Sat
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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Several of the models are forecasting a late Wednesday in the Panhandle, but three days ago several models had the storm over the Keys and Lake Okeechobee by now
The model is the only one that is forecasting it to continue to move west, and it takes it Thursday into the border of Louisiana and Texas
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> I wonder what a screw feels like when it's flying at you at 130mph.....?
So, you're saying there are a few screws loose in PCB?
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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Whoever gets it will have a lot of mess to clean up afterwards.. Good luck to them, I have had two already and I am still cleaning up debris from the yard and the lake has over flowed into my yard.. Even saw two gators swimming where my grass use to be.. Anyways my point is, its gonna be someones mess, hope its not mine.. (pretty sure it wont be)
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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THE WEAK TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL LIFT OUT OUT AND LEAVE A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NEAR
85W. ONE WORRISOME FEATURE IS THE APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE
WEST. THIS WILL TRY TO NUDGE THE STORM A LITTLE CLOSER TO OUR
FORECAST AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE LAST THING WE WANT IS FOR
IVAN TO SLOW DOWN WITH THIS TROUGH APPROACHING. THE HURRICANE
GUIDANCE IS PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH MOVING THE STORM OUT AND NOT TIL
IT GETS TO THE NORTHERN GULF DOES BEGIN TO FEEL THIS TROUGH.
THIS FORECAST DEPENDS ALMOST ENTIRELY ON THE FORECAST TRACK OF
IVAN. IF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DEVIATES EVEN A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OR
RIGHT IT WILL HAVE A BIG IMPACT. STAY TUNED FOR CHANGES.
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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scary graphic...see attachment
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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boxerhouse
Unregistered
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Can anyone explain the implications of the two eyewalls? Is this bad or good?
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gumby/pensacola
Unregistered
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I rode out Erin Opal Andrew Camille, and many others. Lived in La. and Panhandle of Florida. I can tell you if you Leave at the last minute you will be sitting on the highway parking lot. If you plan to leave IMHO you need to do it early. I thought I was going to die on the Interstate bridge during Opal, traffic was stop for hours. Try to go to the bathroom while in car for hours and listening to the radio annoucer say its a cat five and if your not in shelter you are going to die. Anyway , Thanks for the site and if you are new to the Gulf Coast and wondering what to do , Leave or Hunker Down...but don't wait till the last minute
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waatcher
Unregistered
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when does need to begin his more northerly turn to stay on the HN\\NHC projected path?
Thanks
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waatcher
Unregistered
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oops
HN\\NHC
=
NHC
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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From the 2:00 :
Reports from ham radio operators and the Cayman meteorological service indicate that power is out throughout the island...numerous buildings have lost their roofs...water up to 2 feet deep covers the Airport runway...and water as high as 5 feet is flowing through many homes.
Can you imagine what it would have been like if made a direct hit?
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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