storm chaser
Unregistered
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If that was meant for me I did not take humor to it!
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DMFischer
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 70
Loc: Palm Bay
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Quote:
Its still heading NW I dont think NNW yet. Also Mozart you said that the outer bands were going thru Cocoa??? NOT!!!!!!!!! That has nothing todo with . s farthest outer bands are moving thru the Keys and extreme sw florida.
Well, I looked at this loop and I could see outflow going all the way up to the cape. Please, correct me if I am wrong here, but if I am not seeing flow that is directly attached to , explain to me what I am seeing. Please.
Infared loop
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Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08
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wrybyndblf
Unregistered
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Thank you so much. I have been lurking for WEEKS and I think this is the first "forecast" I haven't fretted over. I needed it. Thnx a bunch!
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recmod
Weather Guru
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Posts: 188
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Am I alone in thinking this was not funny in the least? My heart jumped in my throat when I started to read this post. Sitting here in Central FL with signs turning somewhat more ominous as to the possible future outcome with , I think the time has passed for off-color attempts at humor
--Lou
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storm chaser
Unregistered
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Quote:
Am I alone in thinking this was not funny in the least? My heart jumped in my throat when I started to read this post. Sitting here in Central FL with signs turning somewhat more ominous as to the possible future outcome with , I think the time has passed for off-color attempts at humor
--Lou
no it was not funny, it was sarcastic and I feel it was directed to me.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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I took it down as soon as I read it...while some might appreciate the wry attempt at humor, with so many people on edge right now, this was not the time nor the place for something "official" looking.
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 337
Loc:
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Agree, Time for jokes is past.
Now is the time to put out good information and save lives.
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Who is Joe Bastardi? The way people talk about him, he seems legendary, but I've never heard of him before this board....
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Ed in Va
Weather Master
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Posts: 489
Loc:
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Sorry...did not mean to offend or scare anyone...was only meant as a somewhat lighted hearted look at everyone's frustration of where is going.
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Well, as I said, normally it would have been pretty funny (maybe you want to repost it in the comedy forum), but it had the "official" look and, while certainly tongue in cheek, it scared the everliving $h!+ out of me until I got the joke...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 296
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Joe Bastardi is an Accuweather forecaster. I am not a fan (of Accuweather in general), and I'll leave it at that.
Edited by MrSpock (Mon Sep 13 2004 07:06 PM)
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BillD
User
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Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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I got a good laugh out of it.
Bill
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
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Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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He's the lead meterologist for Accu-Weather and one of the top hurricane guys.
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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SC Bill
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 24
Loc: South Carolina
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FINALLY! A question on here I can answer. 
Joe Bastardi is a senior (the senior?) forecaster for Accuweather. He had a free site for a while that had very good analysis, sometimes somewhat off the wall, but often very accurate forecasting. I believe he NAILED Gaston this year, well before most others even had a hint it would appear. He often relies on "teleconnections" to storms/weather in the Pacific, but others on here (HankFrank?) can explain that, I can't. Anyway, he went to "pay per view" some time ago.
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Ed in Va
Weather Master
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Posts: 489
Loc:
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Looks like will clip the far west end of Cuba. Will that be considered the firstl landfall? What's that area like...much population?
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Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!
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lilyv
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 31
Loc: Utah
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http://wwwa.accuweather.com/adcbin/public/promotional.asp?type=jb_where
Just about everything you'd want to know about Joe B. I think he was a wrestler, hence some folks call him
"the muscled one"
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richiesurfs
Unregistered
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I agree with that to. It could definietly go to the east part of the cone.
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GaryC
Weather Guru
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Posts: 109
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That is right only about 10% of the time..  Just opinion...not actuall #'s
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 296
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I don't know about population, but they will be in the eastern eyewall.
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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So far, the forecast is panning out just about as we expected here in my weather office...the turn is slighly sharper than I first thought, but in the end it should be about right regardless.
One thing to remember as you look at 12Z model data. DON'T. The models initialized with a WNW motion, but he made the turn to the NW or NNW about the time of the runs, so the models are all a bit (or a lot) too far west right now. Stacy caught this, and will probably expand upon it at 5.
I see no reason to change my forecast philosophy or reasoning and am now going to call for a landfall, near or (more likely) in my viewing area, just slightly west of Panama City, early Thursday (time to hang my hat on something...I have hedged long enough).
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Jason Kelley
Edited by wxman007 (Mon Sep 13 2004 07:15 PM)
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