LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
Jason,
What're you kidding me?
Edit THAT post?
Jesus (sorry) I've got tears in my eyes...I told you this in a PM but I'll reiterate it here...godspeed!
I'm not a religious man, but is making me rethink my position on that...you be safe!!!
Someone is going to feel a whole world of hurt...only problem is wishing it somewhere else only moves that hurt somewhere else...too bad my Fl Straits theory can't happen...
I'm sure there about a million or more who have to make life and death decisions in the next 24 hours...they may as well have the whole cone under evac orders.
My heart goes out to each and everyone of you. Wish there was something I could do from up here...I'm really hurting for the bucks ATTM, but whoever needs whatever I can send, let me know...
hoofah
--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
visitor
Unregistered
|
|
Prayers are on the way along with prayers for my family in Lynn Haven that have flooded twice....I have been hoping for A Pensacola landfall as I can weather this better than they..
|
Keith234
Storm Chaser
Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
|
|
Isn't that a physics principle of mass conservation?
--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe
|
SoonerShawn
Unregistered
|
|
I don't see a WNW jog that you all do. In fact I see more of a north motion now.
|
Allison
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
|
|
Quote:
Also...I sure hope those calling for a CAT II at landfall are right, but I don't see ANYTHING out there to stop at least a strong III/weak IV...depending on the conditions, why not a V?
The WV loop shows a ton of dry air sitting over LA and extending to the GOM... hopefully this will help to weaken some prior to landfall...
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
(it actually shows up better on the RAMSDIS loop, but I haven't figured out how to link to it....  )
Allison
--------------------
Allison
|
wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
|
|
Kel...
Her OB is a golfing buddy...if needs be I can get her admitted.
It is a girl, and her name will be Virginia Grace (Jenna)...we aren't changing to a....lol
Thanks for all the well wishes...now let's get back on topic!!!
--------------------
Jason Kelley
Edited by wxman007 (Mon Sep 13 2004 08:50 PM)
|
MrSpock
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 296
|
|
phew, I thought it was me. I tried getting different shots, and the last one I had did have that N jog.
|
FunkyLamb
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 4
Loc: New Orleans, LA
|
|
New Orleans Update...
All Orleans, Jefferson, St. Bernard, St. Tammany and Plaquemines Parish public schools are CLOSED. All Archdiocese schools are CLOSED. Loyola University and UNO are closed.
As was said earlier in the thread, Mayor Nagin has basically given a voluntary evacuation.
I-55 between 1-10 and I-12 heading south has been closed in anticipation of evacuation traffic.
--------------------
FunkyLamb
I'm just a simple man trying to make my way in the universe.
|
rule
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
|
|
I read that as "a psychic principle of mass conversion"..
Made for a confused moment. Comes from being somewhat dyslexic...
|
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
|
|
My personal opinion is that regardless if goes a little to the east or west of Pensacola, the area is in for a pounding.... you are right in the middle of the cone of probability... something really weird would have to happen for Pensacola not the get some significant weather from .... it would be much better for you if it were to hit on the east side, but if it does hit on your west, say Mobile, Pensacola will be pummeled... big time... providing of course it's intensity is still in the Cat3/4 range....
yeah, Pensacola right now looks like its in for a very rough time...things can change ... stay tuned...
|
MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Best and prayers from me as well Jason.
Away for a bit all. Hopefully it won't crash.
|
clyde w.
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 211
Loc: Orlando, FL
|
|
Jason--
I don't have a lot of pull with the big guy, but you have my prayers tonight as well.
Kindness repaid likewise--if there is a such thing as karma I know you and your wife will be just fine, because He wouldn't let anything happen to someone who gives so much to weather enthusiasts without asking anything in return. Good luck in the next few days to you--and everyone in the path of this beast.
|
tikibar
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 13
Loc: 28.6N 81.37W
|
|
Quote:
It is a girl, and her name will be Virginia Grace (Jenna)...we aren't changing to a....lol
hmmm... sounds like a princess 
good thing!
As I recall, a was the name of a big luxury yacht bouncing off things in Palm Beach during ! 
|
rule
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
|
|
Ok, with this last N wobble, can I claim my "west Cuba landfall by EW" prediction? Or am I 50 feet short?
Just think what it's like on that bit of land right now...
|
Terra
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
|
|
Quote:
New Orleans Update...
All Orleans, Jefferson, St. Bernard, St. Tammany and Plaquemines Parish public schools are CLOSED. All Archdiocese schools are CLOSED. Loyola University and UNO are closed.
As was said earlier in the thread, Mayor Nagin has basically given a voluntary evacuation.
I-55 between 1-10 and I-12 heading south has been closed in anticipation of evacuation traffic.
Of course that means my son has no school and I still have work, as I teach at a University a little more northern..... Actually, I don't want our school to close. I am giving an exam in my night class tomorrow.
Looking at the nice area high pressure over Louisiana, it seems like a waste... but, I guess tis better to be safe....
Great.... just saw that St. Tammany off-campus classes at SLU are cancelled for tomorrow. So much for that exam.....
--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill
Edited by Terra (Mon Sep 13 2004 09:24 PM)
|
SoonerShawn
Unregistered
|
|
I WAS WRONG!!!!
I admit I was totally off on my prediction with the trof and its effects on . It's a good thing I don't do it for a living because I'd be fired on my first day...lol
|
LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
|
|
Mike must be back on line because not five minutes after he went off...down we went...
Shawn...that's the spirit! I say that (sometime on line, sometimes off) every day!
I've been wrong about this one since day 1, but I think I did actually nail the no coobah landfall...maybe.
40 minutes and counting...
--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
|
dmusc
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1
|
|
I have been folllowing the models since the beginning of . I live in the Jacksonville FL area. I get alot of information from the Accuweather Pro site and Joe Bastardi. Does anyone have information on the latest Superensemble model run? I know it is proprietary and password protected online. The discussions have not mentioned it in any of the latest discussions, although they did early on. I'm hoping this is not the wrong place to put this question.
|
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
|
|
looks like a good initialization on it too... these models are starting to piss me off.... I would be very happy if they all point to the panhandle, nothing personal you floridians... but I'm getting tired of these models pointing at me..... go figure... here's the link for all of you bored enough right now to review....
If you plot it, they will come..... need to get Kevin Costner to play the part of the forecaster
GOM, the graveyard of busted forecasts... will this be another to add to the list...
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_09.gif
|
HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
|
|
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200409_model.gif
Okay I'm tired of the west shift but now it looks like most of the models are pointing at Mobile bay
Time to get back to boarding up and picking up stuff. Have a good night everyone James N Mobile AL
--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
[Re: 
Edit
Reply
Quote
