BubbaTB
Unregistered
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you ask.....Who in their right mind would do reporting like this?
it's called a "tease". Throwing out a line to recycle your viewers/listeners to a later time...and to create "buzz".
They accomplished their mission.
BubbaTB
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wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Quote:
Since you're on the inside...maybe you can ascertain this talk of track shift...
I think it was the hype machine in play, and totally irresponsible....but that is just my opinion...I don't beleive that it is based on fact, but some wild speculation.
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Jason Kelley
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Cape Escape
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1
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New registered user!
I have a question for you all. Our vacation home is located on Cape San Blas and I have been reading that being on the east side of a hurricane is the worst place to be. With the size of , how many miles to the east of the eye would be in this dangerous part?
Thanks!
Love the board!
Worried for Cape San Blas 29.6N 85.2W
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scottsvb
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
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I think they are just keeping people aware of whats going on in the gulf cause you never know what TS conditions might affect the coast. Right now I dont expect the track to change much if any at 11pm. Maybe slightly right but really still the same. Now again, a wobble NW or N or whatever happens from 6pm-11pm could really impact the oz models for the 5AM advisoury postion tracks.
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Here's a link to a nice visual of the sizes between , , and . A little off, but pretty close to scale, and still a bit of meteorological eye candy.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/coolimages/FloridaTCcomp.gif
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Definitely heading 305ish over the last two frames. Seems refuses to hit any island landmasses. Models initialized with positions when he jogged 330ish will be right-biased. I'm getting more and more convinced that this is a Mississippi-Alabama storm with some effects for SE LA and WFL. I guess if I had to make the call, I'd go with Long Beach-Biloxi as a strong Cat 3 or low-end Cat 4.
As noted on an earlier thread, should be the strongest storm to hit the Mississippi coast since Camille, though he shouldn't be in the same league at landfall - Wed late PM or Thurs late AM.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Point of order...there won't be any modelling initialized that way, because they haven't initialized the new runs yet....
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Jason Kelley
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Orlando
Unregistered
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Quote:
you ask.....Who in their right mind would do reporting like this?
it's called a "tease". Throwing out a line to recycle your viewers/listeners to a later time...and to create "buzz".
They accomplished their mission.
BubbaTB
Of course I realize their motive. It's just not the right circumstances to be doing this.
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Thanks JK. I thought the 18Z's would have been run around 1ish, but I guess that's when they put them out. Next 5-10 frames should be crucial in the long run. After further review, the last two jogs really appear to be around 295. Compared with the 4 near 330 and all the updates from today before 5 which were at 310, I'm thinking the storm is basically heading NW for now.
You guys take care in Panama City because you're gonna see some nasty weather, whether or not the eye landfalls nearby.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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troy
Unregistered
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jason
How much pressure is on an on air met from his new director to hype a storm like ?
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bobbi
Unregistered
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dont worry steve... think will get over his land phobia once he is in the gulf
hes done enough damage skirting land, imagine what he will do slamming into it?
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RicaGa
Unregistered
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Because im bored at work and also because I find number patterns in almost everything, I noticed this. Probably been "disovered" before and if it has, I apologize for reposting. Anyhow, here goes:
Cat V Hurricanes to make landfall in the US:
1 - Labor Day Storm - 1935
2 - Hurricane Camille - 1969
3 - Hurricane Andrew - 1992
4 - (speculation not wishcasting) Hurricane - 2004
Number of years between 1 & 2: 34
Number of years between 2 & 3: 23
Number of years between 3 & 4: 12
See the pattern? Okay back to your regularly scheduled hurricane discussion (which you all are great at might I add!).
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wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Depends on the News Director....here at my shop, it is my call to make..my management give me the freedom to make the calls that I deem necessary, and back me up all the way doing it. It is a VERY nice situation for me, and I know of very few shops who give people that much latitiude.
I can't really speak to anywhere else, because I am not there, but I would surmise that in the larger TV markets, there is a bit more pressure.
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Jason Kelley
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Even up here, 1,500 miles away from ...he's the number 1 story..
Does he even need hype?
You can cut the tension with a knife...we all gotta stay focused...at least until our eyeballs glaze over from looking at loops and getting loopy.
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Tarpon
Unregistered
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I heard Phillips and the met on Bay News 9 also talk about the turn north. It seems like the next move was a sharp left. I am not one tenth as smart as you guys about all of this tracking. I am just reading these posts to get some opinions about this storm so that I can be ready to get out of Pinellas County if I have to. Thanks to all of you.
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Mozart
Weather Watcher
Reged: Fri
Posts: 37
Loc: Simpsonville, SC
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Quote:
Cat V Hurricanes to make landfall in the US:
1 - Labor Day Storm - 1935
2 - Hurricane Camille - 1969
3 - Hurricane Andrew - 1992
4 - (speculation not wishcasting) Hurricane - 2004
Number of years between 1 & 2: 34
Number of years between 2 & 3: 23
Number of years between 3 & 4: 12
See the pattern?
Going by your reasoning, that would mean another Cat 5 next year as well.
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Was it Bay News 9 or WFTV 9 in Orlando? I just heard they hyped a "major change at 11" too. These guys are on crack.
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BubbaTB
Unregistered
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I'm with you! If they have important information about the storm, they should give it now. obviously, they do not really have that kind of information, so in the long run they hurt themselves with this when tonight at 11pm their viewers discover the hype.
Best wishes to all,
BubbaTB
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> Going by your reasoning, that would mean another Cat 5 next year as well.
Nothing gets by Amadeus! LOL!
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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spook
Unregistered
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Is it me or is it speeding up,and if it does speed up will that affect a more n,ne turn .
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