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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
Master of Maps


Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Where........... [Re: mbfly]
      #27257 - Tue Sep 14 2004 05:59 PM

If this doesn't do it, nothing will make him go:


Full size:
http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/maps/ivan_centralgulf49.gif

As Mike indicates with each new thread, do not focus only on the forecast path, everyone under a warning or watch needs to be prepared.

NHC Advisory 50 for Ivan indicates hurricane force winds up to 100 miles inland at landfall.


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Where........... [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #27258 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:00 PM

Thanks skeet! Um...that would convince ME to leave

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc: 28.60N 81.35W
Re: Where........... [Re: mbfly]
      #27259 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:03 PM

Quote:

Hey Skeetobite............ how soon are you going to do one of your street level maps for Mobile ?? I may need it to use as leverage to get my hubby to leave !!

Thanks !


http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/maps/ivan_centralgulf45.gif

This is close. hope it helps.


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mud1967
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 42
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Where........... [Re: LI Phil]
      #27260 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:11 PM

You got it right!!

60 NM and 69.....static

Thanks LI phil and all who took a stab at it. Great link!


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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc: 28.60N 81.35W
convince me to leave as well [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #27261 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:11 PM

Anytime you're on the coast with a major storm coming at you, I think you should leave.
Judging from the traffic coming out of New Orleans, lots of people are evacuating.


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Rubber Ducky
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 16
Loc: Cocoa Beach, FL
Re: Where........... [Re: LI Phil]
      #27262 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:12 PM

Table 7 of Bowditch (American Practical Navigator) is the best source for longitude-at-latitude distance calcs: http://pollux.nss.nima.mil/pubs/pubs_j_apn_sections.html?rid=187

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HCW
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Where........... [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #27263 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:12 PM

Quote:

If this doesn't do it, nothing will make him go:



That's it. I'm out of here . Bye
Full size:
http://www.skeetobite.com/weather/maps/ivan_centralgulf49.gif





That's it. I'm out of here . Bye

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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CentralFlorida
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sun
Posts: 27
Loc: Port Richey FL
Re: Where........... [Re: HCW]
      #27264 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:16 PM

Everyone in the path or that will be affected from Ivan I wish you all the best. Be safe!!

--------------------
Survived Charley, Jeanne, Frances, Ivan and my Wife


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lcdrgas
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 2
Re: Where........... [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #27265 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:17 PM

Question from an amateur......Should I evacuate to a shelter 4 miles away?or stay in the house.....Front door step is at 25 foot level..1/2 mile north of the perdido key sound/grand lagoon. House was built in 1996 2200 sf, stucco....Very few trees. I am sending the family but thinking of staying as others in the neighborhhod are also...Would a shelter offer more protection?(school), even though it is very similiar in distance from the gulf as the house.......Thanks for your responses

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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
Master of Maps


Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Where........... [Re: lcdrgas]
      #27266 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:22 PM

Quote:

Question from an amateur......Should I evacuate to a shelter 4 miles away?or stay in the house.....Front door step is at 25 foot level..1/2 mile north of the perdido key sound/grand lagoon. House was built in 1996 2200 sf, stucco....Very few trees. I am sending the family but thinking of staying as others in the neighborhhod are also...Would a shelter offer more protection?(school), even though it is very similiar in distance from the gulf as the house.......Thanks for your responses




When I lived in Metro Detroit, we had a local Met who always said; "if threatening weather approaches, or you feel threatened by the weather, move to a safe location"

You choice to evac is yours alone. I'm confident you will make the right decision.

Be safe.


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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: Where........... [Re: lcdrgas]
      #27267 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:36 PM

Go to another shelter inland.

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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1213
Loc: South Florida
Re: Where? Maybe Pass Christian [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #27269 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:44 PM

Why not? Maybe its the summer of Camille. Big anniversary, lots of talk. Hasn't been one like that in a long time. Earlier in the season around the anniversary there was talk of that storm going in there.

Usually this season I have looked to the right of the cone (usually south) and was right with both Charley and Frances but with Ivan's tenancious nature and need to go west.. just takes a little westward movement or lack of eastern movement at landfall to replay landfall where Camille made famous. A hard act to follow.. maybe this is the year for Ivan to do so.

Just a few thoughts of an historic point of view.

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Where........... [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #27270 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:44 PM

If you think you may be in a dangerous location LEAVE NOW!! It will take you At least twice as long to get from point A to point B now. Waiting will further jeopardize your safety.
I'm at the intersection of I-59(from New Orleans), US 98(from Mobile and FL panhandle), and US 49 (from the MS Gulf Coast) I have never seen traffic back up SO Bad.
New Orleans: Contra flow (4 lanes of traffic out!! east and west)
Airport:most airlines are shutting down at 7pm CDT tonite.

Traffic is at a crawl here. Long lines at fuel pumps. And I'm 60 miles from the Gulf Of Mexico!!
I've been told that US Hwy 49 from Gulfport is backing up below Hattiesburg.

Edited by danielw (Tue Sep 14 2004 07:01 PM)


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2969
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Where........... [Re: Justin in Miami]
      #27271 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:45 PM

Joseph Johnston has a webcam in a really good location in Mobile bay that we host on this site, http://flhurricane.com/jjohnston/

wanted to make special mention of that

Also if jjohnston is around please email me. (I lost your original email)


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lilyv
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 31
Loc: Utah
Re: Where........... [Re: danielw]
      #27272 - Tue Sep 14 2004 06:52 PM

Quote:

If you think you may be in a dangerous location LEAVE NOW!! It will take you At least twice as long to get from point A to point B now. Waiting will further jeopardize your safety.




Incredibly good advice.

Edited by lilyv (Tue Sep 14 2004 06:53 PM)


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
GO NOW! [Re: lilyv]
      #27273 - Tue Sep 14 2004 07:01 PM

mbfly...

I just checked "who's online" and noticed you are still here. How much more convincing will it take?

I know this may be the most difficult decision you will ever have to make, but this in NOT frederick. It's GOING TO BE WORSE (unless the almighty one throws us a bone...pray for that).

I really think you need to evac now...to Texas! If your husband won't go...you may want to consider going it alone (I know that would be another incredibly difficult decision). If you do decide to go..GO NOW. Every minute you delay puts you in that much more danger!

If you do decide to stay, then my heart and prayers will certainly be with you...godspeed!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Allison
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas 27.62N 99.55W
A little OT -- but applies to evac areas... [Re: Justin in Miami]
      #27274 - Tue Sep 14 2004 07:03 PM

To those who are evacuating:

First of all, let me wish each of you the best of luck. All our thoughts will be with you during the coming days.

Second, while human interests ALWAYS come first, please remember to take your pets with you. If you are not able to return for days or weeks, they won't be ok on their own. Tell your neighbors too...

Some resources that might be of help:

Mobile, AL SPCA -- http://www.mobilespca.org/
Louisiana SPCA -- http://www.la-spca.org/
Pet-Friendly Hotels -- http://www.petswelcome.com/
Emergency Animal Rescue Service -- http://www.uan.org/ears/
Animals in Disasters -- http://www.redcross.org/services/disaster/0,1082,0_604_,00.html

Humane Society of Bay County, 1600 Bay Ave, Panama City, Florida 32405, (850) 763-3923


Allison


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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: Where........... [Re: gonyen]
      #27275 - Tue Sep 14 2004 07:04 PM

can we just ask you to compute it for us??

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: GO NOW! [Re: LI Phil]
      #27276 - Tue Sep 14 2004 07:07 PM

Phil and MBfly, based on the traffic I'm seeing here. 80 miles from Mobile. Mobile residents may be better off on Interstate 65. Just remember, Once you leave, don't turn around and go back!!

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jth off
Unregistered




Re: GO NOW! [Re: danielw]
      #27277 - Tue Sep 14 2004 07:09 PM

65N out of Mobile is a virtual parking lot from Mobile all the way to BHAM. It took my sister 4.5 hrs to get to Montgomery. My cousins coming up and have gotten off the interstate in favor of back roads.

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