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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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James88
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: who needs a laugh right now? [Re: Mooshie-SC]
      #28832 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:09 PM

I wouldn't say that just yet - it's probably a little too early to rule it out at the moment.

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MO stormspotter
Unregistered




Re: Water cooler pool on Jeanne's survival [Re: LI Phil]
      #28833 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:09 PM

the 18:45 frame of the visual sat sure looks to me like storm is reorganizing.

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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
Master of Maps


Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Meanwhile [Re: LI Phil]
      #28834 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:10 PM

liphil said >> I dare anyone to lay out a forecast for either of these two puppies right now...

Let me narrow this down for everyone with my laser focus forecast (a Skeetobite exclusive):



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Brad
Unregistered




Re: Meanwhile [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #28835 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:12 PM

I think your cone is a little narrow, Skeet

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leia
Unregistered




Re: Meanwhile [Re: LI Phil]
      #28836 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:13 PM

New here... who is JB and where can we read his opines?

Quote:

Yet that is EXACTLY what JB is opining in the midday...to wit...





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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
HEH Skeeter [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #28837 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:13 PM

In case anyone is wondering, not the red dot but the big huge circle surrounding it...that's where Jeanne will be...pick anyhwere within the cone...well...wait, that's not a cone is it?

Skeeter just made history, the CIRCLE of uncertainty! Brilliant

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Kent
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale
Re: Meanwhile [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #28838 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:13 PM

skeetobite said

"Let me narrow this down for everyone with my laser focus forecast (a Skeetobite exclusive):"

STOP! NOW PLEASE!!!! You guys are gonna make me need some depends here!


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James88
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: HEH Skeeter [Re: LI Phil]
      #28839 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:14 PM

LOL!

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AugustaDawg
Registered User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 3
Re: What the ... [Re: mom2als]
      #28840 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:14 PM

Thank you mom2als!! We're going to give it a shot!!

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dwlobo
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 21
Loc: Palmetto, FL
Re: Meanwhile [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #28841 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:19 PM

All my co-workers are looking at me funny, since I just fell out of my chair lol! Very good analogy of where we think we are.

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Steve Hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: Meanwhile [Re: dwlobo]
      #28842 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:27 PM

Jeanne is pretty much doing what the NHC said it would do.......weaken to a TS then begin re-strengthening. She has to get away from the island and pull her circulation back together. This is beginning now. Give her time. She has survived the trek. She will pull herself together, then get us nervous as hell along the Florida coastline. Don't react to every new sat frame. Patience.

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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Meanwhile [Re: dwlobo]
      #28843 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:27 PM

Funny...good stuff we need to laugh

--------------------
doug


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SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL
Unregistered




Re: Meanwhile [Re: dwlobo]
      #28844 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:28 PM

I knew somebody knew what was going on thanks Skeetobite! LOL

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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Meanwhile [Re: Steve Hirschb.]
      #28845 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:33 PM

The storm is a mess the LLC(?) is exposed and the mid level backing to the east with shear over it...life support please!

--------------------
doug


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Dennis S
Unregistered




Re: Meanwhile [Re: SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL]
      #28846 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:33 PM

Last Recon shows 39/MPH 1003MB pressure, no closed eye wall or couldn't find eye wall..

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Kdubs
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 44
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Meanwhile [Re: leia]
      #28847 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:34 PM

Quote:

New here... who is JB and where can we read his opines?

Quote:

Yet that is EXACTLY what JB is opining in the midday...to wit...








JB = Joe Bastardi, Chief Meteorologist at Accuweather.com

--------------------
South Orlando
God Bless
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Bold = Reached hurricane status
Italics = Impacted Florida


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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Meanwhile [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #28848 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:35 PM

SkeetoBite, I think you can make the same chart for Ivan. I do not think I have seen a bigger mess in forecast. Looks like a three year old is drawing the tracks.

--------------------
Jim


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SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL
Unregistered




Re: Meanwhile [Re: Dennis S]
      #28849 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:36 PM

Great news to take to "happy hour" with me in about an hour!!YIPEEE she is almost dead!!!!!!

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Meanwhile [Re: Kdubs]
      #28850 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:38 PM

Quote:

Quote:

New here... who is JB and where can we read his opines?

Quote:

Yet that is EXACTLY what JB is opining in the midday...to wit...








JB = Joe Bastardi, Chief Meteorologist at Accuweather.com




Ah, crap, I totally forgot about that post.

One must add, unfortunately that access to Joe B is not free. You can, however, try the service for free for 30 days. A bunch of us on here are subscribers...others feel they should not have to pay for access to data (not necessarily Joe B) that we as taxpayers support...

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/adcbin/public/promotional.asp?type=benefits

if you do decide to sign up, make sure you sign up for the PRO not the Premium, because with Premium you don't get Joe.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Londovir
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 112
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: Meanwhile [Re: SOUTHFLAHAPPYGAL]
      #28851 - Fri Sep 17 2004 03:42 PM

Could we call that the Sphere of Speculation? The Loci of Lunacy? The Circle of Solitude? The Conic of Convection?

I give up.

In any case, that animated model verification seems to say the GFDL, overall, had Ivan pegged as soon as Ivan brushed Jamaica. Might have twittered a bit from Panama City to New Orleans, but eventually settled right on target.

That said, wouldn't it be nice if the GFDL had Jeanne pegged? The 8am run of it had doing the tourist thing with Bermuda....man, that would be nice....

--------------------
Londovir


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