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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: The richardson experiment? [Re: LI Phil]
      #31202 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:12 PM

The Richardson's experiment was performed by British met. Lewis Fry Richardson in the early 1900's . He used mathematics to represent the atmosphere because it is physical, prob the first one to do that and think of it not as linear but multi-dimensional. He sent up weather ballons measured the atmosphere at many different levels and collected it, applied mathematic equations etc and came up with a forecast that wasn't right. There was too much info to handle prob even today, we solve for one variable and we come up with another. If the NHC collects to much info then the computers will simply not handle it properly and therefore make mistakes, nothing is perfect; as the models are only as good as the people that made them.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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Shalafi
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
Re: Poll [Re: LI Phil]
      #31203 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:12 PM

If any help is needed I'm offering...just PM me. I'll be glued to the site all night...(that's not a threat, it's a promise..at least until I fall asleep at the keys)

--------------------
Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!



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ROB IN PA
Registered User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 4
Re: Hurricane Warnings Up from Florida City to St. Augustine [Re: Justin in Miami]
      #31204 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:13 PM

This might be wild shot in dark but does anybody think this could be ala betsy in 64 that headed to miami from bahama's then dove south to key largo and out to GOM. It just seems this is not going turn north this time. I am new this and board and really thank all for your knowledge and for having this great site.

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Bioman
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 49
Re: Poll [Re: Shalafi]
      #31205 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:14 PM

glad to have you on board again bryan. was supposed to have a football game tonight but volusia cancelled all their activities today. Im grateful everything worked out for you today.

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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Keith234 [Re: SoonerShawn]
      #31206 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:16 PM

The ULL is first of all backing off and 2nd will provide the instability to harbor a LLC. I just don't think we've seen the last of this thing, I might be pushing it though we'll see...

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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Shalafi
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
Re: Poll [Re: Bioman]
      #31207 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:18 PM

You and me both. Are you planning to H down in Volusia?

(NOTE: H rhymes with bunker and makes me dry heave when I hear it..)

--------------------
Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!



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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Hurricane Warnings Up from Florida City to St. Augustine [Re: ROB IN PA]
      #31208 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:19 PM

Betsy was a very simliar storm to this and it's a good analogy, so is Dennis. The only difference is that I don't think it's headed towards Miami.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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35N 83W
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Warnings Up from Florida City to St. Augustine [Re: Unregistered User]
      #31209 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:20 PM

An observation at 1700 from 35N 83W
Low level clouds NONE
Mid Level clouds THICKENING FROM ESE
High Level clouds THIN CIRRUS FROM WEST

48 hours ago ONLY HIGH CIRRUS FROM EAST

So, make of it what you will but it seems at 35N the High may be getting blown to the east.

******************

Weather? Whether the wind blows from the east or the west, to north or the south, and you can pretty much tell what the weather's gonna be like.

***************************

Prayerfull thoughts for my friends in Florida who are gonna get wind from every which way in a coupla day. Good Luck.


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Bioman
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 49
Re: Poll [Re: Shalafi]
      #31210 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:23 PM

my other half works at disney on the rideout crew. I might just stay there. He went thru Hugo in charleston when he was like 14 and is terrified of hurricanes.

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Shalafi
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
Re: Poll [Re: Bioman]
      #31211 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:26 PM

Disney should be pretty safe. Wherever you are, stay safe!

--------------------
Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!



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StormKrone
Weather Watcher


Reged: Mon
Posts: 34
Loc: Jacksonville, FL
Re: Poll [Re: Bioman]
      #31212 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:27 PM

Quote:

i could only vote once also




Oh, well, I tried...

SK

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:12 PM)


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mamadoxie
Unregistered




Re: Poll [Re: StormKrone]
      #31213 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:30 PM

I voted for CFHC!

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:13 PM)


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John C
Unregistered




Re: Poll [Re: mamadoxie]
      #31214 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:32 PM

Thanks for your support!

Thanks,
John

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:14 PM)


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nandav
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 37
Loc: Pt. Charlotte, FL
Re: Poll [Re: mamadoxie]
      #31215 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:32 PM

SO did coming home from work and voting on my home computer.

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:14 PM)


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Poll [Re: mamadoxie]
      #31216 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:33 PM

Thanks for all your support!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:15 PM)


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Shalafi
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
Re: Poll [Re: ]
      #31217 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:33 PM

We took some away from the NHC and surpassed wxunderground...woohoo!

--------------------
Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!



Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:16 PM)


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mamadoxie
Unregistered




Re: Poll [Re: ]
      #31218 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:34 PM

I will vote for my husband!

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:16 PM)


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Bioman
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 49
Re: Poll [Re: Shalafi]
      #31219 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:36 PM

i wonder what the total storm damage from bonnie, charlie, Frances and Ivan is for florida?

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Shalafi
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
Re: Poll [Re: mamadoxie]
      #31220 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:38 PM

I have an idea for the site altho I have no idea what kind of programming would be needed. I think it would be fun to let a few members make their own spaghetti model. BAM, UKMET, SCOTT, MODINLI...ok I'll stop talking...

--------------------
Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!



Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 08:17 PM)


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tpratch
Moderator


Reged: Fri
Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
Re: Poll [Re: Bioman]
      #31221 - Fri Sep 24 2004 07:39 PM

Quote:

i wonder what the total storm damage from bonnie, charlie, Frances and Ivan is for florida?




*puts pinky to lower lip*
ONE MILLION DOLLARS!

ROFLMAO...can you hang here all night?

Edited by LI Phil (Fri Sep 24 2004 07:44 PM)


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