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Invest 95L off African Coast is Unlikely to Develop - Rest of Basin is Quiet.
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Archives >> 2004 Storm Forum

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Spike
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 221
Loc: Central, Florida
Re: Hurricane Ivan Damage Report [Re: LI Phil]
      #34399 - Mon Nov 08 2004 08:34 PM

Auf Deutsch zu sprechen, macht Spaß obwohl

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Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged: Thu
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Hurricane Ivan Damage Report [Re: LI Phil]
      #34400 - Mon Nov 08 2004 08:39 PM

I'm not going to use a translator, here are some of the most common sayings I use: My German das ist ja gar nicht so schlimm. Verdammt und zugenäht! and wie heißen Sie?

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Hurricane Ivan Damage Report [Re: Keith234]
      #34401 - Mon Nov 08 2004 08:48 PM

OK, then try this...not from Babblefish:

Dein schlechtes Benehmen lasse Ich mir nicht gefallen



--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Keith(234)
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Ivan Damage Report [Re: LI Phil]
      #34402 - Mon Nov 08 2004 08:57 PM

Don't be a pain in the neck child? I think that's it right, toi toi toi. Got to go out to dinner...going to karny square.

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Hurricane Ivan Damage Report [Re: Keith(234)]
      #34403 - Mon Nov 08 2004 09:03 PM

Not bad, considering it's a proverb...roughly translated it comes out to "I won't put up with your bad behavior". (Only kidding.)

Enjoy San Fran...be sure to hit 710 Ashbury!

Did you have a big dish of Beef Chow Mein???

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Hmmmm.... [Re: LI Phil]
      #34404 - Tue Nov 09 2004 10:50 AM

Invest 91L

I doubt it will amount to anything other than a rainmaker...the Islands are in for a soaking...

Nice Loop

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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James88
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
Re: Hmmmm.... [Re: LI Phil]
      #34405 - Tue Nov 09 2004 12:15 PM

You're probably right there, Phil.

It's been a while since a TWO that long was issued.


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Deutscher
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Ivan Damage Report [Re: LI Phil]
      #34406 - Tue Nov 09 2004 01:21 PM

Alles Apfen machen nach!

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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc: Great Lakes 45.95N 84.55W
Re: Hmmmm.... [Re: LI Phil]
      #34414 - Tue Nov 09 2004 10:08 PM

I wouldn't count it out just yet, maybe not in a tropical sense however. If it gets classified as a tropical cyclone, it will only be because the hurricane hunters go out there and find a weak warm core; the appearance is more of a subtropical/extratropical nature to me. There is model support for some development (generally borderline hybrid), and storms have been known to form in such environments -- though we usually see it happen closer to the U.S. in the Gulf or just off-shore.

Without much of a glance, this situation looks akin to the one back in May, with a bit more organization or a tropical nature than that storm had. Wouldn't be shocked to see something out there, but I'll concur on the statement that we're done for a storm tracking west out of the Atlantic towards shore. They'll definitely get a lot of rain through there over the coming days.

Though the long-range (15 day) GFS from last Friday did try to develop something and bring it west á la Jeanne...with pretty cold air over the southeast U.S. at that future time...

...no, it's not going to happen...and really, it's useless to use the 15-day GFS for anything!

Weather over the U.S. is much of the same as it's been for a few days -- every 5 days or so, we get a low in the northwest slide south and become cut-off, digging the trough in the east as troughs in the eastern Pacific ride over the ridge (classic Rex block with the cut-off low in the ridge) after undergoing trough fracture. The cut-off finally gets ejected east as a new system comes to take it's place, and thus the ridge -- and cool air -- in the east is reinforced. This should hold for another week or so at the least; typically, long-wave patterns change about every 2 weeks, meaning we've still got a bit of time to go (on average) before this one changes. But, with cool air in the east and (some) rain and moisture in the west...it's not an entirely bad pattern for the U.S. on the whole.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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