Cycloneye11
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 70
Loc: San Juan,Puerto Rico
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http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2005/june_zzz/june05.html
My reaction to his update is.  He ups the numbers primary due to the warm SST's in the tropical atlantic and the lack of el nino.So folks let's be prepared and hoping for the best.
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 330
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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Looks like a very interesting summer coming up for us. I wonder who`s in for a spanking this year. Time will tell. Like Cy said " BE PREPARED "...Weatherchef
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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I guess we will know soon enough..so be prepared.
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Animated SST comparison - May 26, 2004 to May 26, 2005
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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The following link will take you to a PDF file download of an analysis of the June 1st forecasts by Dr. Gray for each season compared to the actual observations for the entire season for each period since 1999. Note that this overview also includes the revised June 1, 2005 numbers, however, the revised 2005 forecast numbers are not included in the averages calculated for each category.
This file includes a variance report (from forecast) of the June 1st forecast numbers, several charts and the final two pages are the raw data.
Since our focus is the graphical dissemination of data, no effort was made to prepare a synopsis beyond our observation of the trend that Dr. Gray tends to be conservative in his forecasts.
http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/analysis/dr_gray.pdf
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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Your animated SSI comparison is quite effective.
She heatin' up, that's for sure.
Whoa nelly!
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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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Ummm, I mean SST comparison.
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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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He is good!!!!
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
Reged: Tue
Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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Nice work .. have you considered doing some research/graphs of the time when they have hit? In other words, how many Cat 1 have hit Florida in June, Cat 2 in June, etc.. Cat 1 in July, Cat 2 in July, etc.. all the way thru the year?
New site showing probabilities of exposure in 2005:
http://hurricane.methaz.org/
I loved the mapping they have done and some of their links.. I could zoom right into a 20 mile path around my home and see every cain that had passed by my property over the last 100 years, the wind speed, even the flooding.
OT: BTW, has anyone seen Storm Stopper's panels?
http://storm-stoppers.com/
If so, thoughts?
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Quote:
Nice work .. have you considered doing some research/graphs of the time when they have hit? In other words, how many Cat 1 have hit Florida in June, Cat 2 in June, etc.. Cat 1 in July, Cat 2 in July, etc.. all the way thru the year?
If so, thoughts?
We are preparing a database driven analysis of the 275 known hurricanes to have impacted the united states between 1851 and 2004. This project is nearly complete and will include:
- date info
- storm name (if any) strength at landfall
- U.S. State(s) affected and category for each state affected for each storm
- maximum winds in kts and mph
- minimum central pressure
- a brief narrative
- Storm track map
Obviously, once you have all the data, you can sort and crunch it any way you like. We will provide multiple sort and search options. Once this project is complete, it will be available on our website. I will post the link as soon as testing is done.
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Cycloneye11
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 70
Loc: San Juan,Puerto Rico
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Very interesting to see all of that when it gets out so I can't wait.
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