Droop31
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
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That dry air should be modifying some soon. Im not concerned with the dry air. Im worried about shear. So far in her life, the shear hasnt let her develop storms over her center. If all of a sudden before landfall she decides to flare-up, which Im thinking she will, we may a minimal cat 1 on our hands. I say minimal, not WEAK because I dont believe any hurricane is weak.
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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From that view does appear to be moving N-NW afterall.
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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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just saw that at 1600 a ship
WAAH S 1600 24.90n -84.80w distance from 54nm hdg 6 wind dir. 100 wnd sped. 31.1 kts pressure 29.44 ptdy in-0.22 air temp 79.7 water temp 86.0 - visb. 6.2 -
heres link heres link
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jun 10 2005 05:07 PM)
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Ugggg.... Hey what's all this fuss about... is there something in the GOM this morning? hehe
First Hurricane watch of the season and I'm in it.... hopefully this will be our swan song this year..
Predicted a couple of days ago between Ocean Spring and Pascagoula.... still looks right to me give or take a few miles... min Cat 1 certainly NOT out of the question, but FL panhandle will get the worst of it...
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Looks to be developing a tad bit to the WSW of (the center?)
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
****************
Ed
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Storm Hunter
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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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i think she is getting some storms to fire now on nw side!
new storms?
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jun 10 2005 05:14 PM)
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Droop31
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 32
Loc: Pensacola
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Storm Hunter, I checked out that ship report and I guess its true. The center is just about on top of it. 996/997mb is what its reporting. Very interesting!
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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sounds reasonable to me too... as 's overall signature improves you'd think there would be a corresponding drop in pressure.... guess well find out for sure from recon
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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I'm interested to see this next advisory...I have lost the center again.
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lar
Unregistered
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Gainesville received 'only' TS storm force winds during and Jeanne, but that was enough to create 25 years worth of yard waste in one month. We lost a LOT of trees and many people went without power for up to a week or even longer. Unless it's a weak TS, I wouldn't take it too lightly. I'm assuming that if the storm heads nearly straight N, as some models have predicted, that Gainesville could see more winds of at least 30 mph with stronger gusts. I guess that also depends on how much the storm strengthens/expands in the next several hours (lots of IFs.)
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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that ship is the best recon in the storm, maybe someone requested that they head right through it to their next destination, not a good choice, but hey thankz for the reports! I am trying to find out what kind of ship it is. Will post if i find out.
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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If I am looking at the visibles correctly, it appears to me that the LLC is right on the 85 line.
I, too, am anxious to see the next advisory. It may be moving more NNW now.
The skies are getting darker and heavier and so is the air.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
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Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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If that ship is right near the center, the water temperature is listed as a very healthy 86 degrees.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Loc: Florida
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Hope it's a big ship, that's for sure! Looking at the last visibles on TV, the met pointed to the center and moved his finger in almost a due N movement. Who the heck knows what it's gonna do? ACK. C'mon already with the 2pm!
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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think center is now just north of 25n and close to 85w......between thunderstorms that are now on both sides of center. some storms fired up in last two hours on nnw side and are starting to wrap around center.
take a look at sat see the storms? 
will not be long until storm passes very close to the bouy just nw of her!
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jun 10 2005 05:51 PM)
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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I agree Colleen, also notice there is convection starting to fire up on the west side of the center... which is a first... best I can determine is the center is around 25.2 and 85.1.... but the main feature is the convection starting up on the nw and west side of the center... albeit not much, there had been none throughout the history of storm... NNW looks about right for motion...
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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Agree completely. Looks to be a Pensacola hit now unless there is a NW turn. NNW looks good to me.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 450
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005
TORNADO WATCH 450 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
FLC011-015-021-043-051-071-086-087-099-110300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0450.050610T1745Z-050611T0300Z/
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD CHARLOTTE COLLIER
GLADES HENDRY LEE
MIAMI-DADE MONROE PALM BEACH
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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all depends on degees of NNW it takes, a true NNW would put it around 87.5 or so... wobble here or there, new center refomation, either could make the difference in a MS/AL line hit or a AL/FL hit... regardless Pensacola will probably get the brunt of it...
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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25.0 and 85.0........Are we missing something here. Sure looks a lot farther north to me.
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