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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Doombot!
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 136
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
Re: ITS HEADING RIGHT FOR US!!!!!! [Re: Patrick]
      #39225 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:34 PM

Quote:

I live in pensacola, Florida and from what ive heard and what ive seen maps that say its going to go right over us can someone tell me if that is true????????




No one could tell you that but God right now. It's still a couple of days away at least. It might hit you, it might hit me in Central Florida. Just stay updated.


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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: whuppin time [Re: HanKFranK]
      #39226 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:35 PM

Interesting discussion from NWS Key West office:

FLORIDA KEYS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
500 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...
.OBSERVATIONS/TRENDS...
GOES-12 WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN APPARENT MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION JUST NORTH OF THE BAHAMIAN CHAIN...WHICH
APPEARS TO BE ERODING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MEANWHILE...AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
CINDY EXIT NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...ANOTHER MID
LATITUDE TROUGH IS DIVING SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF COAST REGION.
SUBSEQUENTLY...IT APPEARS THE FORMER DISTURBANCE HAS CREATED A
WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE ALLOWING HURRICANE Dennis TO
MIGRATE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ALL DAY.

--------------------
RJB


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nl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: whuppin time [Re: Ron Basso]
      #39227 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:37 PM

it looks like this is bouncing around too the north does anyone else see it?

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MissBecky
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Myers, FL 26.67N 81.73W
Re: Storm Surge? [Re: Unregistered User]
      #39228 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:38 PM

Thanks for the info on storm surge, ronnie. I'm not thinking evacuation just yet -- and hope it doesn't come to that! I'm stocked up on supplies, though, and I've got an uncle ready to help me put up my hurricane shutters if that becomes necessary. People here in Ft. Myers seem to be paying close attention to the storm. When I was at the store last night, the shelves were depleted. I'm glad to see people making early preparations.

--------------------
In search of a witty sig.


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Doombot!
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 136
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
Re: whuppin time [Re: nl]
      #39229 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:39 PM

Quote:

it looks like this is bouncing around too the north does anyone else see it?




Yes, but it likely a stair step. This would have to continue for at leat 5 more frames to be a trend.


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richg
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 10
Loc: Satellite Beach FL
Another link [Re: Ron Basso]
      #39230 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:39 PM

Here's a link to truly amazing pics. There's one of Dennis from 1550Z today.
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/

Best of luck to all on the west coast and panhandle!


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nl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: Another link [Re: richg]
      #39231 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:43 PM

does anyone have a link too the african dust storms and what does dust storms have too do with the tropics?

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: Another link [Re: richg]
      #39233 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:54 PM

on cuban radar.... one from center of country...outer bands are showing up....
does anyone know where to find jamica radar?...ones i found are from Ivan last year.... Dennis looks like its going through an eye wall replacement...or nearing the end of one....

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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MissBecky
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Myers, FL 26.67N 81.73W
Re: Another link [Re: nl]
      #39234 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:55 PM

Just heard a rumble of thunder. Looks like our first Dennis-spawned thunderstorm is rolling in from the southeast.

--------------------
In search of a witty sig.


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Latest Recon from AF304 [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #39235 - Thu Jul 07 2005 06:57 PM

AF304 is nearing the end of there flight....and AF300 is there for sometime.... recon vortex

URNT12 KNHC 072251 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 07/22:16:40Z
B. 19 deg 10 min N
076 deg 52 min W
C. 700 mb 2711 m
D. NA kt
E. NA0 deg 000 nm
F. 214 deg 110 kt
G. 135 deg 010 nm
H. EXTRAP 955 mb
I. 7 C/ 3052 m
J. 18 C/ 3042 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C20
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.31 / 1 nm
P. AF304 0404A Dennis OB 27 CCA
MAX FL WIND 121 KT E QUAD 21:04:50 Z

Eyewall has closed now...was open early and pressure is down 1 mb i think

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Thu Jul 07 2005 06:57 PM)


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marcoRES
Unregistered




Re: VIPIR Models [Re: pcola]
      #39236 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:02 PM

i just looked on the NHC website and i think this one is going to be nasty, the pressure is droppin at 2 mb an hour althrough it has slowed a little this afternoon i got a feeling Dennis is coming to the sunshine state=[

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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
Re: VIPIR Models [Re: marcoRES]
      #39237 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:06 PM

Nasa will prepare to roll back the Shuttle in case they have to. They will make that decision tommorow morning. However, all preparations are being made in case they have to. If they do roll back, the lift off will be delayed by 1 week or so.

--------------------
Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Re: Latest Recon from AF304 [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #39238 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:08 PM

Yes...I just looked at all the sat loops and you can see the eye again. I did see what looks to be stair-stepping to the north (as mentioned above) but for the most part it's moving to the NW.
In the discussion, they said that it was dropping about 1mb/hour, so at 5pm it was 957 and at 7:00pm it would be right on track at 955. Great.
Miss Becky...I saw the storms you're in...they look nasty!

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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FireAng85
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 76
Loc: Mount Dora, FL 32757
Re: For the mets? [Re: trinibaje]
      #39239 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:09 PM

My husband is betting on the Canadians! LOL, only because he's from Ontario........
I hope they aren't right this time.

--------------------
Angie Robertson
OCFRD
"So others may live"


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: For the mets? [Re: FireAng85]
      #39242 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:18 PM

interesting.....

URNT11 KNHC 072312
97779 23074 51250 91100 88400 99005 78//8 /6973
RMK AF300 0604A Dennis OB 11
DEW POINT NEG 51C.

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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trinibaje
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
Re: For the mets? [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #39243 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:19 PM

Quote:

interesting.....

URNT11 KNHC 072312
97779 23074 51250 91100 88400 99005 78//8 /6973
RMK AF300 0604A Dennis OB 11
DEW POINT NEG 51C.




translate for the non mets

--------------------
-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: For the mets? [Re: FireAng85]
      #39244 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:23 PM

I was watching the news earlier and I hope this thing really isn't coming to LA, because this contra flow idea is very flawed. So much for the improved plan... I can see this being worse than last year. It seems that the only people who can take I-10 out of Baton Rouge must come from New Orleans across the spillway... and they have a choice I-10 or I-55 (if they cut over towards Hammond). Everyone else.... including those form New Orleans East/Slidell/Covington (on I-12 West) and Metairie (who cross the Causeway) are required to go on I-55. So, let's see...seems to me that I-55 is going to end up with a ton of traffic, while I-10 from Baton Rouge is smooth sailing. Too bad I live in Mandeville and have no choice but take I-12 (or Hwy 190, which would be a disaster). I guess same as last year... if you're going to go, go early... if you're not on the road by the time Ray Nagin panics everyone, it's too late....

Contraflow info for anyone interested:
http://www.loep.state.la.us/evacinfo/no_contraflow.htm
(It's sideways, though)

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: For the mets? [Re: trinibaje]
      #39245 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:25 PM

A negative dew point during a hurricane??? Surely that means something else.

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: For the mets? [Re: trinibaje]
      #39246 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:26 PM

URNT11 KNHC 072312
97779 23074 51250 91100 88400 99005 78//8 /6973
RMK AF300 0604A Dennis OB 11
DEW POINT NEG 51C.

they don't often put in extra messages..... neg 51c is cold

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: For the mets? [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #39248 - Thu Jul 07 2005 07:27 PM

But, the dew point is the temperature the air would have to be cooled to in order for the relative humidity to reach 100%. I'm thinking saturation is not a problem during storms.... so what's the deal?

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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