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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Katie
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
Re: there is not a good scenario [Re: FlaRebel]
      #39060 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:04 PM

I just called Colleen but I will share with you guys,
City of Winter Haven has their debris pickup guys out there again today. Tuesday was pickup and they are back out again. Maybe just in case? Either way, they aren't leaving anything behind.


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abc123
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: Lysis]
      #39061 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:05 PM

I have notice that they did mention Dennis will not effect Florida. Why did they say this????????....This is my first post and just wanted to say It's been great reading everyone's posts and I,m learning a lot from everybody. Keep up the good work.

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Re: Santiago De Cuba, Oriente, Cuba [Re: Unregistered User]
      #39062 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:06 PM

Quote:

Pressure is dropping at Santiago De Cuba, Oriente, Cuba
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MUCU.html

Looking at the loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html

Looks like Dennis may try to come ashore abit West Santiago.


Are you jumping on my bandwagon????lol just kidding.I got many pm's today pointing out that yesterday some were razing me about the more eastern turn,and that today that seems to be happening..So I am cool.Thanks to all the pm's.Let's keep are heads straight and just be prepared.

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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CDMOrlando
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 57
Loc: seminole cnty florida 28.64N 81.20W
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: MikeC]
      #39063 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:07 PM

Just when you think that there is a clear tread the models try to keep it interesting.
The new 12Z MM% from FSU has the storm farther to the west as it is passing Tampa see http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/DENNIS.track.png
Than the 00Z run http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/archive/2005070700/DENNIS.track.png

In the 00Z run the path does not go west of 85 degrees the new one it does.


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Cocoa Beach
Unregistered




Re: Pressures along E coast of FL [Re: VolusiaMike]
      #39064 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:07 PM

Yeah,
it's dropping in Cocoa Beach as well.

http://home.cfl.rr.com/h2ocean/weather/livewx.html


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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: abc123]
      #39065 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:08 PM

Looking at this link with the project plots, it looks like Dennis will go slightly north of the next projected plot. That is NOT good.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html

Edited by FlaRebel (Thu Jul 07 2005 03:15 PM)


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Re: Pressures along E coast of FL [Re: Cocoa Beach]
      #39066 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:12 PM

I believe there are some t-storms of the EC of Florida...could this be the reason for the drop in pressures?

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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palmetto
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 23
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: FlaRebel]
      #39067 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:13 PM

FlaRebel, I know. I keep looking outside my office window and seeing all of these trees. I don't think I'm gutsy enough to try and ride out a major hurricane here.

I grew up near St. Marks and remember what it was like for us with Kate. If it was as weakened as Clark says it was by that point, I don't think I want to know what a real punch feels like.


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sullynole
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 21
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: CDMOrlando]
      #39068 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:17 PM

Quote:

Just when you think that there is a clear tread the models try to keep it interesting.
The new 12Z MM% from FSU has the storm farther to the west as it is passing Tampa see http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/DENNIS.track.png
Than the 00Z run http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/archive/2005070700/DENNIS.track.png

In the 00Z run the path does not go west of 85 degrees the new one it does.




i'm not sure if you are noticing that the lat/long lines are not plotted the same and the images are of different scale.

--------------------
John


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Santiago De Cuba, Oriente, Cuba [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #39069 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:18 PM

Quote:

Are you jumping on my bandwagon????lol just kidding.I got many pm's today pointing out that yesterday some were razing me about the more eastern turn,and that today that seems to be happening..So I am cool.Thanks to all the pm's.Let's keep are heads straight and just be prepared.




Definitely... let's keep 'our' heads straight and not get too overly impressed with 'ourselves' when things seem to be looking like 'our' predictions... Concentrate on the storm, not your ego!

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 941
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: CDMOrlando]
      #39070 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:18 PM

Re: MM5-- yes and both thos are dependent upon a significan move to the WNW immediately after it clears the coast of Cuba. If all remains consistent the floww off the coast in the area where he may exit is almost due NNW...food for thought

--------------------
doug


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old man
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: sullynole]
      #39071 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:20 PM

Look again it's 84 degrees not 85.

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Plots... [Re: FlaRebel]
      #39072 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:23 PM

I just watched the visible floater, this is what I see:

It appears to *my eyes* that it may just clip the part of Cuba where the 2nd "2" is, then move more NNW towards the skinner (middle part of Cuba). Unfortunately, that gives it less mountainous areas to go through and more open water before it actually crosses over Cuba. From there, it *could* move straight through the middle of the Keys.
Just my own observation..might be wrong, might be right. We'll find out soon enough, I guess.
On another note: has anyone seen a close-up of this storm??? It's HUGE! Very scary...

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Doombot!
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 136
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
Land O Lakes [Re: Colleen A.]
      #39073 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:26 PM

Upon request (PM not working properly )

Land O Lakes 28.24 N 82.46 W


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nccathy
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 8
Re: Plots... [Re: Colleen A.]
      #39074 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:28 PM

where did you see the close-up?

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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida 27.92N 82.00W
Re: Coorindates for selected cities. [Re: Doombot!]
      #39075 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:33 PM

Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Tampa, I believe, if wrong please correct me, is 28.5 N and 83.0 W or thereabouts.



Thank you for those!




PM me if you'd like a set for your city.

Key West: 24.57 N, 81.68 W

Miami: 25.8 N 80.23W

Ft. Lauderdale 26 11 N 80.18W

WPB 26.75 N 80.05W

Naples 26.15 N 81.80W

Punta Gorda 26.94 N 82.05 W

Sarasota 27.30 N 82.52 W

Lakeland 28 09 N 81 95 W

Tampa 27.95 N 82.49 W

Westernmost Pinellas County 27.88 N 82.87 W

Cedar Key 29.15 N 83.03 W

Central Coast of Appalachee Bay 30.1 N 84.00 W

Tallahassee 30.47 N 84.28 W

Panama City 30.17 N 35.67 W

Pensacola 30.45 N 87.21 W

Mobile 30.68 N 88.05 W

Biloxi 30.4 N 88.88 W




Thanks for the info!!!!

--------------------
Jara

*************************************************************


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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc: 45.95N 84.55W
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: sullynole]
      #39076 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:34 PM

Thanks for that clarification, Sully.

12z MM5 is almost on top of the 12Z GFDL and GFS runs and similar to the 00Z MM5.

The FSU Experimental Model Output page only allows you to see one model at a time; there is no option for spaghetti-style maps. Thus, you aren't missing anything by only seeing them one at a time -- just watch the animations for each and you'll be good to go.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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Bloodstar
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 434
Loc: Georgia Tech 33.78N 84.40W
Atlanta [Re: Terra]
      #39077 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:34 PM

Ok, I'm now counting myself as officially worried. I'm not too worried, but I sure hope I won't be coming back to a ruined apt sunday

I'm sticking with the 'powerful hurricanes tend to go straight' theory, and that you'll see more of a shift once Dennis hits cuba, and heads closer to North and NNW....

I'll peek in from atlanta, bu it's time for me to start driving and avoid rush hour, take care and prepare if you're anywhere near the line of fire....

-Mark

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2018.


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Katie
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
Re: Coorindates for selected cities. [Re: stormchazer]
      #39078 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:34 PM

Wow, I almost had a heart attack!! I couldn't get on to CFHC website. Seriously, having a panic attack. But, you're back. whew.

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 481
Loc: Tampa
Re: Plots... [Re: Colleen A.]
      #39079 - Thu Jul 07 2005 03:35 PM

My apologies if this has been posted already, just got back from Home Depot buying a bigger gas can LOL. Dvorak is @ 5.5

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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