FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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i seen the cone and pretty much florida is out of it...am i seeing that right or is that just temporary?...i tell ya...sure made me breath a lil better....
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Clark(or anyone else),
Given the power of this storm,do you think we could see a polar effect later today or tonight,bringing it more north or even due north?I noticed the last couple frames it has moved back to a more nw movement.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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Saffir simspon scale has no concept of pressure, those were listed only as a ballpark. The scale is purely windspeed.
Then why do you include it here... isn't it kind of misleading?
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cheers
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bn765
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 60
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This thing is really strengthening...i expect at least a 10 mph increase at the 11am advisory...
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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The trend (even short term) is still far more WNW than NW.
It wouldn't necessarily have to move NW before moving N, but there aren't any weather features that would suggest a turn to the north this soon.
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Thunder
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 29
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Quote:
i seen the cone and pretty much florida is out of it...am i seeing that right or is that just temporary?...i tell ya...sure made me breath a lil better....
Um, the panhandle is still "Florida"... 
Edited by Thunder (Fri Jul 08 2005 12:58 PM)
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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Flamommy, we are not expecting hurricane conditions or anything of the sort over mainland florida (the panhandle is a another story  ). This weekend *as of now* you can expect lots of rain, gusty winds around tropical storm strength, and perhapes some severe weather (tornadoes, etc) associated with the outer rain bands. But you really need to keep updating with us... as a powerfull tropical cyclone such as this so close to the peninsula bears the utmost attention. Again, if you are told to evacuate, do so... but I am not expecting that you will need to this time. Time will ultimately tell.
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cheers
Edited by Lysis (Fri Jul 08 2005 01:01 PM)
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Ricreig
User
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl
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Quote:
Looking at this graphic from the regarding the probability of tropical storm force winds affecting a specific area:
Tropical Storm Probability Graphic
If I am reading this correctly, we in inland Central Florida are running upwards of a 40% chance of experiencing tropical-strom force winds. Doesn't that warrant some sort of inland watches/warnings being posted??
--Lou
Lou, This is a classic case of 'is the glass half full or half empty?' You are reading the graph correctly but it *could* be saying there is a 60% chance that you will NOT receive TS storm force.
What it does say is you need to continue your preparations and kkkeep posted.
Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise
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Richard
A forecast is NOT a promise!
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berserkr
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 13
Loc: SC
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Quote:
Given the power of this storm,do you think we could see a polar effect later today or tonight,bringing it more north or even due north?I noticed the last couple frames it has moved back to a more nw movement.
gosh will you quit wishcasting this storm NORTH already? every 10 minutes you have to chime in "look at the satellites, it's taking a N turn", "I have a bad feeling it is about to hook sharp North", "Lookout Miami!" etc. All you are doing is creating panic based on "gut feeling". enough already. face it, it's not going anywhere near Miami... get over it. 
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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im sorry i just woke up and didnt even realize that it was covering the panhandle....eyes playing tricks on me...i certainly agree lysis....but ty all.... 
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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This is sort of irrelevant... but I noticed that you receive a little graphic when you place your mouse pointer over the word " " .
I don't know if that has always been here, but awesome job Mike.
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cheers
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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he never said it was going to hit miami, he said a south florida hit NOT miami and NOT fl lauderdale....
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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To be fair, he did clearly say that he didn't say Miami or Ft. Lauderdale - he's been saying South Florida.
However, I do agree 100% that it isn't even going NW yet, let alone N.
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Shalafi
Weather Guru
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Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
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Quote:
This is sort of irrelevant... but I noticed that you receive a little graphic when you place your mouse pointer over the word " " .
I don't know if that has always been here, but awesome job Mike.
Been there for awhile. Also you get explanations of a lot of the common abbreviations by putting your mouse over them. LLC, etc...VERY helpful for us that know nothing...
Also about Bob, I don't think he's wishcasting. He made a prediction and he wants to see if it comes true. Wishcasting and hoping it goes away wont help. It's going to go where it's going to go regardless how we feel. We are spectators. If you don't like it you can use the ignore function. It's a learning experience for all of us, not just those that agree with everyone else....
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Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!
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trinibaje
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
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Miami checking in... eerily quiet, beautiful morning... no one seems to care that we are under a tropical storm warning and a sever flood warning.... its business as usual....
I guess our weather will deteroriate as the day moves on 
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-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 331
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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That is a nice little feature, I love it........Good job.......Weatherchef
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MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4544
Loc: Orlando, FL
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I've got a footnote about pressures on that table. People asked me general pressure ranges of different storm categories, so I left it there.
Folks we're going to be very quick in removing personal messages today on the boards. If you want to send something to a particular user that others won't/don't need to see please use PMs or one of the other forums. Trying to reduce clutter, and it's going to be judgement calls on the mods for the most part. We'll tend to move things off to the e/n forum or one of the others depending on the topic.
Rules will be relaxed after the storm passes.
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Jax Chris
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 28
Loc: Jacksonville Beach, FL
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Quote:
This is sort of irrelevant... but I noticed that you receive a little graphic when you place your mouse pointer over the word " " .
I don't know if that has always been here, but awesome job Mike.
Yeah, I'd noticed that the web site will automatically "Tool Tip" and link some abbreviations. Try these: (not UF though...bias?  ) NOAA GOM Cindy (not UKM or UKMET) ...
Each year this site just keeps getting more and more impressive. Hats off (and not just because the wind keeps blowing them).
Jax Chris
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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I would really like to get everyones input on this.This could be a great test for this theary.I think it is powerfull enough.Very interesting.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Katie
Weather Guru
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Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
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Woke up, looks better for those of us in Central Florida (for now) I was at Wal Mart this morning and you would have thought it was the end of the world. Two women frantically collecting all the water they could along with batteries. Aren't we suppose to do that BEFORE hurricane season starts?
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