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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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BobVee
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 15
Loc: Florida 28.60N 81.70W
Re: Evacuations [Re: Jamiewx]
      #40416 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:32 AM

I am in Lake County as well. Looks like we will have some weather tomorrow but nothing like what some others will see and what others just have seen in Cuba. I pray for all of them. My family and I had planned to go up to Florida Caverns for a few days, leaving on Sunday but changed that. I only hope that it does not pull an Elena. I did not sleep for three days straight, working rescue calls due to tornados.

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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr... 27.81N 82.74W
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #40417 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:37 AM

I'm from Odessa in Pasco County just north of Tampa. It's been quiet here tonight. A very strong band came through the area around 6 but other than that, nothing.

Anyone think there's potential for Dennis to take a path closer to the Fla west coast then expected?


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dolfinatic
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 103
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #40418 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:40 AM

if it stays on the more northerly track it has been doing the last hour it might. Jusr my opinion. From the radar loop it appears to be going either nnw or even north at the moment. Could be only temporary but if it continues for awhile it would be interesting to see how the models react to it.

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Hurricane Local Statement- NWS Mobile (edited) [Re: BobVee]
      #40419 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:42 AM

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1110 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2005

...NEW INFORMATION...
I-65 WILL BE ONE WAYED NORTH BEGINNING AT 800 AM SATURDAY. THE ONE
WAYING WILL BEGIN NEAR THE STOCKTON (EXIT 31) AND END JUST SOUTH
OF MONTGOMERY. TRAFFIC GOING SOUTH ON I-65 SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY WILL
BE DIVERTED TO OTHER ROADWAYS.

WHEN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGIN TO AFFECT PENSACOLA BAY...THE
I-10 BRIDGE ACROSS PENSACOLA BAY WILL BE CLOSED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 300 AM.

Full text available on the main page


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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr... 27.81N 82.74W
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40420 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:42 AM

that would be interesting. none of the news stations can seem to agree on the path or effects of the storm.

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dolfinatic
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 103
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #40422 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:47 AM

yea the news stations are only going by the NWS track. They really cant forecast where and what effects it will have. They are just a mirror of what their computer tells them. I think watching the radar signature is the best way to watch the storm from here on out.

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #40423 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:47 AM

based on key west radar, i would say over half the center is back over water now.... inner eyewall to me appears to have collapsed in last hour as it merged into GOM....two things come to mind to me, a little weaker now and maybe the beginning of a EWR cycle.... hmm will see.... movement still the same, but i would say slightly slower....

Eye wall replacement...opps!

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Sat Jul 09 2005 12:49 AM)


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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #40424 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:48 AM

EWR???? whats that?

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl. 30.16N 85.76W
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #40425 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:48 AM

well AF sent another plan out

URNT11 KNHC 090435
97779 04304 70239 75819 67100 12012 6464/ /8042
RMK AF307 WX04A Dennis OB 02

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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dolfinatic
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 103
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: FlaMommy]
      #40426 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:49 AM

eye wall recycle i think

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Kevin
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: FlaMommy]
      #40427 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:49 AM

ERC: Eyewall replacement cycle

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3460
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: FlaMommy]
      #40428 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:50 AM

Quote:

EWR???? whats that?




Eyewall Replacement cycle. Hurricane replaces the old eyewall with a newer one.


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Lisa NC
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 102
Loc: North Carolina
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: FlaMommy]
      #40429 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:50 AM

Eyewall replacement. I believe

--------------------


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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: Lisa NC]
      #40430 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:52 AM

WOW thank you all so very much....this is the best site ever made... i sure hope the west coast doesnt take too much of a beating ...i dont know how well my place could handle...:(

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Florida
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40431 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:52 AM

ERC is Eyewall Replacement Cycle... This page may help.

Edited by Jamiewx (Sat Jul 09 2005 12:53 AM)


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dolfinatic
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 103
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #40432 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:52 AM

Quote:

well AF sent another plan out

URNT11 KNHC 090435
97779 04304 70239 75819 67100 12012 6464/ /8042
RMK AF307 WX04A Dennis OB 02


For us laymen what does this mean?

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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 371
Loc: Florida
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40433 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:54 AM

Storm Name: Dennis (04L)
Mission Number: WX
Flight ID: AF307
Observation Number: 02
Time: 0430Z
Latitude: 23.9N
Longitude: 75.8W
Location: 131 mi SE of Nassau, Bahamas
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 22000 feet
Flight level wind: ESE (120) @ 14 mph
Temperature: 7F
Dewpoint: 7F
Weather: Unknown
D-value: 1400 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None


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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40434 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:54 AM

Quote:

if it stays on the more northerly track it has been doing the last hour it might. Jusr my opinion. From the radar loop it appears to be going either nnw or even north at the moment. Could be only temporary but if it continues for awhile it would be interesting to see how the models react to it.




The 2 PM EDT GFS and GFDL both shifted east closer to the west coast of florida with landfall in the Florida Panhandle from Destin to Appalachacola. The NEW UKMET 8 PM EDT has also shifted east from Biloxi to Mobile/Pensicola. We need to see the newest GFS, GFDL and others at 8 PM to see what they have. The weakened storm probably isn't initialized very well in any model, so...might have to wait till tomorrow to get a better handle on landfall.

--------------------
RJB


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40435 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:55 AM

Wonder how much it will re-intensify in the gulf??

Anyone see any water Temp models?

Forecasters are all saying 3, but if it syas on more of a NW Path, it could go higher.


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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr... 27.81N 82.74W
Re: Dennis Near Havana, About to Reenter Gulf [Re: MikeC]
      #40436 - Sat Jul 09 2005 12:55 AM

I was reading back on posts earlier this evening and I was wondering if youse guys think that the trough in the western Gulf of Mexico will play into Dennis's track? And also, what about the High Pressure system over Fla.

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