FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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hey adogg...what do you mean by that?..... GOOD MORNING ALL!!!!!!! 
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 330
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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I have to agree with you, don`t scare those people with such a disaster scenerio. Wow and he lives in are county, I wonder what he thinks we`re in for from today.....Weatherchef
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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(this post was way off-base. Should be just a few showers traveling down I-95 to Melbourne today. No need in getting these folks upset when there really isn't any need to. Will we get some showers in our area today - of course. Should they prevent anyone from traveling from Jacksonville to Melbourne on I-95 - no.)
Ed Dunham
CFHC Administrator
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 09 2005 11:04 AM)
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Latest GOM water vapor loop shows an Upper level low moving northeastward from the Bay of Campeche into the gulf ahead of the Texas trough. A lot of complicated dynamics happening.
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Michael
PWS
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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currently i do think is in a eyewall replacement cycle, or near the end of one...it's impressive how well he kept his inner structure together last night... hard to tell from the key west as the storm is now exiting the outer 125nm scan.... but in last 1hr 30min the inner wall did change and expand to the next wall it looks like, basically a bigger center now... waiting on the next NOAA recon vortext to see if i am right... will see if the eyewall got bigger... hard to tell if its open on west side, the radar beams can't penetrate through from the east wall to see the west wall,beacuse of distance from storm and how strong the east side of center has become this morning..... vis this moring looks good... is getting bigger
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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tpratch
Moderator
Reged: Fri
Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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adogg,
There's a huge difference between the weather we (in Brevard) are getting today and what we went through with /Jeanne. Comparing the two is completely off base here. This isn't about tourism, this is about someone asking for an honest appraisal.
You answered with 55 mph winds, I answered with something closer to what our forecast suggests.
I don't have anything else to add here.
Cheers.
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nl
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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what is the eta on that?dont they travel faster than the hurricane? 
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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north of key largo is getting hammered right now....
wait
there's a tornado warning now up
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Lysis
User
Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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Well, you have tremendous tailwinds in the outer circulation, so if you fly around one you are cooking (it is the jet stream concept).
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cheers
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kissy
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 20
Loc: Pascagoula, MS
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Hi all! I'm new to this site (just found it a couple days ago). I live in Pascagoula, MS. I'm not really knowledgable about storms and how they work but I'm learning. The only other hurricane I've been through is . Anyway, you guys have given me lots of great information (some I don't understand. HAHA!) So thanks for all the info!
May be a stupid question but it seems most people agree that will stay to the right of us right?
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nl
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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so could this spin off course after it has already passed tampa and maybe put in in jax? i mean this thing is huge from tx. what do you think the eta is for this thing?
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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(post removed - almost all of the Florida east coast is not in a watch or warning area)
ED
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 09 2005 11:08 AM)
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
keepin it current.....locked in my FAVS now!!!!
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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You will hit an occasional squall once you get down to Florida. It will be fast moving. If you are driving a high profile vehicle, you may feel a strong gust or two. Otherwise, the weather in northeast and east central Florida will only be a little worse then afternoon T-storms. I live in Orlando and am not changing my plans. Heading out to run errands and do things. Only a majorl issue along the west Florida coast up to the panhandle.
I would think the fact that NASA left the shuttle on the pad is a pretty good sign that the weather is not going to be too bad in East Central Florida.
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Jim
Edited by Rasvar (Sat Jul 09 2005 09:40 AM)
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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Jlauderdale....any idea how strong those winds were last night? They woke me up out of dead sleep! Do you think we should have been under a TS Warning? That's what I thought when all the trees were bent sideways for about 30 minutes last night.
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Wow adog76, I guess the sky is falling. Quit being so over dramatic. If the storm does change course [this is no BTW, it is very well behaved on the forecast], there would be plenty of chances for them to get the news. However, there is no reason to change plans to go to Orlando. The storm will be over 300 miles from Orlando.
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Jim
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nl
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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does anyone know the eta on that upper level from tx?
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tpratch
Moderator
Reged: Fri
Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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The hurricane is in the Gulf. It is about an 8 hour drive to Orlando from NC depending on location/conditions and he will see lighter traffic southbound on I-95 than normal.
I usually enjoy debates, but you're not making any sense. You've stated that the food will be sub-par and you won't get any service. That would be true if and only if we had gone through a major hurricane strike yesterday. We didn't, we haven't and we won't.
Look at the radar - we're on the extreme eastern fringe of what's coming through. The people in areas west are getting it a lot worse than us and even west central FL is unlikely to get worse than tropical storm force conditions.
Now an Orlando Forecast:
Code:
Windy...showers and thundershowers during the morning
will give way to a steadier rain this afternoon...
a rumble of thunder possible. High 87F.
Winds ESE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90%.
Rainfall possibly over one inch.
Or for this evening (also Orlando):
Code:
Windy with occasional rain and a few thundershowers likely.
Low 77F. Winds E at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Rainfall possibly over one inch.
I'm sorry, adogg, but I do not subscribe to your spreading of fear over the little rain and wind we'll get. Instead of wishcasting us nasty weather here on the East coast, try praying for those on the west coast who have been and will continue to get hit by worse weather. Then start praying for the folks between NO and Talahassee who WILL get a major hurricane in their backyard...
Edited by tpratch (Sat Jul 09 2005 09:44 AM)
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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Granted this family is trying to get to Orlando for a vacation. Not my idea of a vacation driving through heavy rain and tornado watches. I live in North Volusia county and even if we do not get tropical force winds or any of that stuff, we are currently under a wind advisory until 8 tonight, tornado watch until 4. A couple of inches of rain are forcasted, certainly not safe driving conditions. Why not wait until this mess clears? Just practical advice.
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
does anyone know the eta on that upper level from tx?
Not a clue. Just watching it on the WV loop. It'll be interesting to see if the 11 AM model runs pick it up, though.
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Michael
PWS
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