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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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MissBecky
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 112
Loc: Ft. Myers, FL
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: LadyStorm]
      #40640 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:45 AM

Good morning all from soggy Ft. Myers. Had some really bad feeder bands come through last night. Currently it's raining and the winds are picking up again. I just saw on TWC that Jeff Morrow is at Sanibel Island, and he said many flights out of Southwest Florida International Airport are delayed and some are even cancelled.

Still, things are looking up for us on the west coast, now that Dennis has gone further west than anticipated. I'm breathing much easier this morning, although still paying close attention to where he goes next.


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nl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: from ft lauderdale [Re: MichaelA]
      #40641 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:46 AM

if it catches it. its not looking good for JAX and then it dont look good for central and northern florida.

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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: nl]
      #40642 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:47 AM

Maybe I can't see it with just a 50 minute KW loop, but does Dennis appear to be slowing down and sort of meandering (now drifting west)...I'm wondering if the steering currents are getting weak. Clark had mentioned that this was a possibility the last couple of days

--------------------
RJB


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: from ft lauderdale [Re: nl]
      #40643 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:48 AM

I don't get it. Everyone keeps talking about this going right, but yet every model continues to go west, Except for the BAM, all the models I see are west of the NHC track. All I can say is the boards are now up and its waiting time.

--------------------
Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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jr928
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 101
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Ron Basso]
      #40645 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:50 AM

look at the water vapor loop. the clouds are now popping up further west of track and moving northerly as opposed to last nights north easterly. like clark said, this may steer Dennis more west of the track. biloxi to mobile bay is more likely if this flow remains. I suppose the energy from the plains has yet to hit the trough and that could push it east again later today. what timing!

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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: LadyStorm]
      #40646 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:51 AM

All I'm sayin LadyStorm!!!!

Come on down!!!! tornado watch tll 4 huh????


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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Ron Basso]
      #40647 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:52 AM

I think when this is all over with...we will find that the NHC forecast tracks were more accurate than usual...the track has stayed with Pensacola for how many days now? At least they get to prepare for the storm with lots of extra time and as long as supplies last.

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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 161
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: adogg76]
      #40648 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:53 AM

hey ya'll....back for just a minute....what's this thing doing....just got on line, and it looks like more west...kinda was worried about that......gotta lot of errands to run...tie the boat down..move stuff off of it...all that..

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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Ron Basso]
      #40649 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:56 AM

I just looked at a two hour radar loop out of Key West. Looks like a wobble to the west; but the overall NW motion has been steady over the two hour loop. Looks like it is trying to organize itself a bit more. That would be expected, though.

--------------------
Jim


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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: from ft lauderdale [Re: MichaelA]
      #40650 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:56 AM

just a side note

Message Date: Jul 09 2005 11:59:58
KEVX WSR-88D IS BACK IN SERVICE AT 1200 UTC.
NOUS64 KMOB 091159

will see how long it last today and sunday

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Rasvar]
      #40651 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:58 AM

I do feel if there is going to be an error on the track, it will be a west error. I am having a lot of trouble seeing conditions that will cause a more northerly push. I am still thinking MS/AL border. Not all that far off the NHC forecast at this time.

--------------------
Jim


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OrlandoDan
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 443
Loc: Longwood, FL
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: LadyStorm]
      #40652 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:58 AM

The weather in Orlando, at the moment, is clody with some ocassional light rain. It's pretty dark, indicating som pretty high cloud tops. So far, we are fine. I do expect som heavier rain today and we need to be vigilat to the tornado threat (as does everyone in the state).

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Steve H1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: adogg76]
      #40653 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:58 AM

It has slowed, due to the fact that the eye is getting larger. Very little movement during the last hour. It will resume a NW path, with jogs to the NNW as the models project. But as a cautionary note - I'm viewing this as if I woke up without any knowledge of model projections. There is still much uncertainty as to where he may go, so don't get complacent on the west coast yet; not until he passes your latitude. He is developing quite rapidly again, and as Ed said last nite, he may compress the ridge to the north again as he strengthens. Cheers!!

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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: LadyStorm]
      #40654 - Sat Jul 09 2005 09:59 AM

A few notes from Atlanta......

1) To the person bringing his family to Orlando, you should be in good shape on I-95 through Georgia, BUT, pay attention to all the road signs and also make a list of the local radio stations along your route to keep up with any changes in direction of Dennis. Routes to MCO to be avoided this weekend would be I-75(as that may be reversed to all northbound when you get ot Cordele) Best bet is to pay attention to the radio and any forecasts later on.

2) If you look at the state of Georgia about 80% of the counties are under a flood watch from Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon. If Atlanta gets any significant rain from Dennis it could be pretty bad here, especially on the south side of the metro where the average fron Cindy was 4-6" rainfall.

3)GDOT has suspended construction again this weekend through most of the state acccording to 11Alive.com due to possibility of using the roads leading out of Florida into Atlanta as an evacuation route....

4) Was looking at the maps of GA and notice that the front that steered Cindy over us is kinda washing out over central GA, would that have any affect on the track of Dennis?

First bands of clouds from the outflow of Dennis should be reaching us by this afternoon with precip forecast to start falling by late tonight....Take care everyone along the gulf coast!

--------------------
You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #40655 - Sat Jul 09 2005 10:10 AM

Quote:

You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore broadcasting from your backyard....literally!



No kidding!

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Rasvar]
      #40656 - Sat Jul 09 2005 10:13 AM

Quote:

I do feel if there is going to be an error on the track, it will be a west error. I am having a lot of trouble seeing conditions that will cause a more northerly push. I am still thinking MS/AL border. Not all that far off the NHC forecast at this time.



Yikes! I wake up and find all the models are clustering, and a little more to the west, much too close to Pascagoula for my comfort! Guess we'll know a lot more in 12 hours.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp


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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: Indecisive Dennis [Re: MichaelA]
      #40657 - Sat Jul 09 2005 10:15 AM

That's usually a good sign when Cantore is in your backyard. It's not going to hit there !! LOL

Was that you jumping up and down and waving hands behind the scenes?


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Daytonaman
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sun
Posts: 28
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Rasvar]
      #40659 - Sat Jul 09 2005 10:18 AM

The eye is now visible on long range radar out of Tampa.

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mbfly
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 119
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
Re: Dennis appears to be wobbling in place [Re: Margie]
      #40662 - Sat Jul 09 2005 10:20 AM

Yeah, no kidding ! I noticed that on the models, too ! I wonder if they'll move the NHC predictions over in response ?? God, I don't know what I hate worse...... this waiting, or the actual storm !! Neither one is much fun !

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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 161
it'll be a cat 4-5...and tracking more west [Re: mbfly]
      #40664 - Sat Jul 09 2005 10:22 AM

sorry ya'll...more of a gut feel

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