dolfinatic
Weather Guru
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Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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We are getting a nasty feeder band right now here. Rain horizontal and coming down in a torrent.
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StormSurfer
Verified CFHC User
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That trough looks pretty strong to me from the water vapor Image. I think it going to give Den a lil bump. What you all think?
AT 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 30
MILES...45 KM NORTH OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 90 MILES...150 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
Edited by StormSurfer (Sat Jul 09 2005 06:02 AM)
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msmith43
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 18
Loc: South Tampa
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First rain of the night coming thru.
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Loc: fl
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Sup Mike ,.,, you have a question?
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dolfinatic
Weather Guru
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Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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Yep it looks like it has stalled or is drifting very slowly north. Getting a bad feeling on this one for us on the west coast. Think the forecast track will change at 5?
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willw
Weather Watcher
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Hell to pay if this thing comes within 50 miles of the coast.All of these tampa stations were "it's not coming near us" attitudes could end up in deaths. We'll see, let's all pray it keeps on it's current track and doesn't hit the west coast of florida, or comes up it. That would be a horrible scenerio raking the whole coast line. Fox 13 met's have all but said "just don't go boating and it'll be nonsquential weather event for the viewing area's.
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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yep, thunder's starting around here.
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
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Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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yeh, today on the 5 oclock news on CBS, they had an attitude as if as of 5 PM this afternoon, the hurricane was done for us. It's definately far from done with the west coast.
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msmith43
Verified CFHC User
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Loc: South Tampa
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Let's not get ahead of ourselves.
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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we just got a hell of a band....woke the little one....well its still little windy....nothing big tho...luckily.....i pray and hope that doesnt harm anyone and doesnt bother uson the west coast....good luck to all and stay safe 
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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dolfinatic
Weather Guru
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Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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Yea I heard the only met that said we were not out of the woods was jerve on channel 8. I didnt hear that but was told he was the only one to say that we should still keep an eye on this.
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StormSurfer
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Quote:
Let's not get ahead of ourselves.
True True. Let's stay calm and keep a close watch. We knew it was coming and know it's going to end up somewhere. Just be ready for anything. We could have a better idea once it moves nearer around the keys to look for movements. I would say the 5am update should be interesting.
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Loc: USA
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pressure is up to 974mb
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Loc: fl
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Yes its wobbling at 350dg or NNW right now.. lets see if there is a trend. I dont expect a landfall in west-central florida. It would have to go 360dg N to make it to St Pete. My Landfall is still near Panama City Beach give or take 50 miles. This one is very hard to forecast cause of the many varibles that could affect the track....weak upper low in the SW GULF, trough over the NW GULF shortwaves riding through and a impulse droping through the Ohio Valley. Same time the ridge just east of Florida getting squeezed. Overall its becoming NNW-SSE so should move more NNW now and then N maybe saturday night. Any deviation to the right will make landfall near Appalachacola late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Again landfall and weather over west central florida will be worst if the latter does happen......
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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Yeh, this radar definately shows the northerly jog.
Key West Radar
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HanKFranK
User
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Loc: Graniteville, SC
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y'all seen the vortex msg? 974mb, max fl winds 69kt. the core is still tightly wound, but this sucker weakened a whole lot. next advisory should trim it down quite a bit. right now all that heavy convection on the s. coast of cuba and over florida is robbing the center of inflow. whenever it builds back the storm should reintensify rather quickly... but i dunno. hurricanes are quirky. sometimes they spin right back up, sometimes they come off a landmass and act like they forgot what warm water is for, in spite of everything being just right for them. we'll know more as the night progresses.
HF 0710z09july
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Loc: Florida
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Looking at the Key West radar site...it looks as though it is moving NNW. For now, anyway. Could just be a wobble, though.
I'm going to bed...I'm going to need all the sleep I can get. But I'm sure I'll awake every hour to look at the radar loops, LOL! 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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msmith43
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 18
Loc: South Tampa
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Your comments seems consistent with earlier remarks from the "mets" (Clark, et. al.). This should be expected based on what they've said.
Edited by msmith43 (Sat Jul 09 2005 06:15 AM)
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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It's a good thing it took so long to get across Cuba....
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Scott...what are your thoughts on the models beginning to trend back to the east? Is this because we didn't have enough/any info while was over Cuba or because they have finally picked up on the strength of the trough?
I'm so confused........ 
Thanks for your help! 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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