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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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dolfinatic
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 120
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: AndyG]
      #40949 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:10 PM

yes it does look like it has slowed. Also the 4:00 estimate and the 5:00 advisory had the same coord.

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susieq
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 49
Loc: Panhandle
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: Clark]
      #40950 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:11 PM

Come on, people. There's a storm out there. Let this stuff go.

What's happening to Dennis? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html

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Gulf Breeze girl still not over Ivan


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: bn765]
      #40951 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:14 PM

yes it is really deepening. still not to the rapid or explosive deepening yet. it is just below (1.66 mb/hr for 10hrs) rapid deepening (1.75 mb/hr for 24 hours) still this is significant strengthening.

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susieq
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 49
Loc: Panhandle
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40952 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:15 PM

It looks like the right quad is losing some of its umph. What would cause it? Is it just temporary?

--------------------
Gulf Breeze girl still not over Ivan


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida 27.92N 82.00W
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: WeatherNLU]
      #40953 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:17 PM

It does appear to be exploding in intensity. Hopefully it will hit the cool waters near the coast and fade before landfall. Glad it is not approaching like Charley at a higher speed where it would not feel the effects of the cooler water around the coast.

Seeing the eye appearing in the last few frames to.

--------------------
Jara

*************************************************************


Edited by stormchazer (Sat Jul 09 2005 05:19 PM)


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dearolecleo
Registered User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 6
Loc: Ellenton, Florida
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: Ron Basso]
      #40956 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:29 PM

Going away is a good thing

--------------------
Very Lucky West Floridian


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida 27.92N 82.00W
Excited opening statement [Re: stormchazer]
      #40957 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:29 PM

5pm Discussion

WHAT A DIFFERENCE 6 HOURS MAKES! SATELLITE...RADAR...AND NOAA AND
AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE Dennis HAS POSSIBLY STARTED
A RAPID DEEPENING PHASE. THE EYE HAS BECOME BECOME DEFINED IN BOTH
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE PRESSURE IS NOW 955 MB...DOWN
ALMOST 10 MB IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BEGINNING
TO CATCH UP WITH THE PRESSURE FALLS AS INDICATED BY A 700 MB
FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 101 KT...EQUAL TO ABOUT A 91 KT SURFACE WIND
...IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT.

--------------------
Jara

*************************************************************


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G. J.
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 30
Loc: Tampa, FL
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: stormchazer]
      #40958 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:30 PM

Is it me, or has Dennis stalled???

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Dougyd
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 17
Loc: Sanibel
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: stormchazer]
      #40959 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:30 PM

I think it may be caused by the late afternoon shadows.

Just a thought


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Eye [Re: stormchazer]
      #40962 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:33 PM

the eye is becoming more rounded and clearing out some.

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Eye [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40963 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:35 PM

the pressure is down to 947mb!!

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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc: 45.95N 84.55W
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: susieq]
      #40964 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:36 PM

susieq, there's nothing really to indicate that, whether on satellite or radar. Recon pressure is now down to 947mb, further indicating strengthening.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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Rich B
British Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 498
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK 51.81N 2.51W
Re: Eye [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40965 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:38 PM

Hey guys, not had chance to post since yesterday so heres my take on Dennis today:

I did say yesterday that the crossing over Cuba would weaken Dennis, and indeed it did. However, he was able to maintain a decent eye even though the overall structure was disrupted. This has given him a kick start into restrengthening, which he evidently is doing in earnest. Radar and satellite imagery show the eye is well defined, and he is showing signs of strengthening rapidly now. I think he will get upto 130mph, if not a little higher, prior to landfall tomorrow. I still think we could be lookng at a Alabama landfall, but will suggest a landfall somewhere between Mobile, AL, and Pensacola, FL, as a 130mph Hurricane. If the centre tracks up Mobile Bay, or just to the west, then there will be some seriously major problems with flooding, let alone from the wind. With the area still in recovery from last year, it seems they are gonna take a hammering. My thoughts are with all of you in the path of this one - i think he is gonna be worse than many of us thought earlier today.

Keep safe

--------------------
Rich B

SkyWarn UK


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KimmieL
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 26
Loc: Baton Rouge, La
Re: Eye [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40966 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:38 PM

Where can u go to check out buoy's? Are there any near the eye?

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AgentB
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 185
Loc: Winter Park, FL
Re: Eye [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40967 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:39 PM

Dennis has come together since leaving Cuba, but that was to be expected. Still looks like a NW heading at a decent pace. The North turn will come gradually as the storm feels its way around the ridge. There will be some wobbles that look like a straight north or straight west heading, but until a trend of more north than west starts I would still call it NW.

--------------------
Check the Surf


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superfly
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: New Orleans
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: Clark]
      #40968 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:40 PM

There is no way this is still a cat 2 with that pressure. It has to be a high cat 3 right now borderline cat 4.

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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: Clark]
      #40969 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:40 PM

Most definitely a major hurricane once again.

--------------------
cheers


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AgentB
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 185
Loc: Winter Park, FL
Re: Eye [Re: KimmieL]
      #40970 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:40 PM

Quote:

Where can u go to check out buoy's? Are there any near the eye?




Here's a list of the FL buoys. Click the link at the top for buoys nearest the storm.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Florida.shtml

--------------------
Check the Surf


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: Eye [Re: KimmieL]
      #40971 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:41 PM

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/rmd.shtml

Too late I guess!

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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1

Edited by Storm Cooper (Sat Jul 09 2005 05:42 PM)


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Eye [Re: KimmieL]
      #40972 - Sat Jul 09 2005 05:41 PM

Quote:

Where can u go to check out buoy's? Are there any near the eye?




http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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