MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
is there anyway this could make a hard right and go for tampa 
Highly doubtful at this time.
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Michael
PWS
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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well put
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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Having some of our more respectable winds right now in Sun City Center.
Some tree debris in yards.
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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
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Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
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Quote:
is there anyway this could make a hard right and go for tampa
Of course there is always a chance, but the odds of that happening now are EXTREMELY low.
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I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Almost back to 938, and back to 6.0 on , incredible recovery!!!! Runing through part of the GOM w/ 90 deg temps, and this thing is breathing heavy!!!!
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
Having some of our more respectable winds right now in Sun City Center.
Some tree debris in yards.
Last obs from the St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport (NWS station) had winds of 29 MPH sustained with gusts to 43 MPH (7:53 PM)
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Michael
PWS
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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look on the ir how the trough is ventlating it up to the north
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
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Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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Hurricanes are to be respected in terms of what they have done in the past. The unthinkable should not be ignored but the probable should be the thing focused on.
In otherwords: Jeanne, Lenny, and Gordon are a few who did things that most people did not think of, but it is probable that this hurricane will do What the says it will do within a 100 miles east or west.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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It's a storm alright.
I love it as long as it does no damage, or anyone loses power.
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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams
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KimmieL
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 26
Loc: Baton Rouge, La
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Just saw where the eye is only 10 miles wide.....amazing!
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Latest Tampa Bay radar loop seems to be confirming a more NNW movement.
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Michael
PWS
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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GOOD LUCK EVERYONE IMPACTED !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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firestar_1
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
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Just looking at the IR and it looks like there are two eye walls....does anyone know if it has started an eye wall replacement cycle yet? 
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Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....
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jr928
Weather Guru
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Posts: 101
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I remain amazed that noone is talking about the trough that was supposed to steer it north. if the trough ain't there, then the north ain't happening, like several models have said, ms bound
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bn765
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 60
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CNN just had an update and the met said that it would make landfall at 140mph.....take that for it whats its worth
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
I remain amazed that noone is talking about the trough that was supposed to steer it north. if the trough ain't there, then the north ain't happening, like several models have said, ms bound
Dennis is overpowering the trough. Prevailing winds over the gulf remain from the SW. I see little reason to believe that the forecast track will not verify (give or take 50 miles).
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Michael
PWS
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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Reasoning behind the northward motion and why it may not be a temporary wobble have been posted to the met. blogs. It has to do with the upper-level winds and the recent rapid intensification of the storm -- it is now feeling a different subset of upper-level winds since it is a deeper storm, winds which are moreso aiming towards the north than the northwest.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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stormchazer
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
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I think the steering involved a little more then the "trough". We are all watching and waiting.
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Jara
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
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Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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Was watching CNN at 830pm and the radar they were using, it looked like was making a more Northerly turn, even the weather person stated that as well...
I may not be reading it correctly, but it is interesting....
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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mud1967
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 42
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Has the track been updated in the past 2 hours?
When will the other models info come in? I'm talking about when you go to the spagetti model page?
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