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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 238 (Idalia) , Major: 238 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 238 (Idalia) Major: 238 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: Clark]
      #41118 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:42 AM

Quote:

Reasoning behind the northward motion and why it may not be a temporary wobble have been posted to the met. blogs. It has to do with the upper-level winds and the recent rapid intensification of the storm -- it is now feeling a different subset of upper-level winds since it is a deeper storm, winds which are moreso aiming towards the north than the northwest.


Agreed.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: MichaelA]
      #41119 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:44 AM

co-signed (ditto)

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mud1967
Weather Watcher


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Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: Clark]
      #41120 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:44 AM

Does that mean it will be moving more right ( even just a little ) than expected earier?

Edited by mud1967 (Sun Jul 10 2005 12:48 AM)


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bn765
Weather Hobbyist


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Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #41121 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:44 AM

Yea saw the same thing on CNN

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StormSurfer
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Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: MichaelA]
      #41122 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:46 AM

I hate to say it but it looks like he's pissed and ain't going to let no one stop him from doing what he wants. Good luck to all up North. I will say a prayer for you guys shortly. After seeing how scary Dennis was last year and basically holding on to my family tight in a small room I know what the feeling is like. STAY SAFE Please!

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HumanCookie
Verified CFHC User


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Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: StormSurfer]
      #41123 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:48 AM

Quote:

I hate to say it but it looks like he's pissed and ain't going to let no one stop him from doing what he wants. Good luck to all up North. I will say a prayer for you guys shortly. After seeing how scary Dennis was last year and basically holding on to my family tight in a small room I know what the feeling is like. STAY SAFE Please!




You mean Ivan last year


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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


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Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
Clouds topping out [Re: MichaelA]
      #41125 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:48 AM

Look at the satellite loop, and rock it back and forth. It almost looks like most of the clouds are topping out really high (almost popping like popcorn). even the feeder bands over the florida peninsula and as far as the Atlantic. This sucker looks to be sucking in everything it can.

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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


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Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: Clark]
      #41126 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:48 AM

Quote:

Reasoning behind the northward motion and why it may not be a temporary wobble have been posted to the met. blogs. It has to do with the upper-level winds and the recent rapid intensification of the storm -- it is now feeling a different subset of upper-level winds since it is a deeper storm, winds which are moreso aiming towards the north than the northwest.




Kudos to you Clark! I think this verifies the northward track you and Ed Dunham have been talking about. I was knocked off the net earlier by a squall but thankfully it's restored. Indeed, I noticed the definite northward motion the last hour or so. I would expect due to the rapid deepening it would remain on this track for a while. In your mind, is there any chance of a N-NE movement or will it be north and then perhaps NW as Dennis approaches the coast?

--------------------
RJB


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bn765
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 60
Re: Clouds topping out [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #41127 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:49 AM

Whens the new advisory coming out?

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 944
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: mud1967]
      #41128 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:49 AM

Quote:

Does that mean it will be moving more right ( even just a little ) than expected earier?


Quite possible. Keep an eye on it.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Clouds topping out [Re: bn765]
      #41129 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:50 AM

Quote:

Whens the new advisory coming out?


9 PM ET.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #41130 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:51 AM

Hi all, anyone in Ala on here, my son is on Ala (Enterprise) w/ Grandmother and have tried calling no answer, they had briefly mentioned driving to East Ga today, just curious what the traffic has been up there going East? Hopefully they did not wait around. Thanks in advance for the response.

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41131 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:52 AM

winds 125 mph

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 366
Loc: USA
9pm [Re: bn765]
      #41132 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:53 AM

Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are now near 125 mph...with higher
gusts. This makes Dennis a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is expected...and
Dennis could become a category 4 hurricane before landfall on the
northern Gulf Coast.


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Allison
Weather Guru


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Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Re: Clouds topping out [Re: bn765]
      #41133 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:53 AM

Quote:

Whens the new advisory coming out?




AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


Any minute now...

Allison


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Shan
Verified CFHC User


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Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41134 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:54 AM

I'm in southern Mobile County so I'm not sure what the Enterprise area is like. I do know the news is reporting a steady flow of traffic north.

Just heard winds are up to 125mph.

--------------------
Shan
Bayou La Batre, AL


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Lysis
User


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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: NewWatcher]
      #41135 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:54 AM

Dennis's central pressure is around 942 mb and still dropping... he is on the threshold of become a category 4. Winds up to 125 mph. To be blunt, this is not good.

--------------------
cheers

Edited by Lysis (Sun Jul 10 2005 12:55 AM)


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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Lysis]
      #41136 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:55 AM

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200504.public.html

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Bamagal
Registered User


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Posts: 2
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41137 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:57 AM

Hi Taz- traffic going east into Ga was very thin today about lunch . We live about .2 mile off hwy 431 in Eufaula and while trip across bridge to Ga wasn't rough- getting into town northbound on 431 was a nightmare. Hopefully they made it just fine and you will hear from them shortly.

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CitadelPilot
Registered User


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Posts: 4
Loc: Ft. Rucker, AL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Bamagal]
      #41139 - Sun Jul 10 2005 01:00 AM

I am also in the Enterprise, AL area...stationed at Ft. Rucker. Just curious what kind of effects would we feel from this storm 70 miles inland?

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