scottsvb
Weather Master
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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
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I dont understand the big deal about him slipping carrying a tree branch. Oh well.
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FelixPuntaGorda
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 23
Loc: Punta Gorda, FL
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Does it bother anybody that he was setting up a shot instead of shooting the reality of the situation? Something about that doesn't feel right to me.
Edited by FelixPuntaGorda (Tue Jul 12 2005 04:44 PM)
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doug
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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WHAT DO YOU SEE THAT INDICATES THAT...TWO MODELS DO THROW THIS OUT INTO THE SO. CENTRAL GOM AT THE 120 HR. PERIOD. I'M WATCHING THE TROUGH TO ITS NORTH THAT IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF SPLITTING WITH A ULL DEVELOPING NORTH OF HISPANOLA AT ITS APEX. THAT WOULD CERTAINLY VENTILATE EMILY AND HOWEVER IT COULD CREATE SOME INTERFERENCE AND SHEAR. ONE MODEL COMPLETELY LOSES EMILY AS IT GETS PAST THE ISLANDS.
ALSO THE BIG FEATURES ARE RELATIVLY STAGNANT...THE REMANENTS OF ARE VERY SLOW TO MOVE OUT.
I THINK THE DYNAMIC WILL CHANGE COMPLETELY IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS SO BEYOND THAT WE REALLY CAN'T TELL
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doug
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Thunder
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 29
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Does my heart good! 
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CaneTrackerInSoFl
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 395
Loc: Israel
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Which models?
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Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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The so far has Emily to the north of Cuba 5 days out. All other models have it either killed off by the Hispaniola mountains or going in the direction of the GOM. But it is far too early to fathom where Emily is going with her life.
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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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scottsvb
Weather Master
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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
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Your right doug. Anyways no one is ok from this storm... but this track looks pretty simple. All major models take Emily towards the Yucitan then probably Tampico- Houston by early next week. There will be nothing to move this north into the eastern gulf or Florida if she stays south of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
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spencercape
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 15
Loc: Cape Coral/Matlacha Pass, FL
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It should bother you, me and his employer.. oh wait, maybe not the employer.... well, JR is just doing the same thing he's done for 15 years, it shouldn't surprise anyone.... he's already moved on to try to take some of the spot light from the next big story...
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At least the weather here is nice January, February, March and some of April!
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Ed G
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 77
Loc: Clermont, Fl
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who is this JR?
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spencercape
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 15
Loc: Cape Coral/Matlacha Pass, FL
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Sorry, that's GR.. Geraldo.... I'll learn to type some day.
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At least the weather here is nice January, February, March and some of April!
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Shalafi
Weather Guru
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Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
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Quote:
Anyone who may have missed Geraldo Rivera fall in P'Cola - here is a link to the video. I finally got to see it - worth the watch.
Thanx for the post! That was great...
And also I agree about him setting up the shot. There is enough to report without him setting things up...
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Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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That wave to the east of Emily is becoming more formidable.
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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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jkbtrb
Registered User
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Posts: 8
Loc: Pensacola
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Just a "what if" question...IF Emily were to come towards the gulf coast again...How long would it take for her to get here? I was scheduled to have surgery today and it was cancelled due to so it has been rescheduled for next Tuesday. If she were to come this way would she be here later in the week or would my surgery be at risk again?
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CarlSpackler
Registered User
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Posts: 4
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i don't think the heavy stuff is going to come down for quite a while now...i would have the surgery if i were you. is it an elective procedure? out-patient?
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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Well, if it were to threaten the gulf coast you are probably looking at Wednesday of next week to be the day of reckoning- remember- there is no scientific merit to this.
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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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jkbtrb
Registered User
Reged:
Posts: 8
Loc: Pensacola
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It's an elective surgery...I just don't want it to keep getting pushed back...Is there a chance it will come this way?
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firestar_1
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
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Quote:
at this point in time I would say this thing has GOM written all over it.... any doubters out there?
we should know by late thursday....by the upper winds currently forcast show it is possible.... 
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Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....
Edited by firestar_1 (Tue Jul 12 2005 05:48 PM)
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Shalafi
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 123
Loc: Altamonte Springs
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Quote:
Just a "what if" question...IF Emily were to come towards the gulf coast again...How long would it take for her to get here? I was scheduled to have surgery today and it was cancelled due to so it has been rescheduled for next Tuesday. If she were to come this way would she be here later in the week or would my surgery be at risk again?
I work in a surgery center of a hospital and the hospital is one of the best places you can be. First to get power back IF they lose any, generators to supply power until then, strong buildings, people to take care of you.
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Bryan
What doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.
God bless
I know very litte about weather. I'm here to learn mostly but will post friendly replies now and then. So if you don't want to see non-weather comments ignore me now. Thanx!
Edited by Shalafi (Tue Jul 12 2005 05:49 PM)
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trinibaje
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
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I am heading to Barbados in 2 weeks... Emily, Franklin and the rest of their cousins better BACK OFF 
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-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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If there was to be a TS bearing down your area all electives would be canceled at least 24-36 hours to time of impact.
It is too early to forecast a track in the GOM at this stage. We don;t know if it will survive Hispaniola if it strikes the Carribean island. Emily may even hit the Yucatan.
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________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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