BobVee
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 15
Loc: Florida
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Wow. Brings back some memories that I tried to keep from coming out. Rode out two typhoons mid-island near Taichung in 1968 and flew evac. to Itazuki Japan for another. Remember riding a motorcycle to Sun Moon Lake and the road washed out with about 2.0 ft left on the side of the mountain. Got the bike across but no one else could. Happened just after I stopped inside a tunnel to fix a problem. Also, in the late 80s took a train from Shanghai on the mainland south which took over 14 hours. Found out a typhoon had destroyed the track in front of us and the Chinese Army was fixing it as we went along. Got into the city (cant remember the name but it is famous for West Lake) and it was like a Hollywood movie. Thousands of Chinese peasants sitting on the ground in the rain around the train station. Had to walk to the hotel and it was the only one with a generator and air conditioning. Trees were down, buildings were destroyed and people were living in the streets.
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dave t
Unregistered
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LIPHIL ??? how is he doing ??? i know this should be someplace else in the forum, but I have been a long time LURKER & miss his insight.
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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He has been sick. We heard from him a while back but have not recently.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Anyone seen the recon schedule? Starting about 7pm-ish CDT there should be a lot of recon coming in about the storm.
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Liphil should be back next week from a much needed vacation .
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Last vis sat pic and Cozumel radar looks like a new eyewall is forming.
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Michael
PWS
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Quote:
Last vis sat pic and Cozumel radar looks like a new eyewall is forming.
Could you post the link please? Thanks.
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php
Don't use the Cozumel direct link, it is massively overloaded. The mirrioring I can do will keep it up longer if folks use it.
Mike C
Edited by MikeC (Sun Jul 17 2005 06:11 PM)
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
Quote:
Last vis sat pic and Cozumel radar looks like a new eyewall is forming.
Could you post the link please? Thanks.
Cozumel radar is linked from this site's home page and the sat pics are linked from .
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Michael
PWS
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Last vis sat pic and Cozumel radar looks like a new eyewall is forming.
Could you post the link please? Thanks.
Cozumel radar is linked from this site's home page and the sat pics are linked from .
No they only have a link to Cancun radar on the main page; can you please post the link?
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/rad-canc.jpg
http://www.met.inf.cu/Radar/00Pinar%20del%20Rio/Maximos(Animacion).gif
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Thanks much
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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Biowatch
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Thu
Posts: 19
Loc: Massachusetts
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Thanks to all the info on this site......I tried watching the Weather channel for updates, and you would hardly know that Emily was out there ready to make land fall on the Yucatan. This has been the most informative site for radars, etc.
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Cool. I was looking for the Cuba radar too but couldn't find it.
Dumb moment: Actually I did see the link to the Cancun radar...but you had said Cozumel, and when I saw the word Cancun for some reason I kept thinking it was Cayman and that radar wouldn't show anything right now. Too many C words huh.
I just read in the last hour somewhere about the second eyewall but can't remember where I read it, but yes you can definitely see it. Well it'll be a race to see if Emily can reorg any more before hitting shore. Even if not, it appears that the eyewall is still going to pack a pretty hard punch.
Just checked on buoy 42056 and sure enough wave height 32 ft and wind just under 60kt gusting to over 70kt. That was about as intense as I thought it was going to be, but maybe not since wind isn't coming out of the SE yet.
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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nl
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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yeah mexico isnt a concern too the weather channel. now if it hits tx they will all over it. 
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Quote:
No they only have a link to Cancun radar on the main page; can you please post the link?
Oooops! I meant Cancun. Was posting on another board that Cozumel may take a near direct hit. 
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Michael
PWS
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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I am a little surprised that there is not more coveage on ,Given the number of americans down there.The beaches down there change with just minor storms,I can only imagine what a cat 4 will do.There was not even a beach at Tulum,until a Hurricane made one.The Mexican Goverment has done very well at getting the people out of there.Most people should be safe now.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Wind speed may be down a bit at 8PM due to the apparent as seen on Cancun radar.
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Michael
PWS
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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The Weather Channel has Mike Bettis in the Cancun/ Cozumel area doing updates, and live reports.
Either CNN or reported late this afternoon, that the Last Flight out of the airports had left.
They estimated 130,000 tourists left in the area. I believe I heard that 67,000 or so were from the U.S.
They have moved the coastal plain area people to higher ground and/ or evacuation shelters.
I heard one newscaster telling people to move to a higher floor.
Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 17 2005 07:20 PM)
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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The eye on the Cancun radar is clearly showing evidence of an eyewall replacement cycle, just like what was hinted at during the 5pm discussion. Within the next few hours, we'll see the rest of that inner eyewall collapse and an eye of 25-30mi in diameter consolidate in its place. Once again, it looks like another landmass might just be spared the worst of a storm due to an eyewall replacement cycle right before land...we'll have to see how much this one takes out of the storm, but throwing it into a state of reconsolidation right as it is about to hit land should keep some of the intensity in check, both before it hits land and in the hours across/just past land tomorrow.
Given a little time over water Tuesday, the storm could well deepen once again in the warmest waters in the entire basin...though I'm not going to buy the deepening to 910-920mb that our is calling for. Outside shot at taking a run at its former intensity, but I don't think it'll have enough time. The further north it goes, the longer it sits over those waters...but also the more it interacts with the midlatitudes and the more likely it gets strong enough to have an eyewall replacement cycle occur near landfall. Further south keeps it over water a shorter period of time, which is both good and bad. Only time will tell as to what happens, and for now I see no reason to go against the path, both in terms of intensity and track.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Winds are down to 135mph now 951mb
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
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