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Low Pressure east of the Caribbean Islands (93L) looking less impressive today, chances for development are dropping.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 26 (Arthur) , in Florida: 3201 (8 y 9 m) (Wilma)
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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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emackl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 205
Loc: Indianapolis
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #45782 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:19 PM




I am not touching this one.If I say go have a good time and don't worry,and then something bad happens you will be mad at me.And,If I say don't go,and nothing happens,you will be mad at me.




LOL! Easy fix, if you tell me to go and something does happen you come up here and board up for me.....LMAO!


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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: hurricane expert]
      #45783 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:19 PM

i disagree..its way to early.

-- We don't want to suggest specific strikes.

Edited by RedingtonBeachGuy (Thu Jul 28 2005 01:25 PM)


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NONAME
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 136
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: Ryan]
      #45784 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:24 PM

What is happing past 92L i think 93L look like not much but the wave behind it is a little better. My main question is what is happing to 92L it had a lot of convection the other day and now it dosent look to good.

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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: NONAME]
      #45785 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:25 PM

what maps ar eoyu looking at..the link por favor

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 90
Loc: Deltona, FL 28.92N 81.22W
Re: 92L Track [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #45786 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:29 PM

Quote:

SHIPS does take it up to 81 mph in 120 hrs




Can you show what exactly you are looking at?

--------------------
I survived Jeanne, Charley, and Frances


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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: 92L Track [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #45787 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:32 PM

Quote:

Quote:

SHIPS does take it up to 81 mph in 120 hrs




Can you show what exactly you are looking at?




http://www.ourgallagherfamily.com/storm_image/92L/92L.html

thats up to 7s kts in 120 hours,.

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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hurricane expert
Really Not an Expert


Reged: Thu
Posts: 105
Loc: florida
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: MikeC]
      #45788 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:34 PM

I think this season is going to be simular to last season hurricane florida got hit alot in the east coast cause of the high pressure not letting it go north if you guys think am worng than give me a reason why this season isent going to be simular to what Frances and jeanne did. High pressure is pretty much where it was last season so this is my thinking that florida is going to get hit the most by august and september.

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Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 90
Loc: Deltona, FL 28.92N 81.22W
Re: 92L Track [Re: Ryan]
      #45789 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:35 PM

Which one of these plots should I ignore? Which ones are good?

--------------------
I survived Jeanne, Charley, and Frances


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damejune2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 237
Loc: Torrington, CT 41.80N 73.13W
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: hurricane expert]
      #45790 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:38 PM

I read differently about the Bermuda high and it basically said that some of the storms could get steered more towards the north, away from Florida. Northeastern Fla and Southern Ga could see some action, perhaps even the Carolinas. They even said the Northeast may see some action. At any rate, i do hope you are wrong about Florida getting hit like last year.

--------------------
Gloria 1985 (Eye passed over my house in...get this...northwestern CT!)


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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: 92L Track [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #45791 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:39 PM

def. ignore XTRP

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: damejune2]
      #45792 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:40 PM

Quote:

I read differently about the Bermuda high and it basically said that some of the storms could get steered more towards the north, away from Florida. Northeastern Fla and Southern Ga could see some action, perhaps even the Carolinas. They even said the Northeast may see some action. At any rate, i do hope you are wrong about Florida getting hit like last year.




agredd

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: hurricane expert]
      #45793 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:45 PM

Quote:

I think this season is going to be simular to last season hurricane florida got hit alot in the east coast cause of the high pressure not letting it go north if you guys think am worng than give me a reason why this season isent going to be simular to what Frances and jeanne did. High pressure is pretty much where it was last season so this is my thinking that florida is going to get hit the most by august and september.




there has been frequent high pressure in the north east mid atlantic too, so its not like your te only ones, but i think its safe to say a hurricane will probably bit south florida this season, but again, only time will tell

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1093
Loc: fl
Re: 92L Track [Re: Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser]
      #45794 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:49 PM

Looking at new data coming in and there will be more of a seperation of the trough by sunday into monday over the eastern U.S. Curently the TUTT low over the bahamas will move WNW ( instead of up the east coast) and get into the eastern gulf and absorbed into the trough over the SE U.S. and northern gulf over the weekend. The northern extent over New England down to the midatlantic will move out to sea and be replaced by a ridge over the great lakes. The same time A ridge will build westward from the Atlantic into the Bahamas and Florida by early next week pushing the southern trough over the N gulf to the NW gulf near Tx.
This will up the chances of the possible Tropical system to move westward thru the straits of florida or the peninsula by Tuesday. The ridge should hold on till weds or thurs before a weakness passes again thru the great lakes. This will turn anything in the eastern gulf NW-N by midweek. For Florida and the east coast of the U.S residents, any chance it has to stay out to sea would be determined by where the low does form exactly and how much of a NW movement on its WNW path thru the weekend. If its N of 25 N by 70W by Monday then it could meander till the great lakes trough picks it up. Or if it stays south closer to 22N and 75W by Monday then a path more into the gulf will be expected ( of course ). Anyways thats the scenerio. Chances of Florida and the Gulf 50%, meander off the bahamas 30% and out to sea east of 72W 20% .......................

Edited by scottsvb (Thu Jul 28 2005 01:52 PM)


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 757
Loc: Lauderdale-By- the- Sea,Fl 26.19N 80.10W
Re: 92L Track [Re: scottsvb]
      #45795 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:57 PM

Nice job, Scott.I will REALLY start watching this system this weekend.If I understand you correctly,south Florida MAYBE under the gun with this one?Any ideas on our strong it will be at that time?

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: 92L Track [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #45796 - Thu Jul 28 2005 01:59 PM

im not sure if i believe this..i see no split in the high pressure over florida till thursday, by then the system will be heading up the east coast or going out to see.

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1093
Loc: fl
Re: 92L Track [Re: Ryan]
      #45797 - Thu Jul 28 2005 02:02 PM

I get the same data that the NWS gets and they will Im sure post it anytime if not now.

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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1093
Loc: fl
Re: 92L Track [Re: scottsvb]
      #45798 - Thu Jul 28 2005 02:05 PM

Actually they have it posted up here for W-Central Florida discussions. Almost the same thinking. I dont know how to post articles on the front page to this message board though,,,so if someone else can do it or tell me then thats fine. TY.

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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 384
Loc: Port Orange, FL 29.11N 81.02W
Re: 92L Track [Re: scottsvb]
      #45799 - Thu Jul 28 2005 02:05 PM

Not to toot anyone's horn or anything but personally, I pay attention to what scotts
says. He is one who knows some of what he is talking about, rather than some
on here who are learning and just blurting out their own thoughts or Wishes

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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hurricane expert
Really Not an Expert


Reged: Thu
Posts: 105
Loc: florida
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: MikeC]
      #45800 - Thu Jul 28 2005 02:05 PM

I dont agree with u ryan i agree with scott

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Ryan
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: hurricane expert]
      #45801 - Thu Jul 28 2005 02:07 PM

whatever im allowed to have opinions to people..

--------------------
2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.

Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back


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