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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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damejune2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 237
Loc: Torrington, CT
Re: Wave [Re: HURRICANELONNY]
      #45488 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:00 PM

It's not, you must have misunderstood.....do not worry.

--------------------
Gloria 1985 (Eye passed over my house in...get this...northwestern CT!)


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CaneTrackerInSoFl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 395
Loc: Israel
Looks like [Re: MikeC]
      #45489 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:04 PM

The models may be picking the wave up better now:

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_92.gif

--------------------
Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005



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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
Re: Looks like [Re: CaneTrackerInSoFl]
      #45490 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:11 PM

The yellow plotline is one I do not want to see happen!

Those models keep changing though as more info is put in, correct?

'shana


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damejune2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 237
Loc: Torrington, CT
Re: Looks like [Re: ShanaTX]
      #45491 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:15 PM

Can you give me the link you are using for the models?

--------------------
Gloria 1985 (Eye passed over my house in...get this...northwestern CT!)


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damejune2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 237
Loc: Torrington, CT
Re: Looks like [Re: damejune2]
      #45492 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:16 PM

I got it from above post...sorry!

--------------------
Gloria 1985 (Eye passed over my house in...get this...northwestern CT!)


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cruise182
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 2
Re: Looks like [Re: ShanaTX]
      #45493 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:17 PM

Sorry, New here.....do the colors represent possible tracks?

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CaneTrackerInSoFl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 395
Loc: Israel
Re: Looks like [Re: cruise182]
      #45494 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:18 PM

Quote:

Sorry, New here.....do the colors represent possible tracks?



They represent each model that SFWMD puts on their model maps.

--------------------
Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005



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cruise182
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 2
Re: Looks like [Re: CaneTrackerInSoFl]
      #45495 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:18 PM

Thanks!!

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HURRICANELONNY
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 100
Loc: HOLLYWOOD,FL.
Re: Wave [Re: damejune2]
      #45496 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:20 PM

The Miami discussion says the wave located around 40w will change are flow to the east this weekend. The wave is about 2800 miles away. So I don't know what the heck the NWS is talking about.

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Old Sailor
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 293
Loc: Florida
Re: Wave [Re: HURRICANELONNY]
      #45497 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:30 PM

The Wave to really watch is the Wave by CV, this one shows the most promise and will not be effective by the dust cloud.

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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: Wave [Re: Old Sailor]
      #45500 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:50 PM

What is CV?

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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: Wave [Re: Beaumont, TX]
      #45501 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:51 PM

Cape Verde

the islands way out by africa

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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AndyG
Weather Watcher


Reged: Mon
Posts: 35
Loc: Bradenton, FL
Re: Wave [Re: Old Sailor]
      #45502 - Tue Jul 26 2005 05:53 PM

Quote:

The Wave to really watch is the Wave by CV, this one shows the most promise and will not be effective by the dust cloud.




You mean the one directly behind 92L, right? Earlier, I thought that the one just coming off the coast looked strong. Now, the one behind 92L looks like it's organizing well.


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WX Storm 2005
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 14
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Re: Franklin Continues, Waves Across the Atlantic [Re: MikeC]
      #45503 - Tue Jul 26 2005 06:09 PM Attachment (166 downloads)

When do you think we will see 93L? Very impressive waves today.




Pic Link


Edited by MikeC (Tue Jul 26 2005 06:27 PM)


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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
Re: Wave [Re: AndyG]
      #45504 - Tue Jul 26 2005 06:10 PM

How can you tell if a wave is organizing well?

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AlexK
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 29
Waves [Re: MikeC]
      #45505 - Tue Jul 26 2005 06:16 PM

Both of the recently emerged waves off Africa are looking rather good right now, especially the one to the SW of the Cape Verde islands. I wouldnt be surprised to see an invest placed on it by tonight or tomorrow.

As For Franklin, hes still just sitting there, and again, convection is trying to get over the center. A feeble storm for sure, but a tenacious one


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Joe
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
Re: Waves [Re: AlexK]
      #45508 - Tue Jul 26 2005 06:35 PM

Check out this model plot site I found, has a few extra models and you can pick your own overlays....

http://hurricane.methaz.org/cgi-bin/maps...;savequery=true


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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
here comes the cv season [Re: Joe]
      #45509 - Tue Jul 26 2005 07:13 PM

we're going to see development in the coming days... the key to where it all goes lies in the subtropics. i'll break it down.
two things aside from franklin need to be watched north of 20n. one is to the west, the other to the east. bastardi pointed out the southwestern feature on his TWO this morning... residual vorticity and an upper air sort of catchment will be stuck near the bahamas for the next few days.. as well most of the models forecast the trough heading to break the heat wave in the east to split and show a 500mb weakness retrograding over the southeast. these will be the focal point for interest as the 500mb low and dying front may trigger low pressure on the northern gulf coast, as well as the weakness near the bahamas interacting with the weak piece of tropical wave near 20/58 that split northwest the other day.
east of there is the potential storm-catcher. aside from the wave with invest 92L on it near 43w, subsequent waves may be passing underneath what may be a deep layer or hybrid cyclone east of bermuda. globals show a variety of different features but agree on a disturbance closing off near 30/50 in the coming days... diving shortwaves east of the 500mb ridge building in the western atlantic interacting with the persistent mid-level disturbance that has been east of franklin for the last few days should combine to trigger a low or hybrid system here.. which may provide a weakness for storms in the deep tropics to come north. depending on how it forms it may transition into a tropical-type system or attempt to lift out.. or simply stay relatively put and pull anything from the cv region poleward.
as for waves.. 92L looking about like yesterday. vortmax on the north part of the wave axis with little convection near 17n, weak low near 9n shifted south on the axis.. ITCZ embedded.. shouldn't do much until it gets a bit further west. globals propagate this feature wnw past the northern islands july 29-30... and into the bahamas around august 1-2. this one is a threat to the u.s. if it develops, in about a week's time.
wave behind 92L has more impressive convection... may develop further east. currently near 33w. the weakness in the central atlantic may draw this one up or at least tug it poleward.
new wave just coming off near 17w. another weeks worth behind it, probably more behind that.
trough splits and retrograding upper air features this year have triggered several of the systems we've tracked. the version of that going on near the east coast this week/weekend should make for an interesting scenario if a storm gets into the mix.
HF 0013z27july

Edited by HanKFranK (Tue Jul 26 2005 07:29 PM)


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: here comes the cv season [Re: HanKFranK]
      #45510 - Tue Jul 26 2005 07:23 PM

Hank, I sure hope you are referring to Curriculum Vitae and not Cape Verde.

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AndyG
Weather Watcher


Reged: Mon
Posts: 35
Loc: Bradenton, FL
Re: here comes the cv season [Re: danielw]
      #45512 - Tue Jul 26 2005 07:52 PM

Spaghetti plot of 92L

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