Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
|
|
An active tropical wave continues to become better organized in the southeast Caribbean Sea. Outflow is improving and banding is developing although convection is currently limited. Possible axis of rotation near 13.6N 62.7W at 31/21Z. Movement to the west northwest at 15 knots. Shear is relaxing ahead of the system and development of a Tropical Depression is possible within 24 hours if the convection can become better organized.
ED
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Jul 31 2005 10:18 PM)
|
Kevin
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
|
|
I think you're analyzing 93L, not 92L. 
Other than that, nice analysis. Convection is currently on the wane this evening, so that could slow development some.
|
NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
|
|
Isnt this 93L?
--------------------
Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
|
Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
|
|
Oops - good catch Kevin & Pam. Two weeks of vacation and I need to be retrained  . Convection has really fallen apart this evening, so any development will indeed be slow. The Caribbean Sea is not as dry as it usually is, so I thought that this one had a chance. The overall envelope is still excellent so it may do something eventually - but not likely for a few days.
Thanks,
ED
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
