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Archives 2000s >> 2005 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Invest 95L
      #46437 - Thu Aug 04 2005 12:08 AM

Tropical low near 12.5N 32W at 04/0400Z moving west at 13 knots for the past 6 hours. System is still small but has maintained good convection. Development is expected to be slow, primarily because of an area of light to moderate shear just to the south of the primary convection. This shear zone is forecast to weaken in the next 24 to 36 hours - and I'd expect development to increase at that time. In about 4 days the system will again encounter increasing shear - probably near 55W - however, long range wind shear forecasts in the tropics are not very reliable. The system has a good chance of reaching TD status in a day or two. Movement likely to be west to west northwest over the next few days.

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Weather Watcher

Reged: Wed
Posts: 46
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 95L [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #46439 - Thu Aug 04 2005 12:32 AM

Got any Monterey QuickSCAT links?

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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3502
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 95L [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #46441 - Thu Aug 04 2005 12:48 AM

Checking the 0300Z MET-8 satellite imagery. The convection appears to be forming a solid mass on the northern side of the system. Not quite what I would call a CDO.

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