Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center : Hurricanes Without the Hype since 1995


Tropical Storm Ana Moving Away From Main Hawaiian Islands. Watching Invest 93L in Southern Gulf of Mexico.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 109 (Arthur) , in Florida: 3283 (8 y 11 m) (Wilma)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | >> (show all)
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Unregistered User]
      #48299 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:05 AM

Your post contains a bad link. Please re-submit.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
native
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida 26.31N 80.11W
Re: 00Z Friday Models [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48301 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:15 AM

DanielW and/or Clark;

What are your thoughts on this:

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 19 2005

...TROPICAL WAVES...

E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W S OF 22N MOVING W 10-15
KT. BROAD ROTATION ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE WITH LOWER PRESSURES
SUGGESTING THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED
ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 13N. THE WAVE COULD BEGIN MOVING FASTER NOW
THAT IT IS FARTHER AWAY FROM THE ENHANCING W WINDS OFF THE COAST
OF AFRICA. ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS S OF THE ITCZ.

Note the LAT's given: S of 22N w/ a "suggested" presence of a LLC near 13N ??? That's an awfully big stretch?


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
ralphfl
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 435
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48302 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:15 AM

Start a new thread? what storm would that be for? only thing could be tropical discussion and that is what we are doing now hopefully a fish will develope so we have a storm going nowhere to talk about.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: ralphfl]
      #48303 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:20 AM

Ralph,

What I was impying is that #10 is no longer yet we continue to post on soemthing that is not there anymore, and suggested a new thread for future developements in the Atlantic.

Edited by The Force 2005 (Fri Aug 19 2005 10:21 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Hootowl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 77
Loc: New Port Richey, Fl 28.27N 82.65W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48304 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:22 AM

I think this is what Gainesville was trying to show everyone.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html

And, would someone please look at this and let me know what they think?

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2005081900&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=084hr


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
native
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida 26.31N 80.11W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48305 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:25 AM

Force -

Try this: I test sent to myself & it worked.

NOAA


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Johnathan
Registered User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Ron Basso]
      #48306 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:31 AM

Quote:

Quote:

Nobody seems to want to drop XTD 10, Here is my take on XTD 10, This is a MLC enbedded in the wave, more I think about XTD 10 is was never a TD only look to be one this would explain the ups and downs for the last week.
Dave




Dave, I have to respectfully disagree with you about old TD10. There was clearly a LLC intact for 2-3 days until about 24 hours ago. My take was that it was always a TD until yesterday. What possibly led to the demise of the LLC was the easterly surge of dry air that caught up to the system & disrupted the circulation. Overnight & this am another impressive burst of convection with the MLC near 19.5N-64W. Will it develop? Probably less than 50% chance but who knows. The latest 06Z GFS brings the wave into the peninsula early-to-mid next week. We could use the rain on the west coast of FL.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html


Agreed...the rain has been absent this year on the coast near me. Most activity has been inland.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Hootowl]
      #48307 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:31 AM

I believe that is what all the models and JB were hinting at a "BIG" low coming off Africa which could be our next storm, perhaps right away.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
native
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida 26.31N 80.11W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Hootowl]
      #48308 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:31 AM

Quote:


And, would someone please look at this and let me know what they think?

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2005081900&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=084hr




Would it be correct to assume that you are refering to the "system" shown just NW of the Cape Verde Islands?


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: native]
      #48309 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:34 AM

Are you talking about the develpement at 20N/20W?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
native
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida 26.31N 80.11W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48310 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:35 AM

Good, I assumed correct...you know what they say about assuming

Yeah, the weather related entities are noticing it also...see my post earlier (I think it's on the previous page)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: native]
      #48311 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:38 AM

So with that being said and agreed upon, the pressure is falling in that area, and could have ourselves a TD if not a Storm. Will have to wait and see what the NHC puts out.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Hootowl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 77
Loc: New Port Richey, Fl 28.27N 82.65W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: native]
      #48312 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:39 AM

Actually I was looking at the little blob approaching south Florida.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Hootowl]
      #48313 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:44 AM

Did you know that this plot is for 84HRS, and it hints of a possible low pressure area in that vincinity at the specified time period. Now it could be old #10, but don't think so considering there was no LLC when the RECON was out there yesterday. So, we have to assume that the models are hinting just the opposite.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
native
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida 26.31N 80.11W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Hootowl]
      #48314 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:49 AM

Ah! Gottcha...my guess...my you it's not a "educated" one either ,is that says 84hrs. out..which would mean late sunday early monday...maybe it's the "wave" like remnants of XTD 10 that JB thinks will approach the Bahamas in that time frame? Like I said, just a guess.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* [Re: native]
      #48315 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:50 AM

This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Hootowl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 77
Loc: New Port Richey, Fl 28.27N 82.65W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48317 - Fri Aug 19 2005 10:54 AM

Someone posted earlier that they saw something on the GFS model for mid next week. I could't see it - all I found was the model in the link I posted earlier.
Could be I didn't look in the correct time frame. I was just hoping for the rain.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: Hootowl]
      #48318 - Fri Aug 19 2005 11:10 AM Attachment (163 downloads)

Are you wishing for rain, be careful what you wish for. Take a look at this SAT.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
The Force 2005
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 299
Loc: Philadelphia
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48319 - Fri Aug 19 2005 11:11 AM

This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Hootowl
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 77
Loc: New Port Richey, Fl 28.27N 82.65W
Re: Tropical Wave north of PR [Re: The Force 2005]
      #48320 - Fri Aug 19 2005 11:25 AM

Our local mets said that there would be a front approaching Florida this weekend. I was thinking that could be weather in front of the front.
(there I go thinking again) Good chance I am completely wrong.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 9 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 25146

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center