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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Katrina Stalls
      #49448 - Thu Aug 25 2005 09:50 AM

Just a repost from my email service - but it covers the bases (I hope):
During the past hour or so Tropical Storm Katrina has remained stationary east of Fort Lauderdale near 26.2N 79.0W with sustained winds in a small area near the center at about 55mph. The storm has changed little during the night and she is trapped in an area of complex but weak steering currents. My expectation is that Katrina will slowly move to the west northwest today with landfall late this evening near Palm Beach - probably still as a strong tropical storm with sustained winds near 70mph, i.e., close to but not quite hurricane intensity. Katrina will crawl northwest to near Weeki Wachee (28.5N 82.5W) by Saturday morning (8am) and weaken to a Tropical Depression by that time. I'd expect Katrina to be about 75 miles southwest of Melbourne Friday afternoon (2pm) with winds barely at tropical storm strength at that time. Winds in Melbourne should be out of the east to east southeast at 20mph with gusts to 35mph in heavy rain squalls from Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning with periods of heavy rain squalls starting late Thursday evening through Saturday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are possible in east central Florida and minor flooding can be expected. Heavier rainfall amounts are likely over the southern peninsula. Katrina is expected to curve northeastward and exit back into the Atlantic near the Florida/Georgia border on Sunday morning - perhaps redeveloping into a Tropical Storm along the South and North Carolina coasts late Sunday and Monday. That covers the expectation, however, forecast models diverge considerably on the eventual track for this storm. With steering currents that are just about nil, Katrina could still strengthen to a hurricane and could threaten Florida anywhere from the Keys to the Cape, so it would still be in your best interests to continue to monitor the progress of this tropical cyclone for the next couple of days - especially if you live in Florida or along the Southeast coast.
ED

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