hurricane expert
Really Not an Expert
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Posts: 105
Loc: florida
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Is there a chance this hurricane could still make a right turn and make land fall in the tampa area. What about it slow speed if it continues to move slow may be the trough could have time to pick this up and send it back to the right real fast
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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We have a new invest out in the atlantic. It's the wave following 97L and has been named 90L.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_hom...es&DISPLAY=
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danielw
Moderator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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I'm not sure about Phil being clairvoyant. Clairol, maybe.
The 29/18z position of 30.0N/ 88.5W is just south of Petit Bois Island and just west of the MS/AL line in the GOM.
That would be close to Frederick '79's track. Based on the 5 PM EDT Advisory.
State of LA has gone to emergency already!!
http://www.wwltv.com/local/stories/WWL082605blanco.b15272b7.html
Edited by danielw (Fri Aug 26 2005 11:19 PM)
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
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I know that is rated as one of the hardest places to evacuate, but doesn't it seem at least a little premature?
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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not a nice girl if she comes into New Orleans...
won't be a pretty site....New Orleans is UNDER sea level...and the levees cannot withstand anything more than a cat 2...
cat 3 or better...City is UNDER 10 or more of water...period.
fact
watching this is almost surreal. what other natural disaster can you sit and watch.....watch it coming to you?
maybe hear a volcano rumble....but ....these things are fascinating...
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Quote:
State of LA has gone to emergency already??
Remember ? They had NO evac into MS, several days ahead, for goodness sake. Big headache for MS folks, who have very few evac routes, and whose roadways were also hit by AL evac traffic.
Because of the large population and limited roadway throughput, I believe the plan is for NO to evac 72hrs out; way before they know if they are going to take a direct hit.
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
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Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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The declaration of emergency also stops some price gouging, but of course not all of it.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 48
Loc: The Burg < FL
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just looked @ the long range loop out of the keys and it seems to be wobbling to the nw ... hope its not a trend ... for the panhandles sake =\ http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kbyx.shtml
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nl
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
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can someone please show me where this ridge is and how big it is. 
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danielw
Moderator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Blanco declares state of emergency
05:49 PM CDT on Friday, August 26, 2005
Associated Press
Louisiana kept a close watch on the Gulf of Mexico on Friday, Gov. Kathleen Blanco declared a state of emergency, and a strengthening Hurricane moved further to the west. Blanco ordered the state's disaster preparedness offices to start taking precautions, saying posed an "imminent threat." Meanwhile, emergency preparedness officers in southern Louisiana were mobilizing on their own.
http://www.wwltv.com/local/stories/WWL082605blanco.b15272b7.html
http://www.wwltv.com/
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StormHound
Weather Guru
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Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
just looked @ the long range loop out of the keys and it seems to be wobbling to the nw ... hope its not a trend ... for the panhandles sake =\ http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kbyx.shtml
Egads! Looks a little more NNW. Hope its just a wobble, although at this point, some unfortunate souls are going to get it anyway.
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Storm Hound
Computer Geek
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Loop the radar... http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/byx_N0R_lp.shtml
It's barely moving, but it's direction is not NNW, it is almost exactly west with maybe the smallest possible northern component... but, really, it's not doing much...
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Looks like due west to me from the Key West radar. Earlier (4:30pm CT) I thought it has turned due north or maybe NNW but in the last hour it looks like due west.
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 48
Loc: The Burg < FL
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anyone heard any info out of the keys? .. they must have got @ least a foot of rain or more by now
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danielw
Moderator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Quote:
can someone please show me where this ridge is and how big it is.
This morning's maps. They will update soon. This is the 850mb-around 10,000 feet.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/QUNA00latest.gif
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/QHQA17latest.gif
200mb map-roughly 40950 feet.
Edited by danielw (Fri Aug 26 2005 11:49 PM)
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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Quote:
anyone heard any info out of the keys? .. they must have got @ least a foot of rain or more by now
Here's the doppler rain total: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/byx.shtml
Not as good as a location report, but useful for seeing trends.
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Bloodstar
Moderator
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Posts: 462
Loc: Tucson, AZ
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Looking at the imagry am I seeing some sort of weakness developing there in response to the approaching front?
and then, if it is there, would it be enough to pull the storm north and north east?
EDIT:
specificly I'm wondering if the ridge is splitting and pushing south into the western GOM and would block from heading west? I am probably reading things wrong, but I keep thinking that's what I"m starting to see.... any thoughts?
-Mark
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M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student
Edited by Bloodstar (Fri Aug 26 2005 11:37 PM)
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Quote:
anyone heard any info out of the keys? .. they must have got @ least a foot of rain or more by now
TWC said 9 inches in Key West.... 4th highest rainfall total.
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Mark,
I don't see any weakness on the loop i'm viewing now (the WV one). So no, the non-existent weakness isn't enough to move it north and east. 
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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Steve H1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
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Actually, looks to me like took a dive to the SW. Maybe she will meander there a bit. If she stays there long enuf, things may change regarding her future path.
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