Rob1966
Registered User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 9
Loc: Cooper City Florida
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11:00 up>
Hurricane Watch for the Fl. Keys
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Why did they issue watches and warnings for the Bahamas,that is due east of me and the keys that are south of me,But not issue any for my area?????.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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Quote:
Why did they issue watches and warnings for the Bahamas,that is due east of me and the keys that are south of me,But not issue any for my area?????.
I think the Bahamas issue their own watches/warnings in coodination with ....I am not sure if issued those watches for Freeport. Hurricane Watch for Keys is appropriate considering the amount of time it takes to evacuate the entire island chain. Looks like another test for our beloved FEMA.
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Psyber
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 231
Loc: Ontario, Canada
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Looong ways out but tracking towards the GOM. Wouldn't THAT just be about the worst thing ever for this thing to cause any storm surge towards New Orleans/biloxi etc...
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The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.
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jlauderdal
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Tue
Posts: 97
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FLorida
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Quote:
Why did they issue watches and warnings for the Bahamas,that is due east of me and the keys that are south of me,But not issue any for my area?????.
Bob, they will issue watches arnings when the criteria for such is met. i suspect we will be under a TS watch at some point today. I will issue a Hurricane Warning for all residents of fort lauderdale if that helps, lol. That means run over to the elbow room and secure a stool at the bar.
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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
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It appears to be pretty unlikely that the TD 18 system will have much of an effect on the LA/MS area. It is likely to take a track well south of there, though the some of the latest model runs and the official forecast have more of a NW turn in the western Gulf, bringing the system towards the Texas coast.
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/10...NEARLY ALONG THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY TRACK. HOWEVER...THE SOUTHERLY SHEAR COULD BE FORCING SOME
REDEVELOPMENT OF THE CENTER FARTHER NORTH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND IN FACT IT COULD ALREADY BE SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE ADVISORY
POSITION. THERE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT RIDGING TO FORCE THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE GENERALLY WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH
SOME WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION COULD OCCUR DUE TO SOME DOWNSHEAR
REFORMATION OF THE CENTER.
This portion of the 11am concerns me...any ideas on how much further north the center has relocated?
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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Here are the tracks on 97L - looks like it could also be a threat to the Gulf:
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_97.gif
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Quote:
Quote:
Why did they issue watches and warnings for the Bahamas,that is due east of me and the keys that are south of me,But not issue any for my area?????.
Bob, they will issue watches arnings when the criteria for such is met. i suspect we will be under a TS watch at some point today. I will issue a Hurricane Warning for all residents of fort lauderdale if that helps, lol. That means run over to the elbow room and secure a stool at the bar.
I was at the elbo room for .If you look at the map of the watches it seems to me they should have put us in the watch area.I mean due east,and due south have watches.Just thought it was a little odd.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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trinibaje
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
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Bob... i suspect i am in the watch area... hard to tell i am in country walk.. does the watch area extend that far north.. seems like part of the penninsula is under a watch 
ok i answered my own question... the watch area is from Dry Tortugas to Ocean Reef, which is 15 minutes south of me... 
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-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5
Edited by trinibaje (Sun Sep 18 2005 12:38 PM)
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damejune2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 237
Loc: Torrington, CT
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We had our "Surprise" last year with ....where were you?? Don't like your prediction about West Central Fla........
edit - let's be nice to one another please. 
Edited by RedingtonBeachGuy (Sun Sep 18 2005 12:52 PM)
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Tropics Guy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 252
Loc: Miami, Florida
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Local TV Met says that the watches would probably be extended to the SE FL coast later this evening or tonight. Similiar to as she was developing , the center may have a tendency to form more towards the north as the whole system generally moves towards the W or WNW, this will bring more of the bad weather (north side of storm) into Dade & Broward.
TG
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Tropical Cyclones: "Mother nature's heat transfer machines"
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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ref TD 18:
i agree with 11am.... recon will be out there in a little bit... so will have a pretty good fix of the center.... i do agree it looks a little farther north than the 11adv pkg.... so i would expect a slight shift in the 5pm adv. tonight to the right or north in short term....
**Houston does not need this system...nor the central Gulf Coast..... the western GOM havs very warm waters right now, and that would have me worried that a Hurricane at Landfall would not be out of the question in my mind in the western (texas coast) gulf.... at this time....
i think the mayor of New Orleans needs too rethink letting people back into the city in the near future, or until the threat of this system is gone.....
sat
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Sep 18 2005 01:17 PM)
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Let's focas on south Florida first,Then will see what happens after that.
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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scottsvb
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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weatherwatcher2
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 97
Loc: Parrish florida
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no kiddin! I think maybe if they read your whole post instead of just a piece of it they wouldnt have responded that way.. I just want some rain.
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trinibaje
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
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Quote:
Let's focas on south Florida first,Then will see what happens after that.
to shutter or not to shutter that is the question... i have a two story house and shuttering is a lot of money and effort..... not to mention my hubby is a pilot and may not be here to help put them up or take them down.... decisions decisions... :?:
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-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
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The WPB stations aren't hyping yet. just keeping an eye on it. If (?) it stayd near track we'll get some wind and rain. I'd expect some type of TS warning by 11:00PM. The Keys are taking action though...
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Lee-Delray
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 429
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My shutter guy says not to put shutters up if winds are below 80 mph, but my house is only 4 years old. He said that you're more likely to get hurt putting up shutters then having something break the windows at that point. Remember that's an opinion only.
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Beaumont, TX
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 318
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Guess that is the best thing (focus on Florida) to do but if one lives in Texas it would be a good thing to know what the storm might do. five days out.
Houston would be very difficult to evacuate. Doesn't hurt to have a plan just incase. Here in Southeast Texas we have a pretty
good evacuation plan in place. We evacuated a few years ago for Lilli (fortunately she turned at the last minute). But
still evacuations take time. Plus we have 16,000 new residents because of . I guess that is why I am interested in what this
storm might do down the road. I live on the coast plus I have family in Houston. So just want to be prepared...just in case.
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