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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
The Enigma Called Vince
      #58063 - Sun Oct 09 2005 04:37 PM

Vince is a classic example of how little we know about systems and how difficult it is for science to think outside the box. Vince is probably a cold core subtropical hurricane, i.e., something that is not 'supposed' to exist - and the same could be said of the April, 2004, south Atlantic hurricane that hit Brazil (remember, April in the southern hemisphere is like October in the northern hemisphere).

Vince is quite small, yet is has probably been a subtropical system since Friday. It also steps well outside the parameters of those that we currently use to define tropical storms and hurricanes - and yet it exists. The south Atlantic hurricane and a tropical storm in the Med Sea a couple of years ago were also small system in this 'out of bounds' category. As a science, Meteorology is still young, with many more centuries to gain knowledge and grow and redefine new storm classifications - but it will take quite some time because of our (futile) resistance to change.

At any rate, kudos to NHC for naming the system. Its somewhat fitting that this enigma of a storm should be the first ever 'V' named system in the Atlantic basin.

The low-level circulation of the former STD 22 is still quite vigorous and moving to the west northwest with some small chance that it may break away from the upper level low well to its south southeast. Even if it does, its still got quite an uphill battle for recovery with the stubborn Atlantic trough to its west.
ED


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