F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 211 (Idalia) , Major: 211 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 211 (Idalia) Major: 211 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | >> (show all)
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: CONVECTION FLARE UP
      #5978 - Sat Oct 05 2002 11:26 AM

Thanks Kevin, I too agree with a lot of others that we will have a few more storms this season,perhaps even active well into Nov.

How bout those BUCS !!! So far so good.......

Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
TheSaints
Unregistered




What's the official count as of now?
      #5979 - Sat Oct 05 2002 01:04 PM

What are we at, 12-4-3, or 12-4-4? My early season prediction was 13-8-3. That's obviously low in the 'total' number department, high in the Cat1&2 category and ? on the IH's with the Carribean season yet to roll out.

Steve-unlogged


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: What's the official count as of now?
      #5980 - Sat Oct 05 2002 01:17 PM

To tell you the truth Steve, I'm not real sure on the count. I have been working 12 hr. days lately and it has been a chore for me to keep up with all of this activity. Not much sleep lately, but hopefully we can have a couple of days off before the caribbean starts to get active. Sounds like your #'s are close!

Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Steveunplugged
Unregistered




Re: What's the official count as of now?
      #5982 - Sat Oct 05 2002 02:53 PM

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories/s1048.htm

Check this out. Obviously we're progressing with technology and meteorology. I hadn't even heard of this yet!

Steve


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: What's the official count as of now?
      #5983 - Sat Oct 05 2002 03:59 PM

Obviously these radars were in place to be used at the beginning of the season. I don't recall hearing anything about them or that they would be used. Anyway, the data that these radars can produce could be invaluable in the future. The high resolution is totally awsome, almost made you feel like you were there, but under safer circumstances of course.

The convection in the Caribbean and in the Atlantic is still holding together. The caribbean looks more impressive at this point. When I see convection firing in that neck of the woods this time of the year it gets my full attention.

Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Bill
Unregistered




Radar
      #5984 - Sat Oct 05 2002 04:08 PM

This project has been in place, off and on, since Hugo, and more so since Fran. It's a 'spin-off' (no pun intended) from tornado research....they worked on Bret too, but could not get fully into position.

IHS,

Bill


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: Radar
      #5985 - Sat Oct 05 2002 04:30 PM

This is my first season on this forum and it has really been great. I have learned alot. I just wish I had known about this site years ago.

SOMEBODY PLEASE TELL ME THAT IS NOT KYLE THAT THE UKMET IS TRYING TO TAKE SOUTH. IS HE NOT EVER GOING TO GO AWAY?

TONI

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Re: Radar
      #5986 - Sat Oct 05 2002 10:26 PM

After the two most exciting and intense weeks of the season things have quieted down somewhat.... wave in the W Caribbean appears to be holding it's own thus far moving towards the WNW and/or NW but not expected to develop any time soon...Presures inland over CA running in the 1008 and 1009 mb range tonight.. Kyle is a non event and subtropical low east of Bermuda heading off to the SW.. another wave approaching the antillies heading WNW but faced with a big shear event just ahead of it... so nothing imminent on the horizon...

If I was to pick which one had best chance to develop I guess I'd go with the W Car right now... if it can continue to persist and not fizzle out over land...

Saints still lead the NFC South I might add..... Old Miss whipped the Gators... BIG upset... HoustonTracker should be on cloud nine tonight...


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Bruce
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
RAIN
      #5988 - Sun Oct 06 2002 08:55 AM

Ed, when are we going to get some rain In Brevard? Melbourne set a record in September, October looking to be very dry also. Whats going on?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Bruce
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
TS Kyle
      #5989 - Sun Oct 06 2002 11:29 AM

Kyle making a come back, again. How will the ULL to his west effect him?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
UnpluggedSteve
Unregistered




AVN & Canadian Models...
      #5990 - Sun Oct 06 2002 12:32 PM

Are among the most aggressive in predicting a western Gulf event in 5 days. MM5 and NOGAPS are more in line with an East Pac development. Canadian actually is putting a Cat-1 or Cat-2 between Lake Charles and Galveston. We're otherwise in a lull period (for the most part). If there's any action for the US this month, 15th-25th is most likely.

Steve


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
PewterPirates
Unregistered




Re: Radar
      #5991 - Sun Oct 06 2002 05:18 PM

Also may i "ADD" There is alot of the season left !......GO BUCS !

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: Radar
      #5992 - Sun Oct 06 2002 08:41 PM

So far this season has superseded the # of storms predicted by a lot of people. Just think offically it was suppose to be average to below average, and the season is certainly not over yet. The caribbean and the GOM could easily have another 2-3 storms and the Central Atlantic could also see another storm.
Then there is Kyle he's been a PIA, but he's been around soooo long that when he is finally gone I think I may miss him!
LOL Toni
HOW BOUT THOSE BUCS!!!

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Steveunplugged
Unregistered




How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5993 - Sun Oct 06 2002 09:04 PM

Heh.

Here's a late afternoon note from Bastardi echoing potential Western Gulf action:

>>Full post tomorrow including a focus on western gulf weather where a pattern conducive to alot of rain, and possible development is setting up.

He also notes Kyle will move South, then SW and potentially threaten FL or the Bahamian Kingdom sometime later in the week. Looks like maybe an interesting week afterall.

Steve - Saints 4-1 - 1st Place in the ENTIRE NFC baby.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5994 - Sun Oct 06 2002 09:36 PM

Long range models also confirms what Bastardi is concerned about. Seems like the west/central gulf is a target zone this season.
I want to see Kyle start moving before I believe anything out of him!

BUCS 4-1 YOUR GOING TO HAVE TO SHARE THE GLORY
TONI

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5995 - Sun Oct 06 2002 09:50 PM

Kyle just won't give up, will he? But threaten Fl or Bermuda? Years ago we called those nor-easters! Believe it when I see it. W GOM clouds seem real close to land to develope anytime soon; have no idea what that ULL to east of Kyle is up to. Sub-trop perhaps?

For all the Saints and Bucs fans: we here in Jacksonville can tell you for a fact that the Eagles are no lock for the Super Bowl as we beat them 28-25 (and we're in a rebuilding year? 3-1 ). In fact, all of Florida's pro teams are looking really good at the moment.

Frank, I told you those Gators were a weak Cat2, at best. Zook's catching hell over here.

Joe in JAX


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5996 - Sun Oct 06 2002 10:12 PM

The BUCS are going thru a transitional year also, but I like what I see so far.
Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5997 - Sun Oct 06 2002 10:20 PM

And on that note, Toni, you just became a guru!

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
57497479
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5998 - Sun Oct 06 2002 10:33 PM

Well thank you Joe, but I am only a GURU at replies. I am defiantly still a student.

Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: How bout those SECOND PLACE Bucs?
      #5999 - Sun Oct 06 2002 11:08 PM

Well, at 11 the NHC seems to think that Kyle is now going to move SOUTH of me again. A very long discussion, which hinted at him poss. becoming a hurricane again. When Dora hit NE FL 38 yrs ago, it was because she interacted with another storm and got pushed west. Of course, they also said they don't really know exactly where he is; it seems he's got a good magic act going again:
THE INITIAL LOCATION IS SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC WITH A 07/0025Z SSMI OVERPASS INDICATING A POSSIBLE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NORTHWEST OF THE ADVISORY POSITION... WHILE THE SAME IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A LARGE MID-LEVEL DOUGHNUT-HOLE FEATURE TO THE SOUTH.

I have no idea what their getting at..........

Toni, your now a three-star weather guru student....I'll bet FL see's a landfall from something before Oct 31.........

Joe in JAX


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 13 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: ****
Topic views: 65101

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center