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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

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epigea
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Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59899 - Thu Oct 20 2005 05:03 AM

In at Rotonda, out at Tequesta

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guest
Unregistered




stormsurge [Re: Unregistered User]
      #59905 - Thu Oct 20 2005 05:15 AM

try this for stormsurge hint http://www-gis.hillsboroughcounty.org/heat/

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Weather Nose
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59941 - Thu Oct 20 2005 09:11 AM

At 3:45 AM CDT I am still seeing Wilma's direction maintaining at 260-270 range. Also seeing strong northeasterly upper level wind flow along with a lifting of the ridge to the west and northwest of Wilma , and the same ridge to the northeast sagging slightly southeast. The influence to the west to drive a north to northeast turn is still a day away. So, my prediction right now is for a 270-280 direction, maintaining same speed for 8-12 hours putting initial landfall on and across the central Yucatan peninsula, and emerging, weakened, into the Gulf of Mexico with a motion due north. After that depends upon the timing of the ridge moving in from the West. You saw it here first.

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Surge
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Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Weather Nose]
      #59984 - Thu Oct 20 2005 12:57 PM

Storm surge from a hurricane coming from the West will mainly occur at and to the South of the eye. You will have offshore winds to the North of the eye, so no surge will occur there.

I'm guessing Everglades City through West Palm Beach.


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stevelob
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Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #59985 - Thu Oct 20 2005 01:07 PM

It's going to clip Key West and head out towards the Atlantic without doing much damage to South Florida.

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wizardlady4u
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Weather Nose]
      #60033 - Thu Oct 20 2005 03:01 PM

A lil humor is always a good thing........... As the hurricane said to the coconut tree, hold on to your nuts this is no ordinary blow. Still stickin with Pcola beach and Appalach.........

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Rasvar
Weather Master


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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: stevelob]
      #60035 - Thu Oct 20 2005 03:01 PM

I see no reason to change my original. Still in at Venice, out at Satellite Beach.

--------------------
Jim


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hourglass726
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Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* [Re: Steeler Fan]
      #60049 - Thu Oct 20 2005 03:36 PM

This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard

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Damian
Unregistered




YOUR ALL IDIOTS *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* *DELETED* [Re: hourglass726]
      #60055 - Thu Oct 20 2005 03:42 PM

Post deleted by MikeC

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Cocoa3121
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #60068 - Thu Oct 20 2005 03:55 PM

I am guessing either extreme southwest Florida exiting near Broward or Dade counties, or passing over the Keys and missing mainland Florida entirely....
Of course, this is just a guess.....


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Bulldg24
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #60109 - Thu Oct 20 2005 04:46 PM

Ok, best guess is LANDFALL @ Boca Grande.. EXIT @ Palm Bay. I hope I am wrong since I just got the repairs from Frances & Jeanne finsihed...

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d.ballard
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: orlandocanewatcher]
      #60110 - Thu Oct 20 2005 04:46 PM

With two fronts coming in and the second being the stronger, I would see it coming closer to the Tampa Bay area. It is all a timing issue now.

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Mayor of Moronia
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 16
Loc: Bayonet Point, Pasco County
Re: YOUR ALL IDIOTS [Re: Damian]
      #60113 - Thu Oct 20 2005 04:50 PM

Consider this. Profiteers regulate the supply of scarce resources. If the price of gas is high enough geezers and recreational users wont buy it, and more gas is then available for business and workers. Ditto for motel rooms; if the price is high enough families will make do with one room instead of two. AND! if the price of scarce resources is high enough suppliers will flock to where the need is the greatest. Was it RICHARD IV who exclaimed "A horse! A horse! My kingdom for a horse!" ?

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Dottie
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: d.ballard]
      #60114 - Thu Oct 20 2005 04:51 PM

I would also have to agree, they were talking about a Tampa strike on the radio this morning. They said it would be Saturday before they knew which areas would be affected.

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Flaguy24
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #60130 - Thu Oct 20 2005 05:07 PM

All I know is this... if Jim Cantore shows up in my neighborhood again this year.. he's going to get his butt kicked ...LOL !!!.. I met him last year in TN right before Frances hit my neighborhood, we looked at the NHC path & advisories... He then assured me it would hit the keys & go into the gulf...I told him if I saw him in my neighborhood, he was going to HELP get the hurricane shutters up, then kick his butt... needless to say he showed up a few days later in my area... So If Cantore or Anderson Cooper shows up in your neighborhood a few days before any storm comes in...

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fal
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 1
Loc: Tampa
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: epigea]
      #60170 - Thu Oct 20 2005 05:57 PM

Landfall in Florida ?
Naples exit Ft. Lauderdale.

Go Bucs!


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Pcola Dude
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: fal]
      #60183 - Thu Oct 20 2005 06:30 PM

I think that the models are way off, I see it coming up to Pensacola, but that's just a gut feeling like I had with Ivan

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wmiller
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* [Re: Ed G]
      #60197 - Thu Oct 20 2005 07:02 PM

This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard

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doug
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: wmiller]
      #60209 - Thu Oct 20 2005 07:19 PM

NE off the Yucatan at just approx 45-50 deg. VEnice

--------------------
doug


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stelf13
Unregistered




Re: C'mon! Lets hear those landfall predictions! [Re: Ed G]
      #60212 - Thu Oct 20 2005 07:21 PM

I am saying it hits south of Naples and exits north of Boca. I'm in Tampa and a little worried, not sure if we're gonna leave and if so when. YIKES!! I hate this!!

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