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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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ShelleyMcD
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 14
Loc: SRQ
Re: NHC Press Conference- Tampa 13 VIPIR [Re: willw]
      #61711 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:13 PM

Was it really the CoC that 13 was showing coming north? The animations earlier in the day show a huge rain "bubble" to the north, basically tracking I-4, but the CoC looked to stay south, by say Ft. Myers? Does this make sense?

--------------------
Self-Confessed Control Freak
(I know I can't control what will happen, but I can control how much I understand about it!)


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Heads Up [Re: ShelleyMcD]
      #61712 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:13 PM

It appears that part or All of Wilma's Center of Circulation is now off shore.

Sat loops are showing some rather Severe Convective Cells in the NE Quadrant. From Due North of the Yucatan to just West of Dry Tortugas.

Just North of 24N from 87w to 83W.

Based of the location and rapid buildup of these cells. I, personally think that the TORNADO Threat will increase offshore in the next few hours.

Moving Onshore in the overnight hours.
I'll check the Storm Prediction Center's site for updates.


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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
Re: VIPIR [Re: nowhammies]
      #61713 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:14 PM

Actually, if you click on the word VIPIR on the message you posted (or this one) you will be taken to the Baron site and there is a link on how it works.

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lawgator
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 75
Loc: E C Fla.
Re: VIPIR [Re: Geoff]
      #61716 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:25 PM

Quote:

Actually, if you click on the word VIPIR on the message you posted (or this one) you will be taken to the Baron site and there is a link on how it works.




Anyone got a link to the actual run?


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jusforsean
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 23
Loc: Broward County
Re: Heads Up [Re: danielw]
      #61717 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:28 PM

danielw:
Does that mean tornadoe chances increase tonigh?? Or tommorrow night?


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: VIPIR [Re: lawgator]
      #61718 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:30 PM

Quote:

Anyone got a link to the actual run?



It was probably a locally initialized and produced run at WTVT. There is no link on their web site.

--------------------
Michael

PWS


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Severe Weather [Re: MichaelA]
      #61720 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:41 PM

I checked the Storm Prediction Center site.

As Of now-2336Z or 737PM EDT. There are NO
Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watches in effect, in Florida.

Please make sure that you are able to receive Local Watches and Warnings tonight. Either through a WeatherRadio or Radio and TV Emergency Broadcast Stations.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov


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funky
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 55
Re: Severe Weather [Re: danielw]
      #61722 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:46 PM

i've got my tornado warning alert on "blast"...will scare the **** out of the dog if it goes off though...lol

Quote:

I checked the Storm Prediction Center site.

As Of now-2336Z or 737PM EDT. There are NO
Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watches in effect, in Florida.

Please make sure that you are able to receive Local Watches and Warnings tonight. Either through a WeatherRadio or Radio and TV Emergency Broadcast Stations.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov




--------------------
WE WILL FIX YOU N.O. --- http://media.putfile.com/KATRINA25


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komi
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Re: Severe Weather [Re: danielw]
      #61724 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:47 PM

Some thunderstorms developing in central Florida, just north from Sebring right now: http://65.75.66.73/ktbw_compref124_current.jpg

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collegemom
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 82
Loc: Central Arkansas
Re: Heads Up [Re: danielw]
      #61725 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:50 PM

OK If Wilma has walked on through to the other side I believe she'll stay north a bit and her speed will scoot up. I'm watching for a slow 18 wheeler turn here. Lemme know if you catch it first.

--------------------
character has been defined as what we do when no one is looking


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funky
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 55
Re: NHC Press Conference [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #61727 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:53 PM

now that is why i come to CFHC !!! nice graphic dude!!

Quote:

I know this is not the case, it would be nice, any Mets/Mods/Prof know what happened to this Micro shot, watch this LOL

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/marti/2005_TWENTY-FOUR/webManager/last24hrs.gif




--------------------
WE WILL FIX YOU N.O. --- http://media.putfile.com/KATRINA25


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funky
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 55
Re: Heads Up [Re: collegemom]
      #61728 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:54 PM

unless you click on it within the next few minutes (or have a longer version of the loop) you can watch the visible on ramdis: http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/trop_ge_storm_relative_0.html

she's just turned to the northeast

Quote:

OK If Wilma has walked on through to the other side I believe she'll stay north a bit and her speed will scoot up. I'm watching for a slow 18 wheeler turn here. Lemme know if you catch it first.




--------------------
WE WILL FIX YOU N.O. --- http://media.putfile.com/KATRINA25


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efaulkSWFLA
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 17
Loc: Fort Myers, Florida
Re: Heads Up [Re: funky]
      #61729 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:56 PM

FYI -- 8PM is available

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Rdietch
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 89
Re: NHC Press Conference [Re: funky]
      #61730 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:56 PM

18z GDFL Moves it back down to Naples again.I think these models just keep going 50-100 miles each way for 3 days now.

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lawgator
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 75
Loc: E C Fla.
Re: Heads Up [Re: funky]
      #61732 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:58 PM

Quote:

unless you click on it within the next few minutes (or have a longer version of the loop) you can watch the visible on ramdis: http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/trop_ge_storm_relative_0.html

she's just turned to the northeast

Quote:

OK If Wilma has walked on through to the other side I believe she'll stay north a bit and her speed will scoot up. I'm watching for a slow 18 wheeler turn here. Lemme know if you catch it first.







Caught the last few frames. Eerie. Thanks for the link.


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engicedave
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Tue
Posts: 70
Loc:
Re: Heads Up [Re: funky]
      #61733 - Sat Oct 22 2005 07:58 PM

Is it me, but on some of the loops, doesn't it look like she's already haulin' butt?

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swimaway19
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 32
Loc: Safety Harbor, FL
Re: NHC Press Conference [Re: Rdietch]
      #61736 - Sat Oct 22 2005 08:02 PM

Though the 18Z GFDL moved south, the 18Z GFS is still around Sarasota

--------------------
Chris
Swim Away, Swim Far Away....



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satellite steve
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 51
Loc: Satellite Bch FL
Re: NHC Press Conference [Re: Rdietch]
      #61737 - Sat Oct 22 2005 08:02 PM

Interesting interaction with Wilma and front moving in going on

On lower levels Wilma drawing in circulation counterclockwise is making easterly flow in central GOM -- front has a bulge in it

In contrast in upper levels westerly flow from front is assisting in outflow all the way across Fl peninsula and well out into Atlantic


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tashina
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 13
Loc: Austin, TX
Re: NHC Press Conference- Tampa 13 VIPIR [Re: ShelleyMcD]
      #61738 - Sat Oct 22 2005 08:03 PM

CNN just starting a special that will take you inside for an unprecedented look - Monster: Tracking the Storm. Doing the NHC now. (I'm on Central Time )

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ChessieStorm
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 49
Loc: Spring Hill, Fla. (Hernando C...
Re: Heads Up [Re: engicedave]
      #61739 - Sat Oct 22 2005 08:03 PM

Does it look like the west/southwest eye wall has opened before completely exiting the coast?

Cloud tops in that area have warmed dramatically on the lastest IR sat. runs.


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