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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

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allan
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
TS Beryl
      #68280 - Thu Jul 20 2006 02:30 PM

Naa I don;t see a southeast movement with the eye. Looks like convection is starting to wrap around the center. Comeback?? probably not. Maybe a flare up moment, deff. no blow up. I see a landfall on the border of Rhode Island and Mass. It hasnt made that sharp turn. I predict for it to stay on a NNE movement for a while. So far LI is gonna get pounded later today.

Edit: moved to appropriate forum, again. -Clark

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Allan Reed - 18,9,5

Edited by Clark (Thu Jul 20 2006 04:30 PM)


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: TS Beryl [Re: allan]
      #68282 - Thu Jul 20 2006 03:33 PM

I do not believe that TS Beryl will ever make it hurricane status. It's on it's way to some very cool waters off the northeastern seaboard, and if anything, it may lose some of its strength later this afternoon or evening.
According to the NHC (look to the left under "CURRENT STORMS") it is moving NNE at 11mph and the official track keeps it offshore and unless things change in the next few hours, the NHC is not calling for any landfall. New England will see some heavy rain and some winds, but hopefully it will zip right on out of there.
Also...when looking at the loops, be careful to look for the center of the LLC, not at the convection. If you are looking at the convection, you would see that it appears to be moving more North. However, keep an eye on the LLC and you can see that it is indeed moving N/NE.

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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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