Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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While we are waiting during this quite period, I thought that it might be fun to get your thoughts on two items:
1. On what date will Debby become a 'named' tropical storm?
2. Having seen how the season has evolved so far this year, what do you now think the final season tally will be for named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes?
No rationale is required for your 'guesses', although you can state them if you wish. Lets run the 'contest' until 21Z on Sunday the 20th. I'll post my own thoughts at that time when we close the contest at 5pm EDT on Sunday..
Just reply in this thread with your answers, and please, only those that are willing to stick their neck out should respond. Give it your best shot!
Cheers,
ED
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Storm Cooper
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Loc: Panama City , FL
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Debby will be named on August 22nd and I'll stick to 14/6/4 for the season total.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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CoalCracker
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Loc: Cape Coral, FL
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Based on the last few runs, climo and an exhaustive discussion with my weather advisor, the eminent Dr. Clamso Linguine, professor emeritus of meteorology at Bologna University, I'll go with 23 August as the date Debby is named. Season totals guess (and it's a guess at best) 15/8/4.
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VMI Bran
Registered User
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Loc: Atlanta, GA
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Since the 25th is a Friday, and these things always happen on Fridays, I'll go with that. Totals, completely SWAG-ged, at 12/5/2
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Clark
Meteorologist
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Loc:
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I went with 15/9/5 back in May, and I'm going to take liberty to lop 2 numbers off of each. I'd look even worse had I gone forward with my plans to bump my numbers to 17...glad I didn't. It's not the seasonal stuff I'm all that great with, anyway.
As for Debby...soon, depending on what that CV wave the is so bullish with does. Coop's Aug. 22nd looks good, give or take a day or so.
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ltpat228
Storm Tracker
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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Storm Cooper
User
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Loc: Panama City , FL
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Test Post...
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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I`ll go with 12/6/3..........As for Debbie.....August 24th ??????
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native
Weather Guru
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Posts: 148
Loc: SE Florida
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Oh, how I love a good guessing game!
Firstly, I am going to trim my numbers to 12/5/3. No logical reasoning behind this, just good ole' gut instinct. As for Debbie/Debby I'll go with August 28th....because I have to be out of town that day and stuff always seems to happen when I'm away from home.
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weatherwatcher999
Verified CFHC User
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Loc: Southwestern Ontario, Canada.
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Wow, it seems like the Atlantic is dead compared to last year.
I'll go with August 24th for Debby.
And 11/5/3. 
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Hmmm - not too many entries yet, so I'll offer some motivation of historical interest. The winner of the final season tally for named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes in this thread will receive a color copy of an original WSR88D (NEXRAD) printout of long range base reflectivity from the Melbourne radar taken on August 24, 1992, at 1427Z (the framed original is on the wall in my den).
Remember, you've only got about 46 hours left to post your forecasts/guesses. Good Luck!
Cheers,
ED
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cieldumort
Moderator
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Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Yeah.. Well, this little question has compelled me to rethink my thinking on the season totals to come, once again.
To qualify my vote - these numbers are also going to reflect systems which I believe are deserving, and have the best chances to get, post-season reanalysis inclusion - so, it's possible that I am going to be *way* high until the final tally is done ... and perhaps then I'll just be high, and not be coming from the furthest reaches of our solar system 
I was even a little bit north of these just prior to watching the past few weeks worth of possibles wither and die on the vine, having taken the fast track to destruction by making one too many an appearance on the SunnyDry & WindyShear Show, long after it was realized among tropical wanna-be's that doing so amounted to blowing the flame out on any future aspirations.
15/7/3
*** Oh yeah *** As for Debby's B-day, I'll push my vote out on that up to the limit when I can get a better handle on the coming few days.
Edit on 8/20 at 3AM - for best guessing the naming of Debby on 8/23
Edited by cieldumort (Sun Aug 20 2006 03:56 AM)
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John C
Unregistered
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8/30/06
9/6/2
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Port Orange, FL
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what the heck
12/5/3
and debby august 26
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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sara33
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 136
Loc: St. Pete,
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Okay,
I am going with...
10/7/2
Debby.. August 29th
Christine
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Hurricane Fredrick 1979
Weather Guru
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Posts: 116
Loc: Mobile,Alabama
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Ok let me get in on this
10/7/4
Debby on the 22nd. Based on the runs
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BillD
User
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Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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9/6/06 for Debby
9/3/1
Bill
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ElizabethH
Meteorologist
Reged: Mon
Posts: 56
Loc: Bay County
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Debby: 8/27/06
Season: 12/7/4
*I know I'm 15 minutes late... It doesn't have to count..but why not?? 
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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No your not late since I haven't posted until now. Based mostly on statistical analysis with some and wind shear patterns thrown in, I'm going with 9/13/06 for Debby and 10/4/1 for the season (my guess doesn't count for the season totals).
Thanks to all who participated.
Cheers,
ED
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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"Having seen how the season has evolved so far this year, what do you now think the final season tally will be for named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes?"
The final total was 9/5/2 and John C's guess was 9/6/2 so he's the winner!
Cheers,
ED
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