F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> The Tropics Today
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
gus
Unregistered




August Spin
      #70323 - Mon Aug 21 2006 12:15 AM

Don't those waves look impressive near Africa. there now is a broad sluggish moisture on the wave that came off the African coastline not too long ago. I dnno but I have a feeling something big is going to happen in a week or so. I think this is the end of the so called quiet period of the season. I do see a hurricane in a week if things continue the way they are. The wave off the Africa coastline now looks really impressive. I think it's something to track this week.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Early Morning Model Roundup [Re: gus]
      #70403 - Tue Aug 22 2006 06:23 AM

CMC GLOBAL
TD4 Up and down intensities...144hr (6 day) forecast.Near 25N/ 55W

Current Wave near 10N/ 40W. Begins an increase in intensity while south of Dominican Republic. (850mb 2 contours)
Increasing to a 3rd 850mb contour just South of the Western tip of Cuba at 132hr (5.5 days,Sunday 12Z).
Up to a 4th 850mb contour, at 144hrs ( 6.0 days-Sunday Night) just North of the Yucatan Channel (Cancun,MX), and after entering the Gulf of Mexico.

500mb vortice is present along the same forecast track.
(Note:The CMC Global is the ONLY model forecasting this Wave to intensify at this time-00Z 22AUG06)
*********************************************

GFDL
TD4 Increasing intensity. Maximum of 87.9kts/ 101mph (981mb forecast minumum pressure). Near 29.5N/ 51.5W at 126hrs (06Z 27Aug06-Early Sunday Morning).
(Note:This run of the GFDL is also forecasting occasional 35 to 64kt winds over the Central Lesser Antilles (from 06Z-23AUG06,to 00Z-24AUG06) and over Eastern Cuba, (from 00Z26AUG06 to 12Z26AUG06)
(These are Forecast wind speeds from the 00Z 22AUG06 GFDL Model Run)
**********************************************

GFS
TD4 Consistant intensity on a Northwestward forecast track.
To a forecast position of 30N/ 50W at 144hrs (6 days-Sunday Night)

No other features in the Atlantic Basin on this model run.
*********************************************

UKMET
TD4 Maintains intensity through 96 hours (12Z Friday Morning).
At 144hrs (6 days), centered near 25N/ 55W, as an 850mb, 1 contour vortice.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 9 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 3547

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center