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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL 26.89N 82.29W
97L
      #70508 - Wed Aug 23 2006 09:22 PM

No, I'm not panicking. Just very, very tired and not expressing myself well. *LOL* I need to find a tongue-in-cheek icon. I find it funny looking at the GFDL animated model run and the "still" model run on Skeetobite that the two GFDL tracks don't seem to match up. *LOL* And the GFDL track is farther east than the other 4.

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


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madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL 26.89N 82.29W
Re: 97L [Re: madmumbler]
      #70509 - Wed Aug 23 2006 09:27 PM

Another thing I meant to mention is that all day on TWC, it seemed like 97L varied in importance depending on which forecaster was giving the Tropical Update that particular hour. It seemed to bounce back and forth from area of interest to probably nothing to something worth watching, to don't get worried about it, etc. But I did notice the NHC 8:05 discussion made more of a point of saying they were watching and expecting development.

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida 30.51N 86.50W
Re: 97L [Re: madmumbler]
      #70510 - Wed Aug 23 2006 09:29 PM

Quote:

No, I'm not panicking. Just very, very tired and not expressing myself well. *LOL* I need to find a tongue-in-cheek icon. I find it funny looking at the GFDL animated model run and the "still" model run on Skeetobite that the two GFDL tracks don't seem to match up. *LOL* And the GFDL track is farther east than the other 4.




The tracks are probably from different model runs. With a developing system, it's common for model runs to change dramatically from one run to the next.

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Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: 97L [Re: Hugh]
      #70511 - Wed Aug 23 2006 09:40 PM

This is both 12Z and some 18Z global and tropical model runs combined so keep that in mind.



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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL 26.89N 82.29W
Re: 97L [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #70512 - Wed Aug 23 2006 09:43 PM

Bottom line is, it's going to be at least Sat./Sun. before we get a better idea where this storm -- IF it becomes a storm -- will think about going.

I'm still praying for shear and dust. *LOL*

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.


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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida 30.51N 86.50W
Re: 97L [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #70513 - Wed Aug 23 2006 09:46 PM

Quote:

This is both 12Z and some 18Z global and tropical model runs combined so keep that in mind.




Any easy way to distinguish the two runs? But, they all look pretty ominous to me.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


Edited by Hugh (Wed Aug 23 2006 09:46 PM)


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: 97L [Re: Hugh]
      #70518 - Wed Aug 23 2006 10:26 PM

You should not mix runs as I have done but only four I see are 18Z so the picture is rather accurate

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida 30.51N 86.50W
Re: 97L [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #70519 - Wed Aug 23 2006 10:29 PM

Quote:

You should not mix runs as I have done but only four I see are 18Z so the picture is rather accurate




If only four of the lines are 18Z and the rest are older.. I submit that it's a rather OLD picture :P

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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Storm Cooper
User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL 30.22N 85.86W
Re: 97L [Re: Hugh]
      #70521 - Wed Aug 23 2006 10:59 PM

8/24 00Z only



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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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ltpat228
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 201
Loc: Port Saint Lucie FL 27.20N 80.30W
Re: 97L [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #70547 - Thu Aug 24 2006 11:59 AM

What time does recon fly today and when will the results be available?

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