F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 238 (Idalia) , Major: 238 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 238 (Idalia) Major: 238 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
Hurricane29
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 148
Loc: Miami Florida
Nothing Much Going On...
      #73949 - Sun Oct 08 2006 06:12 AM

Good evening,

Tropics are dead tonight and will probably remain quiet for the rest of the season.I know this is long range and can not be taken seriously...But The 00Z GFS tonight forms a weak area of Low-pressure in the gulf of mexico and brings into south-florida threw the bahamas and begins to intensify of the eastcoast to 992mbs.

00Z GFS @ 372hrs



00z GFS @ 384 hrs

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
SebaswLouis
Unregistered




Re: Nothing Much Going On... [Re: Hurricane29]
      #73958 - Tue Oct 10 2006 12:33 AM

The way the pattern has been would say NO MORE STORMS, The way I see it Two storms, maybe one affecting U.S.
This could be Gulf area. Any ideas?

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: Nothing Much Going On... [Re: Hurricane29]
      #73972 - Wed Oct 11 2006 02:36 AM

The long-range GFS isn't reliable in the least, particularly at time frames of 15-16 days as posted there. It's more for general climate patterns than anything; all models, including the GFS, have enough trouble predicting things right in one week, yet alone two.

Further, the system that it develops there is decidedly baroclinic/non-tropical. Note the orientation of the dashed contours, the thickness lines -- they are oriented as seen with warm and cold fronts throughout. The precipitation distribution is indicative of an extratropical cyclone as well. In other words -- nothing to get worked up about.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 6 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 5572

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center