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Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge
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allan
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida 29.55N 81.20W
Tropical Discussion~excerpts
      #75538 - Thu Jun 14 2007 11:40 AM

Quote:

Here's the thing. We have a disturbed area in the NW Carribean... a few models have been hinting at a weak area of low pressure to develop down near Cuba for a few days now. CMC and what the GFDL was hinting at a tropical storm (possibility) moving thru the EGM by Friday night into Saturday. Last night...we had a low-mid level circulation develop. If the models under-done this just alittle..then we need to go in and get data.



I deffinatly agree.. it has looked a bit more impressive and it's deffinatly not a waste of gas.. I mean people thought Barry was a waste of gas and look how that turned out.. even though it's not recorded in the coordinates, it reached around 50-60 mph. after the first advisory. I am feeling that something will again surprise us in a couple of days.. Most likely, it may track into Florida again lol. Wondering when the NRL will tag it though, they've been very hard on tagging invests so far this year.

(Read the definitions of the various Forums before you post. Any conjecture based on 'feelings' or long range model predictions belongs right here in the Forecast Lounge - and NOT on the Main Page.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Jun 14 2007 02:49 PM)

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HURRICANELONNY
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 100
Loc: HOLLYWOOD,FL.
Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts [Re: allan]
      #75588 - Thu Jun 21 2007 03:57 PM

The NHC is not saying much about the convection in there outlook. In fact, nothing is said in the outlook. In there Caribbean discussion they talk about 2 upper highs and a possible wave. They also said they may add this wave in the 18Z analysis.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/211734.shtml?

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