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Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge

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allan
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida 29.55N 81.20W
Tropical disturbance in the Bahamas....
      #75624 - Wed Jun 27 2007 01:32 PM

The tropical wave could be interesting later on as the days go by... CMC has a strong TS or minimal Hurricane hitting Melbourne, FL in a matter of 90 hours from now. NAM actually shows something on the new run. Things are looking better for development but i'm not gonna buy it just yet... Though whats really getting me, if this wave can stay away from FL, the shear is only 5-15 knots Which is very good for formation. Lets start watching it now
Oh and the reason why most models are not developing this is because they have it hitting South Florida before entering favorable shear off to the northeast. It's right now under 20-25 knots which is not favorable.. again if it stays away from the coastline and moves north, thats when things will get interesting.. It just needs a few more miles north to get into the favorable environment.

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Allan Reed - 18,9,5

Edited by allan (Wed Jun 27 2007 01:45 PM)


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