allan
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida 29.55N 81.20W
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The may not be too wrong on the re-arrival of Karen in a few days.. the model that dropped Karen first, now resurrects Karen in a few days along with the UKMET now hinting at redevelopment.. According to Accuweather (I know :/) Meteorologist Frank Strait, the remnants of Karen is where all that junk is next to 90L.. If that is true, and if these 3 models verify, would this new storm be named Karen? I really don't know but I would think a situation since there is no low level circulation.. probably as 90L will most likely be Noel, this one, if it does, becomes Olga but for right now, I still hang on to Karen until it becomes classified as something else. Here, on the attachment, I made some diagrams on the current satellite image on the possible areas to watch. The week starts out quiet, but I believe it will be active as the days go by.. I do agree with the 3 models, but I would make it stronger if it were to enter the Western Carribean as the and UKMET are showing.
Here are the new runs..
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
2:55 p.m. the HRWF now shows the leftovers of Karen in the Western Carribean on the run for 90L.
see attachment for map..
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Allan Reed - 18,9,5
Edited by allan (Tue Oct 02 2007 03:12 PM)
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scottsvb
Weather Master
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1085
Loc: fl
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That isnt the left over of Karen.....Karen dissapated...this was a trough of low pressure. If it develops it will be another name.
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